Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Dutch Eredivisie Ajax - Sparta Rotterdam
Result
1:1
27/04/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eredivisie - Round 30
  • Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)
Ajax - Sparta Rotterdam - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.131.06
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
2613
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
114
Passes
86% (515/598)75% (239/318)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
3.131.06
xG on target (xGOT)
0.810.92
Total shots
2613
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
144
Blocked Shots
74
Shots inside the Box
197
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
40
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
114
Touches in opposition box
5117
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
86% (515/598)75% (239/318)
Long passes
52% (26/50)40% (25/62)
Passes in final third
75% (146/195)55% (46/83)
Crosses
38% (11/29)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
3.070.86
Throw-ins
1815
Fouls
1012
Tackles
60% (9/15)56% (5/9)
Duels won
5836
Clearances
1844
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.920.81
Goals prevented
-0.08-0.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', van Aanholt P. 🟨,
  • 36', Kitolano J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', Rugani D. 🟨,
  • 55', Traore B. , Mokio J. ,
  • 55', Brobbey B. , Weghorst W. ,
  • 63', Edvardsen O. , Godts M. ,
  • 67', Mito S. , Nassoh M. ,
  • 67', Kitolano J. , Eiting C. ,
  • 82', Young M. , Meissen R. ,
  • 82', van Bergen M. , Clement P. ,
  • 83', Zechiel G. , Ideho J. ,
  • 89', Taylor K. , Regeer Y. ,
  • 90+5', 0 - 1, Nassoh M. , Clement P. (A),
  • 90+7', 1 - 1, Regeer Y. ,

Chances of winning


Ajax
64.7%
Draw
20.2%
Sparta Rotterdam
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.7% 19.3% 13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7% 20.7% 12.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajax, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Ajax - Sparta Rotterdam Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.39)
    4.7
    (4.87)
    6.33
    (7.24)
    5.1%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Ajax - Sparta Rotterdam?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajax won 4.
    • Ajax is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Sparta Rotterdam is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Ajax could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Ajax is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Ajax: Baas Y. (Groin Injury) Henderson J. (Yellow Cards) van den Boomen B. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: Mito S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ajax: Brobbey B. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sparta Rotterdam: Zechiel G. (Injury)
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Ajax won 14 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 36:11 (average 2.4:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ajax won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17:5 (average 2.4:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - Sparta Rotterdam were as follows:
    22.12.2024 Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax 0:2
    17.03.2024 Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax 2:2
    09.12.2023 Ajax - Sparta Rotterdam 2:1
    19.02.2023 Ajax - Sparta Rotterdam 4:0
    Latest results of Ajax
    20.04.2025 Utrecht - Ajax 4:0
    13.04.2025 Willem II - Ajax 1:2
    06.04.2025 Ajax - NAC Breda 3:1
    30.03.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Ajax 0:2
    13.03.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Ajax 4:1
    Latest results of Sparta Rotterdam
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV ✔ 332445100:386276
    2Ajax ✔ 33236465:323375
    3Feyenoord ✔ 33208576:364068
    4Utrecht ✔ 33189662:451763
    5AZ Alkmaar ✔ 33168957:362156
    6Twente ✔ 33159962:471554
    7G.A. Eagles ✔ 331491054:50451
    8Nijmegen331171549:45440
    9Heerenveen331171540:57-1740
    10Sittard331171537:54-1740
    11Sparta Rotterdam339121238:40-239
    12Groningen331091440:51-1139
    13Zwolle339111341:51-1038
    14Heracles339111341:61-2038
    15NAC Breda33881733:57-2432
    16Willem II33672033:55-2225
    17Waalwijk33572139:71-3222
    18Almere City ✔ 33492022:63-4121

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    PSV is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Ajax is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Feyenoord is Qualified for Champions League (Qualification )
    Utrecht is Qualified for Europa League (Qualification )
    AZ Alkmaar is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
    Twente is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
    G.A. Eagles is Qualified for Europa League (League phase )
    Almere City is Relegated to Eerste Divisie
    Which TV channels are streaming of Ajax - Sparta Rotterdam?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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