Section Paloise vs Toulon: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby union French Top 14 Section Paloise - Toulon
17/05/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Section Paloise - Toulon - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Section Paloise
60.5%
Draw
4.4%
Toulon
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 4.5% 41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 4.8% 38.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Section Paloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Section Paloise's performance.
  • Toulon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toulon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Section Paloise than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulon than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Section Paloise - Toulon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.65)
    21.01
    (20)
    2.66
    (2.15)
    7.4%
    (12.1%)
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Section Paloise won 1.
    • Section Paloise is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Toulon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Toulon has had a series of home games.
    • Section Paloise could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Section Paloise won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 14 matches, and goals 314:500. (average 17.4:27.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Section Paloise won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 173:194. (average 19.2:21.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Section Paloise - Toulon were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Toulon - Section Paloise 56:25
    24.02.2024 Section Paloise - Toulon 17:9
    02.12.2023 Toulon - Section Paloise 36:13
    28.01.2023 Toulon - Section Paloise 27:16
    01.10.2022 Section Paloise - Toulon 17:34
    Latest results of Section Paloise
    10.05.2025 Lyon - Section Paloise 27:29
    04.04.2025 Section Paloise - Bath 24:49
    29.03.2025 Toulouse - Section Paloise 55:10
    Latest results of Toulon
    10.05.2025 Toulon - Toulouse 16:50
    26.04.2025 Vannes - Toulon 29:19
    19.04.2025 Toulon - Clermont 31:24
    13.04.2025 Toulon - Toulouse 18:21
    05.04.2025 Toulon - Saracens 72:42
    French Top 14 Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLPts
    1Stade Toulousain231715778:38084
    2Bordeaux Begles231508659:52569
    3RC Toulonnais231409622:54267
    4Aviron Bayonnais231319573:57560
    5Castres Olympique221129520:57153
    6Montpellier2311012568:51452
    7Stade Rochelais2311111514:57052
    8Lyon2310211608:60149
    9Clermont2210012536:55048
    10Section Paloise2310013573:65448
    11Racing 92239212601:62447
    12USA Perpignan238213399:54340
    13Stade Francais Paris238015525:66037
    14Vannes237115575:74236

          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Top 14 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro D2

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