Sudan vs South Sudan (1:1) - Head-to-Head Stats & Match Result

FULL TIME
FIFA World Cup • 25/03/2025
Sudan
1 : 1
South Sudan
  • AFRICA: World Championship - Qualification - Round 6
  • Referee: Ouattara J. (Bfa)
Match Concluded • H2H Archive Final Score: 1:1

Sudan vs South Sudan — Head-to-Head & Match History

The previous fixture took place on 03/25/2025 at Martyrs of February Stadium (Benghazi). Official TV broadcast channels and live streaming schedules will update here automatically once their next encounter is scheduled. Review head-to-head records, past form, and upcoming fixtures below.

Key Match Facts & Fixture Details

Stadium / Venue Martyrs of February Stadium (Benghazi) Capacity: 10 550 spectators
Match Referee Ouattara J. (Bfa) Official appointment
Competition Stage AFRICA: World Championship - Qualification - Round 6 FIFA World Cup
Official Broadcasters 3 TV Channels / Streams Global broadcast listings verified
Over / Under Goal Line Total 2.25 Odds: 1.91:1.87
Latest Head to Head
11.06.24 South Sudan - Sudan 0:3
01.12.15 South Sudan - Sudan 0:1 penalties
25.11.15 South Sudan - Sudan 0:0

Betting Tips & Predictions for Sudan - South Sudan

  • Users Predictions: Sudan will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.
  • The most likely score projected by bookmakers is 1:0.

Chances of Winning


Sudan
72.5%
Draw
19.6%
South Sudan
7.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
66.9% 23.1% 10%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Sudan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sudan's performance.
  • South Sudan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • 📈 Fair Odds & Expected Value (EV) (1X2 Regulation)

    OutcomeFair ProbFair Odds (No-Vig)Market OddsExpected Value (EV)Signal
    Sudan72.5%1.381.30-5.8%No Edge
    Draw19.6%5.104.80-5.9%No Edge
    South Sudan7.9%12.6611.86-6.3%No Edge
    💡 What is Fair Odds & EV? Fair Odds (No-Vig) remove the average bookmaker margin to show normalized market-implied odds. Expected Value (EV) is calculated directly from each row's displayed Fair Prob vs. Market Odds (with ML Model EV shown separately when available). Positive EV indicates estimated value relative to the reference model, though outcomes remain subject to model accuracy and variance.
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