Toulon vs Section Paloise: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby union French Top 14 Toulon - Section Paloise
04/10/2025 at 10:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Toulon - Section Paloise - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Toulon
86.4%
Draw
2.7%
Section Paloise
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
87.3% 2.6% 10.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toulon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Section Paloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Toulon - Section Paloise Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.06
    (1.04)
    33.67
    (35)
    8.77
    (9)
    9%
    (10.1%)
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-17)
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 3.
    • Section Paloise may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Toulon is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 14 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 521:339. (average 27.4:17.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toulon won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 306:141. (average 34:15.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toulon - Section Paloise were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Section Paloise - Toulon 25:21
    21.12.2024 Toulon - Section Paloise 56:25
    24.02.2024 Section Paloise - Toulon 17:9
    02.12.2023 Toulon - Section Paloise 36:13
    28.01.2023 Toulon - Section Paloise 27:16
    Latest results of Toulon
    28.09.2025 Aviron Bayonnais - Toulon 35:32
    21.09.2025 Toulon - La Rochelle Postponed
    13.09.2025 Toulon - Castres 16:12
    06.09.2025 Montpellier - Toulon 17:27
    21.06.2025 Bordeaux Bègles - Toulon 39:24
    Latest results of Section Paloise
    27.09.2025 Section Paloise - Lyon 40:15
    20.09.2025 Clermont - Section Paloise 50:27
    06.09.2025 Castres - Section Paloise 15:17
    07.06.2025 Section Paloise - La Rochelle 32:18
    French Top 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Stade Toulousain4301138:9314
    2Section Paloise4301118:9014
    3Lyon4301114:10213
    4Racing 924301122:11012
    5Aviron Bayonnais4301104:12212
    6Stade Rochelais320183:4710
    7Stade Francais Paris4202122:10710
    8Bordeaux Begles4202133:1149
    9RC Toulonnais320175:649
    10Montpellier4112106:898
    11Castres Olympique410387:1097
    12Clermont4103121:1385
    13Montauban401388:1652
    14USA Perpignan400455:1160

          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Top 14 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro D2

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