Orlando City vs Sporting Kansas City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Orlando City - Sporting Kansas City
Result
3:1
16/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Montero R. (Cos)
Orlando City - Sporting Kansas City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.352.22
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
84
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
90% (501/557)84% (418/496)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.352.22
xG on target (xGOT)
2.641.55
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
107
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
178
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
84
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
4123
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
108
Passes
90% (501/557)84% (418/496)
Long passes
72% (39/54)54% (27/50)
Passes in final third
80% (159/198)72% (99/137)
Crosses
32% (6/19)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.960.93
Throw-ins
1211
Fouls
811
Tackles
44% (7/16)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4237
Clearances
1815
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.552.64
Goals prevented
0.55-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Spicer T. ,
  • 25', 1 - 1, Joveljic D. , Toye M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Smith K. , Freeman A. ,
  • 58', Toye M. , Salloi D. ,
  • 68', Leibold T. , Radoja N. ,
  • 68', Munoz S. , Bartlett J. ,
  • 71', Muriel L. , Enrique R. ,
  • 72', Pasalic M. , Angulo I. ,
  • 76', 2 - 1, Enrique R. , Ojeda M. (A),
  • 78', Spicer T. , Rodriguez N. ,
  • 81', Suleymanov S. , Afrifa S. ,
  • 81', Miller J. , Montes A. ,
  • 83', 3 - 1, Rodriguez N. ,
  • 86', Atuesta E. , Gerbet J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orlando City
65.5%
Draw
18.8%
Sporting Kansas City
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.7% 20.9% 14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4% 20.1% 13.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Sporting Kansas City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Orlando City - Sporting Kansas City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.45)
    5.04
    (4.5)
    6.04
    (6.5)
    5.7%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Orlando City - Sporting Kansas City?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Orlando City will win (votes: 22 - 95.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Orlando City: 87.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 2.
    • Orlando City is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Kansas City has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Kansas City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Orlando City is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Araujo C. (Yellow Cards) Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Gerbet J. (Muscle Injury) McGuire D. (Shoulder Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Kansas City: Fernandez J. (Inactive) Thommy E. (Hip Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kansas City: Rosero D. (Ankle Injury)
    • We predict that Orlando City will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - Sporting Kansas City were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Sporting Kansas City - Orlando City 3:0
    Latest results of Orlando City
    10.08.2025 Orlando City - Inter Miami 4:1
    06.08.2025 Orlando City - Necaxa 5:1
    02.08.2025 Orlando City - Atlas 3:1
    30.07.2025 UNAM - Orlando City 2:1
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC28165752:331953
    2Minnesota United28148647:311650
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC25118644:311341
    6Portland Timbers27108935:37-238
    7Colorado Rapids281061236:44-836
    8San Jose Earthquakes28981152:48435
    9Austin FC2698926:32-635
    10Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    11FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    12Houston Dynamo27781234:44-1029
    13Sporting Kansas City27661539:55-1624
    14St. Louis City27561631:47-1621
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union28166648:262254
    2FC Cincinnati28164842:35752
    3Nashville SC28155849:321750
    4Charlotte281521146:39747
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew27129643:39445
    8New York City26135837:30744
    9New York Red Bulls281161142:38439
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution27871235:38-331
    12Toronto FC27591327:34-724
    13CF Montreal28581528:50-2223
    14Atlanta Utd274111231:49-1823
    15DC United28491524:53-2921

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Orlando City - Sporting Kansas City?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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