Canberra Raiders vs South Sydney Rabbitohs: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby league Australian NRL Canberra Raiders - South Sydney Rabbitohs
Result
32:12
28/07/2024 at 04:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AUSTRALIA: NRL - Round 21
  • Referee: Raymond W. (Aus)
Canberra Raiders - South Sydney Rabbitohs - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
53
Conversion Goals
50
Conversion Goal Attempts
63
Penalty Goals
10
Penalty Goal Attempts
10
Goals %
860
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
182200
Metres Run With Ball
16911564

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (24 - 8)
  • 5', Rapana J. (Try),
  • 7', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 10', Savage X. (Try),
  • 11', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 20', Kris S. (Try),
  • 22', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 31', Milne T. (Try),
  • 33', Cook D. (Missed Conversion),
  • 37', Rapana J. (Try),
  • 38', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 40', Walker C. (Try),
  • 40', Cook D. (Missed Conversion),
  • 2nd Half (8 - 4)
  • 45', Mariota A. (Try),
  • 46', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 60', Duncan T. (Try),
  • 63', Cook D. (Missed Conversion),
  • 71', Fogarty J. (Penalty Goal),

Chances of winning


Canberra Raiders
56.4%
Draw
4.2%
South Sydney Rabbitohs
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 4.3% 40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 3.5% 49.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Canberra Raiders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canberra Raiders than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Canberra Raiders that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Sydney Rabbitohs than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that South Sydney Rabbitohs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Canberra Raiders - South Sydney Rabbitohs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.67)
    21.57
    (21.25)
    2.34
    (2.29)
    8.2%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 51.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
  • What is the prediction for Canberra Raiders - South Sydney Rabbitohs?
    The most likely score is 28:25. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Canberra won 3.
    • Canberra is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • South Sydney is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Canberra will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's South Sydney to win the game is with odds 2.37.
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Canberra won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 400-407.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Canberra won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 123-130.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Canberra Raiders - South Sydney Rabbitohs were as follows:
    27.05.2023 South Sydney Rabbitohs - Canberra Raiders 26:33
    Latest results of Canberra Raiders
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Canterbury Bulldogs981244:13818
    2New Zealand Warriors972189:18816
    3Canberra Raiders1073278:23014
    4Melbourne Storm853248:17212
    5NQ Cowboys944222:23611
    6Cronulla Sharks954215:16610
    7Brisbane Broncos1055262:21610
    8Manly Sea Eagles844210:17410
    9Wests Tigers954214:19410
    10Sydney Roosters945204:24610
    11South Sydney Rabbitohs1055159:22110
    12Dolphins1046238:2288
    13St. George Illawarra Dragons936198:2138
    14Newcastle Knights936122:1748
    15Gold Coast Titans936186:2708
    16Penrith Panthers1036244:2467
    17Parramatta Eels927151:2726

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