Section Paloise vs Toulon: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Rugby union French Top 14 Section Paloise - Toulon
Result
25:21
17/05/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Top 14 - Round 24
Section Paloise - Toulon - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
33
Conversion Goals
23
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
20
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (20 - 0)
  • 10', Kaulashvili L. (Try),
  • 10', Simmonds J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 13', Daubagna T. (Penalty Goal),
  • 26', Gailleton E. (Try),
  • 26', Simmonds J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 39', Simmonds J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 2nd Half (5 - 21)
  • 48', Manu T. (Try),
  • 56', Jaminet M. (Try),
  • 56', Jaminet M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 58', Villiere G. (Try),
  • 58', Jaminet M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 74', Sinckler K. (Try),
  • 75', Jaminet M. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Section Paloise
62.4%
Draw
4.3%
Toulon
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 4.5% 41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 4.8% 38.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Section Paloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Section Paloise's performance.
  • Toulon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toulon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Section Paloise than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulon than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toulon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Section Paloise - Toulon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.65)
    21.74
    (20)
    2.78
    (2.15)
    8.3%
    (12.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 53.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
  • What is the prediction for Section Paloise - Toulon?
  • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Toulon will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 29:25.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Section Paloise won 1.
    • Recent form of Section Paloise has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Toulon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Toulon has had a series of home games.
    • Section Paloise could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Section Paloise won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 14 matches, and goals 314:500. (average 17.4:27.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Section Paloise won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 173:194. (average 19.2:21.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Section Paloise - Toulon were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Toulon - Section Paloise 56:25
    24.02.2024 Section Paloise - Toulon 17:9
    02.12.2023 Toulon - Section Paloise 36:13
    28.01.2023 Toulon - Section Paloise 27:16
    01.10.2022 Section Paloise - Toulon 17:34
    Latest results of Section Paloise
    10.05.2025 Lyon - Section Paloise 27:29
    04.04.2025 Section Paloise - Bath 24:49
    29.03.2025 Toulouse - Section Paloise 55:10
    Latest results of Toulon
    10.05.2025 Toulon - Toulouse 16:50
    26.04.2025 Vannes - Toulon 29:19
    19.04.2025 Toulon - Clermont 31:24
    13.04.2025 Toulon - Toulouse 18:21
    05.04.2025 Toulon - Saracens 72:42
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Stade Toulousain (1)Bye
    2Aviron Bayonnais (4)Clermont (5)20 : 3
    3Bordeaux Begles (2)Bye
    4RC Toulonnais (3)Castres Olympique (6)52 : 23

    Semi-finals
    1Stade Toulousain (1)Aviron Bayonnais (4)32 : 25
    2Bordeaux Begles (2)RC Toulonnais (3)39 : 24

    Final
    1Stade Toulousain (1)Bordeaux Begles (2)39 : 33
    Which TV channels are streaming of Section Paloise - Toulon?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    franceFranceCanal+ Live 2, Canal+ Live 3
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app
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