South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Melbourne Storm: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

24/07/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Accor Stadium (Sydney).

: NRL - Round 21
Referee: Klein A. (Aus)

Match Stats


Tries
6	5
Conversion goals
2	2
Conversion goal attempts
6	5
Penalty goals
0	1
Penalty goal attempts
0	1
Goals %
33	50
Dropped goals
0	0
Dropped goal attempts
0	0
Total runs
205	190
Metres run with ball
1674	1917

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (8 - 16)
3', Graham C. (Try),
4', Siegwalt L. (Missed Conversion),
8', Wighton J. (Try),
10', Siegwalt L. (Missed Conversion),
17', Tuimalatu-Brown S. (Try),
19', Wishart T. (Missed Conversion),
25', Keeley O. (Try),
27', Wishart T. (Missed Conversion),
34', Wishart T. (Penalty Goal),
38', Faalogo S. (Try),
40', Wishart T. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (20 - 10)
50', Smith B. (Try),
51', Smith B. (Conversion Goal),
56', Johnston A. (Try),
57', Ward A. (Missed Conversion),
64', Radel J. (Try),
65', Ward A. (Conversion Goal),
67', Wishart T. (Try),
69', Wishart T. (Conversion Goal),
71', Meaney N. (Try),
72', Wishart T. (Missed Conversion),
76', Graham C. (Try),
77', Ward A. (Missed Conversion),

Chances of winning

South Sydney Rabbitohs
45.2%

Draw
4.3%

Melbourne Storm
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

3.7%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

4%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Sydney Rabbitohs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that South Sydney Rabbitohs's form might have worsened.

Melbourne Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne Storm's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Sydney Rabbitohs than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for South Sydney Rabbitohs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Storm than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Storm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

South Sydney Rabbitohs - Melbourne Storm Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.43)	20.28 ↓ (24.93)	1.84 ↓ (2.96)	7.8% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

What is the prediction for South Sydney Rabbitohs - Melbourne Storm?

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. South Sydney will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Melbourne will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 22:24.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Sydney won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, South Sydney won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 354:500. (average 17.7:25).
Including home matches between the teams, South Sydney won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 154:233. (average 15.4:23.3).

How many head-to-head matches has South Sydney Rabbitohs won against Melbourne Storm?

South Sydney Rabbitohs has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Storm won against South Sydney Rabbitohs?

Melbourne Storm has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between South Sydney Rabbitohs - Melbourne Storm were as follows:

25.04.2026 Melbourne Storm - South Sydney Rabbitohs 6:48

21.06.2025 South Sydney Rabbitohs - Melbourne Storm 24:25

25.04.2025 Melbourne Storm - South Sydney Rabbitohs 24:16

08.08.2024 South Sydney Rabbitohs - Melbourne Storm 16:28

25.04.2024 Melbourne Storm - South Sydney Rabbitohs 54:20

Latest results of South Sydney Rabbitohs

18.07.2026 Canberra Raiders - South Sydney Rabbitohs 34:24 ✺

12.07.2026 South Sydney Rabbitohs - Newcastle Knights 26:24 ✺

03.07.2026 Penrith Panthers - South Sydney Rabbitohs 36:14 ✺

25.06.2026 Parramatta Eels - South Sydney Rabbitohs 12:32 ✺

11.06.2026 South Sydney Rabbitohs - Brisbane Broncos 48:6 ✺

Latest results of Melbourne Storm

17.07.2026 Sydney Roosters - Melbourne Storm 14:6 ✺

12.07.2026 Melbourne Storm - Gold Coast Titans 22:18 ✺

27.06.2026 Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Melbourne Storm 30:4 ✺

21.06.2026 Melbourne Storm - Canberra Raiders 42:20 ✺

05.06.2026 Melbourne Storm - Newcastle Knights 32:30 ✺

Australian NRL Table

Main

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	Sydney Roosters	21	16	5	563:400	38
2	Penrith Panthers	21	15	6	599:313	36
3	New Zealand Warriors	21	15	6	606:330	36
4	Dolphins	21	14	7	578:458	34
5	Cronulla Sharks	21	13	8	604:439	32
6	Newcastle Knights	22	14	8	577:501	32
7	South Sydney Rabbitohs	21	12	9	576:494	30
8	NQ Cowboys	22	12	10	514:592	28
9	Canterbury Bulldogs	21	10	11	402:464	26
10	Manly Sea Eagles	21	9	12	505:459	24
11	Canberra Raiders	22	10	12	501:562	24
12	Melbourne Storm	21	9	12	510:514	22
13	Parramatta Eels	21	8	13	421:602	22
14	Gold Coast Titans	21	6	15	413:567	18
15	Brisbane Broncos	21	6	15	383:581	18
16	Wests Tigers	21	7	14	400:613	18
17	St. George Illawarra Dragons	21	4	17	344:607	14

Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )

Which TV channels are streaming of South Sydney Rabbitohs - Melbourne Storm?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Asia	Premier Sports Rugby Asia
Australia	Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL TV
Canada	fubo Sports Network
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 1
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Action