Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

06/04/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán (Sevilla).

: LaLiga - Round 30
Referee: Soto Grado C. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.73	1.32
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
11	13
Shots on target
6	5
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
7	7
Passes
84% (361/429)	89% (474/535)
Yellow Cards
1	4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73	1.32
xG on target (xGOT)
1.19	1.63
Total shots
11	13
Shots on target
6	5
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
0	5
Shots inside the Box
7	9
Shots outside the Box
4	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
7	7
Touches in opposition box
18	29
Through passes
100% (1/1)	0% (0/1)
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
12	14
Passes
84% (361/429)	89% (474/535)
Long passes
45% (26/58)	56% (29/52)
Passes in final third
64% (62/97)	79% (109/138)
Crosses
27% (4/15)	5% (1/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.55	0.31
Fouls
14	12
Tackles
68% (15/22)	67% (12/18)
Duels won
57	50
Clearances Total
39	29
Interceptions
11	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	5
xGOT faced
1.63	1.19
Goals prevented
-0.37	0.19

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Agoume L. ⚽,
11', Vargas R. ↓, Ejuke C. ↑,
25', 1 - 1, Alvarez J. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Molina N. ↓, Galan J. ↑,
46', Pedrosa A. ↓, Gudelj N. ↑,
51', Simeone G. 🟨,
55', Griezmann A. ↓, Sorloth A. ↑,
56', Azpilicueta C. ↓, Koke ↑,
57', Lenglet C. 🟨,
68', Simeone G. ↓, Riquelme R. ↑,
69', Lokonga A. S. ↓, Niguez S. ↑,
69', Ejuke C. ↓, Romero I. ↑,
78', Gallagher C. ↓, Lemar T. ↑,
85', Le Normand R. 🟨,
90', Agoume L. ↓, Idumbo S. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 2, Barrios P. ⚽, Llorente M. (A),
90+6', Salas K. 🟨,
90+6', Sorloth A. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4fy6uejt

Chances of winning

Sevilla
27.5%

Draw
29.7%

Atlético Madrid
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

29%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

28.1%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Sevilla - Atlético Madrid Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (3.3)	3.23 ↓ (3.31)	2.25 ↓ (2.29)	4.1% (4.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : ESPN Deportes

What is the prediction for Sevilla - Atlético Madrid?

Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Sevilla will win (votes: 8 - 14%). Atlético will win (votes: 44 - 77.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 8.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 66.3% – 88.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Sevilla (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Atlético (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sevilla won 1.
Recent matches Sevilla is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Atlético has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Atlético could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Atlético will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Sevilla: Nianzou T. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Atlético: Correa A. (Suspended) Gimenez J. M. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Sevilla: Sanchez J. (Injury) Suso (Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Sevilla won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 23:36 (average 1.2:1.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Sevilla won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:11 (average 1.4:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Sevilla won against Atlético Madrid?

Sevilla has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Madrid won against Sevilla?

Atlético Madrid has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sevilla - Atlético Madrid were as follows:

08.12.2024 Atlético Madrid - Sevilla 4:3

11.02.2024 Sevilla - Atlético Madrid 1:0

25.01.2024 Atlético Madrid - Sevilla 1:0

23.12.2023 Atlético Madrid - Sevilla 1:0

05.08.2023 Atlético Madrid - Sevilla 1:1

Latest results of Sevilla

30.03.2025 Betis - Sevilla 2:1 ✺

09.03.2025 Real Sociedad - Sevilla 0:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla 1:1 ✺

24.02.2025 Sevilla - Mallorca 1:1 ✺

16.02.2025 Valladolid - Sevilla 0:4 ✺

Latest results of Atlético Madrid

02.04.2025 Atlético Madrid - Barcelona 0:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Espanyol - Atlético Madrid 1:1 ✺

12.03.2025 Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid 1:1 ✺

09.03.2025 Getafe - Atlético Madrid 2:1 ✺

04.03.2025 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 2:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	38	28	4	6	102:39	63	88
2	Real Madrid	38	26	6	6	78:38	40	84
3	Atl. Madrid	38	22	10	6	68:30	38	76
4	Ath Bilbao	38	19	13	6	54:29	25	70
5	Villarreal	38	20	10	8	71:51	20	70
6	Betis	38	16	12	10	57:50	7	60
7	Celta Vigo	38	16	7	15	59:57	2	55
8	Rayo Vallecano	38	13	13	12	41:45	-4	52
9	Osasuna	38	12	16	10	48:52	-4	52
10	Mallorca	38	13	9	16	35:44	-9	48
11	Real Sociedad	38	13	7	18	35:46	-11	46
12	Valencia	38	11	13	14	44:54	-10	46
13	Getafe	38	11	9	18	34:39	-5	42
14	Espanyol	38	11	9	18	40:51	-11	42
15	Alaves	38	10	12	16	38:48	-10	42
16	Girona	38	11	8	19	44:60	-16	41
17	Sevilla	38	10	11	17	42:55	-13	41
18	Leganes	38	9	13	16	39:56	-17	40
19	Las Palmas	38	8	8	22	40:61	-21	32
20	Valladolid	38	4	4	30	26:90	-64	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Sevilla - Atlético Madrid?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	K-Sport 1, SuperSport 1
Angola	Z Sport La Liga
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	K Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV 2, M+ LaLiga TV, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 1
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
Taiwan	DAZN
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
World	Daystar Pacific, Disney+, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia