Sarmiento de Junín vs Independiente: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente
Result
2:2
13/07/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 1
  • Referee: Zamora E. D. (Arg)
Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.43
Ball Possession
28%72%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
63% (114/180)86% (410/479)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.021.88
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
1735
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1019
Passes
63% (114/180)86% (410/479)
Long passes
37% (19/51)51% (19/37)
Passes in final third
53% (32/60)69% (84/121)
Crosses
36% (5/14)23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.672.01
Throw-ins
2522
Fouls
1910
Tackles
56% (9/16)65% (11/17)
Duels won
4158
Clearances
3424
Interceptions
514
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.881.02
Goals prevented
-0.12-0.98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', Villalba C. 🟨,
  • 27', Cabral L. 🟨,
  • 31', Avalos G. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Ardaiz J. , Gimenez E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', 1 - 1, Avalos G. , Godoy L. (A),
  • 55', 2 - 1, Gimenez E. , Ardaiz J. (A),
  • 56', Vera F. , Tarzia D. ,
  • 65', Ardaiz J. , Frias F. ,
  • 65', Contrera J. , Suhr L. ,
  • 65', Rodriguez S. , Morales I. ,
  • 65', Morales I. 🟨,
  • 72', Marcone I. , Galdames P. ,
  • 77', Lomonaco K. 🟨,
  • 80', Mazzantti W. , Hidalgo S. ,
  • 80', Godoy L. , Mancuello F. ,
  • 83', 2 - 2, Loyola F. , Mancuello F. (A),
  • 84', Roncaglia F. , Seyral A. ,
  • 87', Villalba C. , Gomez J. ,
  • 90+2', Gomez J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de Junín
22%
Draw
30.5%
Independiente
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.6% 31.4% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente's recent form is better than expected.
  • Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.2
    (3.57)
    3.11
    (3.02)
    2.01
    (2.25)
    5.8%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 5%). Independiente will win (votes: 15 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 56%94%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 0.
    • Independiente is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Independiente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Independiente is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Independiente: Tarzia D. (Yellow Cards) Vera F. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Sarmiento: Borasi B. (Inactive)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente were as follows:
    24.01.2025 Independiente - Sarmiento de Junín 2:1
    31.10.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente 0:0
    09.06.2023 Independiente - Sarmiento de Junín 2:0
    12.09.2022 Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente 1:2
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Defensa y Justicia1254313:10319
    2Central Cordoba1246215:10518
    3Estudiantes L.P1253413:13018
    4Boca Juniors1145218:81017
    5Union de Santa Fe1245316:13317
    6Barracas Central1145213:11217
    7Tigre1245311:9217
    8Huracan124446:10-416
    9Argentinos Jrs1243512:9315
    10Belgrano1236311:9215
    11Racing Club1243513:13015
    12Banfield1242610:17-714
    13Ind. Rivadavia1226410:12-212
    14Newells Old Boys1225510:18-811
    15Aldosivi122375:14-99


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1273217:9824
    2Lanus1272313:9423
    3Velez Sarsfield1264217:9822
    4Rosario Central1156013:6721
    5River Plate1253418:12618
    6San Lorenzo124449:9016
    7Atl. Tucuman1243513:13015
    8Sarmiento Junin114349:11-215
    9Instituto123637:11-415
    10San Martin S.J123549:11-214
    11Talleres Cordoba123547:10-314
    12Gimnasia L.P124178:14-613
    13Platense1125411:16-511
    14Godoy Cruz121749:14-510
    15Independiente110656:12-66

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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