Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Ukrainian Cup Shakhtar Donetsk - Dynamo Kyiv
Result
2:1 penalties
14/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ukrainian Cup - Final
  • Referee: Balakin M. (Ukr)
Shakhtar Donetsk - Dynamo Kyiv - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
75
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
50
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
75
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
52
Corner Kicks
50
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
2811
Throw-ins
2935
Fouls
1127
Goalkeeper Saves
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', Eguinaldo 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 1, Yarmolenko A. , Dubinchak V. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Eguinaldo , Kaua Elias ,
  • 54', Vanat V. 🟨,
  • 54', Marlon Gomes 🟨,
  • 61', Yarmolenko A. 🟨,
  • 62', Marlon Gomes , Kryskiv D. ,
  • 62', Pedrinho , Alisson ,
  • 62', Bondarenko A. , Nazaryna Y. ,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Kaua Elias , Alisson (A),
  • 74', Shaparenko M. , Brazhko V. ,
  • 81', Yarmolenko A. , Voloshyn N. ,
  • 81', Buyalskyy V. , Pikhalyonok O. ,
  • 90', Sudakov G. , Tsukanov V. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 91', Kabaev V. , Karavaev O. ,
  • 97', Dubinchak V. 🟨,
  • 102', Tobias V. , Ghram A. ,
  • 105', Dubinchak V. , Vivcharenko K. ,
  • 112', Mykhavko T. , Bilovar K. ,
  • Penalties (6 - 5)
  • 1, Nazaryna Y. (Pen),
  • 1, Vanat V. (Pen),
  • 2, Alisson (Pen),
  • 2, Brazhko V. (Pen),
  • 3, Kevin (Pen),
  • 3, Pikhalyonok O. (Pen),
  • 4, Kaua Elias (Pen),
  • 4, Vivcharenko K. (Pen),
  • 5, Ghram A. (Pen),
  • 5, Mykhaylenko M. (Pen),
  • 6, Kryskiv D. (Pen),
  • 6, Karavaev O. (Pen),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Shakhtar Donetsk
39.1%
Draw
29.1%
Dynamo Kyiv
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 28.7% 35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9% 29% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Dynamo Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Kyiv than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Shakhtar Donetsk - Dynamo Kyiv Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.62)
    3.25
    (3.24)
    2.96
    (2.6)
    5.9%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk - Dynamo Kyiv?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Tsentralnyi Stadion.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shakhtar won 2.
    • Recent performances by Shakhtar have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Dynamo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Dynamo has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shakhtar won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:19. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shakhtar won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shakhtar Donetsk - Dynamo Kyiv were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk - Dynamo Kyiv 2:2
    27.10.2024 Dynamo Kyiv - Shakhtar Donetsk 1:1
    11.05.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk - Dynamo Kyiv 1:0
    03.11.2023 Dynamo Kyiv - Shakhtar Donetsk 0:1
    22.04.2023 Dynamo Kyiv - Shakhtar Donetsk 1:1
    Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk
    Latest results of Dynamo Kyiv
    Draw
    2024/25

    1/64-finals
    1Lokomotyv KyivMetalist 19251 : 4
    2TrostyanetsSC Poltava0 : 1
    4ByeVeres-Rivne
    5Kolos KovalivkaBye
    8ByeObolon
    9Polissya ZhytomyrBye
    16ByeKryvbas
    17Dinaz VyshgorodKudrivka-Nyva1 : 2
    18ByeLivyi Bereg
    19Revera 1908Podillya Khmelnytskyi2 : 3
    20Real PharmaUCSA0 : 3
    24ByeOleksandriya
    25Shakhtar DonetskBye
    29Olympia SavyntsiKremin2 : 0
    30Hirnyk-SportFSC Mariupol3 : 1
    32ByeFK Zorya Luhansk
    33Probiy HorodenkaKhust4 : 0
    34KulikivNyva Vinnytsya1 : 0
    36ByeInhulets
    37FK MykolaivAhrobiznes Volochysk1 : 0
    38FC VilkhivtsiMetalist Kharkiv0 : 1
    39UzhhorodPrykarpattya0 : 4
    40Nyva TernopilBukovyna1 : 2
    41Skala 1911Epitsentr2 : 0
    42ByeMinaj
    43FC ChernihivChaika1 : 0
    44ViktoriaMFC Metalurh1 : 0
    48ByeLNZ Cherkasy
    49Rukh LvivBye
    53Karpaty LvivBye
    56ByeCh. Odesa
    57Vorskla PoltavaBye
    64ByeDyn. Kyiv

    1/32-finals
    1Metalist 1925SC Poltava5 : 3
    2ByeVeres-Rivne
    3Kolos KovalivkaBye
    4ByeObolon
    5Polissya ZhytomyrBye
    8ByeKryvbas
    9Kudrivka-NyvaLivyi Bereg3 : 2
    10Podillya KhmelnytskyiUCSA0 : 1
    12ByeOleksandriya
    13Shakhtar DonetskBye
    15Olympia SavyntsiHirnyk-Sport4 : 2
    16ByeFK Zorya Luhansk
    17Probiy HorodenkaKulikiv3 : 2
    18ByeInhulets
    19FK MykolaivMetalist Kharkiv3 : 1
    20PrykarpattyaBukovyna0 : 1
    21Skala 1911Minaj1 : 3
    22FC ChernihivViktoria0 : 1
    24ByeLNZ Cherkasy
    25Rukh LvivBye
    27Karpaty LvivBye
    28ByeCh. Odesa
    29Vorskla PoltavaBye
    32ByeDyn. Kyiv

    1/16-finals
    1Metalist 1925Veres-Rivne0 : 4
    2Kolos KovalivkaObolon0 : 1
    3Polissya ZhytomyrBye
    4ByeKryvbas
    5Kudrivka-NyvaUCSA0 : 4
    6ByeOleksandriya
    7Shakhtar DonetskBye
    8Olympia SavyntsiFK Zorya Luhansk1 : 4
    9Probiy HorodenkaInhulets3 : 2
    10FK MykolaivBukovyna1 : 2
    11MinajViktoria0 : 2
    12ByeLNZ Cherkasy
    13Rukh LvivBye
    14Karpaty LvivCh. Odesa3 : 0
    15Vorskla PoltavaBye
    16ByeDyn. Kyiv

    1/8-finals
    1Veres-RivneObolon2 : 1
    2Polissya ZhytomyrKryvbas2 : 1
    3UCSAOleksandriya1 : 4
    4Shakhtar DonetskFK Zorya Luhansk1 : 0
    5Probiy HorodenkaBukovyna0 : 1
    6ViktoriaLNZ Cherkasy3 : 2
    7Rukh LvivKarpaty Lviv1 : 0
    8Vorskla PoltavaDyn. Kyiv1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Veres-RivnePolissya Zhytomyr0 : 1
    2OleksandriyaShakhtar Donetsk0 : 1
    3BukovynaViktoria2 : 1
    4Rukh LvivDyn. Kyiv0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Polissya ZhytomyrShakhtar Donetsk0 : 1
    2BukovynaDyn. Kyiv1 : 4

    Final
    1Shakhtar DonetskDyn. Kyiv2 : 1
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