Atalanta vs Spezia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie A Atalanta - Spezia
Result
3:2
03/05/2023 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 33
  • Referee: Marinelli L. (Ita)
Atalanta - Spezia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Atalanta
69.7%
Draw
18.5%
Spezia
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.5% 19.5% 11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6% 18.9% 11.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Atalanta - Spezia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.38)
    5.17
    (4.85)
    8.24
    (7.94)
    4.5%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Atalanta - Spezia?
  • Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 45 - 76.3%). Spezia will win (votes: 11 - 18.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 5.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 65.4%87.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 and 17).
    • Atalanta has the most likely position - 7 (42.13%), project points - 65, currently - 55, not chance of relegated, a chance of qualify for ucl (18%), not chance of win league.
    • Spezia has the most likely position - 18 (44.01%), project points - 32, currently - 27, a good chance of relegated (53%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
    • This event has quality 57, importance 61, match rating 59. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Atalanta won 4.
    • Atalanta is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Spezia is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Atalanta is absolute favorite.
    • There will not play in Atalanta: Hateboer H. (Knee Injury) Muratore S. (Injury) Ruggeri M. (Injury) Vorlicky L. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Spezia: Beck J. (Foot Injury) Holm E. (Groin Injury) Maldini D. (Muscle Injury) Moutinho J. (Foot Injury) Zovko P. (Injury) Zurkowski S. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atalanta: Lookman A. (Muscle Injury) Okoli C. (Injury) Soppy B. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Spezia: Nzola M. (Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Atalanta won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 20-8.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Atalanta won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atalanta - Spezia were as follows:
    19.01.2023 Atalanta - Spezia 5:2
    04.01.2023 Spezia - Atalanta 2:2
    Latest results of Atalanta
    24.04.2023 Atalanta - Roma 3:1
    17.04.2023 Fiorentina - Atalanta 1:1
    08.04.2023 Atalanta - Bologna 0:2
    01.04.2023 Cremonese - Atalanta 1:3
    17.03.2023 Atalanta - Empoli 2:1
    Latest results of Spezia
    22.04.2023 Sampdoria - Spezia 1:1
    14.04.2023 Spezia - Lazio 0:3
    08.04.2023 Fiorentina - Spezia 1:1
    02.04.2023 Spezia - Salernitana 1:1
    17.03.2023 Sassuolo - Spezia 1:0
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecce00000:000
    2Bologna00000:000
    3Pisa00000:000
    4Cremonese00000:000
    5Genoa00000:000
    6Napoli00000:000
    7Udinese00000:000
    8Sassuolo00000:000
    9AS Roma00000:000
    10Inter00000:000
    11Juventus00000:000
    12Fiorentina00000:000
    13AC Milan00000:000
    14Atalanta00000:000
    15Lazio00000:000
    16Cagliari00000:000
    17Torino00000:000
    18Parma00000:000
    19Verona00000:000
    20Como00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Which TV channels are streaming of Atalanta - Spezia?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaSuperSport
    czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 1
    finlandFinlandCMore
    italyItalySky Sport
    polandPolandEleven Sports 2
    portugalPortugalSport TV
    romaniaRomaniaOrange Sport
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