Sarmiento de Junín vs San Lorenzo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo
Result
1:1
03/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 16
  • Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)
Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.490.73
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
72% (176/246)83% (407/492)
Yellow Cards
62
Expected Goals (xG)
0.490.73
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.32
Total shots
711
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1518
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
72% (176/246)83% (407/492)
Long passes
43% (25/58)44% (17/39)
Passes in final third
58% (45/78)66% (101/152)
Crosses
29% (6/21)11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.561.06
Throw-ins
1526
Fouls
1114
Tackles
53% (8/15)74% (17/23)
Duels won
5565
Clearances
2524
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
0.320.00
Goals prevented
0.320.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', Cecchini E. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 0, Vombergar A. (Own goal),
  • 41', Vallejos J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Insaurralde J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Romana J. , Herrera D. ,
  • 56', Suhr L. 🟨,
  • 58', Paradela F. 🟨,
  • 59', Paradela F. , Carabajal G. ,
  • 64', Roncaglia F. 🟨,
  • 65', Cecchini E. , Insaurralde M. ,
  • 65', Suhr L. , Burgoa V. ,
  • 66', Gho J. , Renteria J. ,
  • 70', Diaz G. , Andrada J. ,
  • 70', Frias F. , Molina A. ,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Molina A. (Own goal),
  • 89', Herrera D. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Perruzzi F. , Dominguez N. ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de Junín
28.1%
Draw
34.9%
San Lorenzo
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.9% 35.2% 37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1% 35.5% 37.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarmiento de Junín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.36
    (3.51)
    2.72
    (2.69)
    2.57
    (2.49)
    5.4%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo?
    The most likely score is 0:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • San Lorenzo is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • San Lorenzo might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Garcia M. (Yellow Cards) Magnin P. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in San Lorenzo: Altamirano F. (Elbow Injury) Cerutti E. (Yellow Cards) Dominguez N. (Muscle Injury) Irala E. (Yellow Cards) Pagano R. (Inactive)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo were as follows:
    03.06.2024 San Lorenzo - Sarmiento de Junín 0:1
    16.03.2024 San Lorenzo - Sarmiento de Junín 1:0
    30.10.2023 Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo 0:0
    20.02.2023 Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo 0:1
    17.10.2022 Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo 2:4
    Latest results of San Lorenzo
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Argentinos Jrs1696124:91533
    2Boca Juniors16103324:111333
    3Racing Club1691626:161028
    4Huracan1676319:12727
    5Tigre1683518:12627
    6Ind. Rivadavia1676320:17327
    7Barracas Central1675420:18226
    8Estudiantes L.P1656518:19-121
    9Newells Old Boys1654712:15-319
    10Defensa y Justicia1654718:22-419
    11Central Cordoba1653821:22-118
    12Belgrano1638513:23-1017
    13Aldosivi1643918:28-1015
    14Banfield1635814:19-514
    15Union de Santa Fe1635811:17-614


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central16105122:81435
    2River Plate1687121:91231
    3Independiente1685323:121129
    4San Lorenzo1676314:10427
    5Dep. Riestra1659213:7624
    6Platense1665513:11223
    7Lanus1648413:11220
    8Instituto1653816:20-418
    9Godoy Cruz163858:18-1017
    10Atl. Tucuman16511017:21-416
    11Gimnasia L.P164489:18-916
    12Sarmiento Junin1629511:19-815
    13Velez Sarsfield1642107:22-1514
    14Talleres Cordoba1627711:15-413
    15San Martin S.J1623115:18-139

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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