Sporting Kansas City vs CF Montréal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Sporting Kansas City - CF Montréal
29/04/2023 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Sporting Kansas City - CF Montréal - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Highlights

Chances of winning


Sporting Kansas City
56.1%
Draw
24.8%
CF Montréal
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 28.3% 34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 27.9% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Kansas City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Kansas City's performance.
  • CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CF Montréal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (-18%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Kansas City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CF Montréal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sporting Kansas City - CF Montréal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (2.47)
    3.82
    (3.28)
    4.96
    (2.72)
    5.8%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Sporting Kansas City - CF Montréal?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Kansas City will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Montreal will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kansas City: 46.1%91.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 15).
    • Kansas City has the most likely position - 14 (20.34%), project points - 38, currently - 3, a chance of playoffs (34%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Montreal has the most likely position - 15 (17.37%), project points - 38, currently - 6, a chance of playoffs (28%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has quality 36, small importance 20, small match rating 28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Kansas City won 2.
    • Kansas City has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Montreal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Kansas City will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Kansas City won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 29-14.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Kansas City won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20-7.
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 33189665:362963
    2San Diego FC ✔ 33186960:411960
    3Los Angeles FC ✔ 33178863:382559
    4Minnesota United ✔ 331610755:371858
    5Seattle Sounders ✔ 331410956:47952
    6Austin FC331381236:43-747
    7Portland Timbers3311111141:44-344
    8FC Dallas3310111250:54-441
    9Real Salt Lake331241736:47-1140
    10Colorado Rapids331171542:54-1240
    11San Jose Earthquakes331081558:62-438
    12Houston Dynamo33991543:56-1336
    13St. Louis City33871842:56-1431
    14Sporting Kansas City33762046:70-2427
    15Los Angeles Galaxy33691844:65-2127


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 33206757:332466
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 33195949:40962
    3Inter Miami ✔ 33188776:532362
    4Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    5New York City ✔ 331751149:42756
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City331411861:471453
    8Chicago Fire331571166:58852
    9Columbus Crew331312852:50251
    10New York Red Bulls331271447:44343
    11New England Revolution33981642:49-735
    12Toronto FC335141433:42-929
    13CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    14Atlanta Utd335121637:62-2527
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Seattle Sounders is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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