Sporting Kansas City vs Austin FC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Sporting Kansas City - Austin FC
Result
1:2
07/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Boiko S. (Ukr)
Sporting Kansas City - Austin FC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.061.16
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
86% (496/575)81% (293/363)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
2.061.16
xG on target (xGOT)
1.331.40
Total shots
137
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
3813
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
86% (496/575)81% (293/363)
Long passes
55% (24/44)47% (26/55)
Passes in final third
72% (123/171)70% (64/92)
Crosses
23% (6/26)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.520.80
Throw-ins
2013
Fouls
1213
Tackles
80% (8/10)60% (9/15)
Duels won
3436
Clearances
733
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.401.33
Goals prevented
-0.600.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Joveljic D. (Pen),
  • 19', Desler M. 🟨,
  • 29', Djordjevic M. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Wolff O. , Guilherme Biro (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 61', Leibold T. , Ndenbe L. ,
  • 61', Munoz S. , Toye M. ,
  • 67', Obrian J. , Fodrey C. ,
  • 67', Gallagher J. , Taylor R. ,
  • 74', Bartlett J. 🟨,
  • 74', Guilherme Biro , Kolmanic Z. ,
  • 76', Suleymanov S. , Thommy E. ,
  • 82', 1 - 2, Fodrey C. , Wolff O. (A),
  • 83', Dubersarsky N. , Sanchez I. ,
  • 83', Rubio D. , Torres E. ,
  • 83', Montes A. , Miller J. ,
  • 85', Bartlett J. , Radoja N. ,
  • 86', Kolmanic Z. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sporting Kansas City
40.7%
Draw
25.7%
Austin FC
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.6% 24.1% 36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40% 24.4% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Kansas City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Sporting Kansas City - Austin FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.37)
    3.68
    (3.9)
    2.8
    (2.58)
    5.6%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Sporting Kansas City - Austin FC?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Kansas City will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Austin will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kansas City: 2.5%64.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kansas City (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kansas City won 2.
    • Recent form of Kansas City has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Austin has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Kansas City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Kansas City: Garcia M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Austin: Cascante J. (International duty) Sanchez I. (Knee Injury) Vazquez B. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Kansas City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.6:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kansas City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Kansas City - Austin FC were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Austin FC - Sporting Kansas City 1:0
    29.06.2024 Sporting Kansas City - Austin FC 2:0
    18.05.2024 Austin FC - Sporting Kansas City 3:2
    15.07.2023 Austin FC - Sporting Kansas City 2:1
    10.06.2023 Sporting Kansas City - Austin FC 4:1
    Latest results of Austin FC
    23.08.2025 CF Montréal - Austin FC 3:2
    16.08.2025 Austin FC - FC Dallas 1:1
    09.08.2025 Austin FC - Houston Dynamo 2:2
    26.07.2025 DC United - Austin FC 2:4
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 31176856:381857
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 30168657:322556
    3Minnesota United ✔ 31159751:361554
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 29148757:372050
    5Seattle Sounders30129952:45745
    6Austin FC301281033:37-444
    7Portland Timbers3111101039:41-243
    8Colorado Rapids311161441:52-1139
    9FC Dallas309101145:49-437
    10Houston Dynamo31991340:49-936
    11San Jose Earthquakes31981456:58-235
    12Real Salt Lake301041632:45-1334
    13St. Louis City31771739:52-1328
    14Sporting Kansas City31761845:63-1827
    15Los Angeles Galaxy30491737:61-2421


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 31186750:331760
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3Inter Miami ✔ 29167664:461855
    4Charlotte ✔ 311721251:42953
    5New York City ✔ 311651046:39753
    6Orlando City30149758:431551
    7Nashville SC311551152:381450
    8Columbus Crew311311751:47450
    9Chicago Fire301361157:53445
    10New York Red Bulls311271245:40543
    11New England Revolution31881539:45-632
    12Toronto FC305121330:37-727
    13Atlanta Utd305121337:55-1827
    14DC United315101629:58-2925
    15CF Montreal31591729:55-2624

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Sporting Kansas City - Austin FC?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaSBS On Demand, SBS Viceland
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
    germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
    israelIsraelSport 2
    italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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