Sarmiento de Junín vs Independiente: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente
Result
2:2
13/07/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 1
  • Referee: Zamora E. D. (Arg)
Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.43
Ball Possession
28%72%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
63% (114/180)86% (410/479)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.021.88
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
1735
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1019
Passes
63% (114/180)86% (410/479)
Long passes
37% (19/51)51% (19/37)
Passes in final third
53% (32/60)69% (84/121)
Crosses
36% (5/14)23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.672.01
Throw-ins
2522
Fouls
1910
Tackles
56% (9/16)65% (11/17)
Duels won
4158
Clearances
3424
Interceptions
514
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.881.02
Goals prevented
-0.12-0.98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', Villalba C. 🟨,
  • 27', Cabral L. 🟨,
  • 31', Avalos G. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Ardaiz J. , Gimenez E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', 1 - 1, Avalos G. , Godoy L. (A),
  • 55', 2 - 1, Gimenez E. , Ardaiz J. (A),
  • 56', Vera F. , Tarzia D. ,
  • 65', Ardaiz J. , Frias F. ,
  • 65', Contrera J. , Suhr L. ,
  • 65', Rodriguez S. , Morales I. ,
  • 65', Morales I. 🟨,
  • 72', Marcone I. , Galdames P. ,
  • 77', Lomonaco K. 🟨,
  • 80', Mazzantti W. , Hidalgo S. ,
  • 80', Godoy L. , Mancuello F. ,
  • 83', 2 - 2, Loyola F. , Mancuello F. (A),
  • 84', Roncaglia F. , Seyral A. ,
  • 87', Villalba C. , Gomez J. ,
  • 90+2', Gomez J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de Junín
22%
Draw
30.5%
Independiente
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.6% 31.4% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente's recent form is better than expected.
  • Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.2
    (3.57)
    3.11
    (3.02)
    2.01
    (2.25)
    5.8%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 5%). Independiente will win (votes: 15 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 56%94%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 0.
    • Independiente is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Independiente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Independiente is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Independiente: Tarzia D. (Yellow Cards) Vera F. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Sarmiento: Borasi B. (Inactive)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente were as follows:
    24.01.2025 Independiente - Sarmiento de Junín 2:1
    31.10.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente 0:0
    09.06.2023 Independiente - Sarmiento de Junín 2:0
    12.09.2022 Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente 1:2
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Defensa y Justicia21102:024
    2Banfield21102:114
    3Union de Santa Fe21102:114
    4Ind. Rivadavia21014:223
    5Belgrano21013:123
    6Newells Old Boys21013:303
    7Tigre21013:303
    8Estudiantes L.P21012:203
    9Racing Club21011:103
    10Barracas Central21011:3-23
    11Boca Juniors20201:102
    12Central Cordoba20201:102
    13Argentinos Jrs20111:2-11
    14Aldosivi20110:2-21
    15Huracan20021:5-40


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate22007:166
    2Atl. Tucuman21103:214
    3Rosario Central21102:114
    4Velez Sarsfield21102:114
    5San Lorenzo21102:114
    6San Martin S.J21014:403
    7Talleres Cordoba21013:303
    8Dep. Riestra21013:303
    9Instituto21011:4-33
    10Sarmiento Junin20202:202
    11Godoy Cruz20201:102
    12Independiente20113:4-11
    13Gimnasia L.P20110:1-11
    14Platense20111:3-21
    15Lanus20020:2-20

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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