Sarmiento de Junín vs Independiente: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente
Result
2:2
13/07/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 1
  • Referee: Zamora E. D. (Arg)
Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.43
Ball Possession
28%72%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
63% (114/180)86% (410/479)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.021.88
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
1735
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1019
Passes
63% (114/180)86% (410/479)
Long passes
37% (19/51)51% (19/37)
Passes in final third
53% (32/60)69% (84/121)
Crosses
36% (5/14)23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.672.01
Throw-ins
2522
Fouls
1910
Tackles
56% (9/16)65% (11/17)
Duels won
4158
Clearances
3424
Interceptions
514
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.881.02
Goals prevented
-0.12-0.98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', Villalba C. 🟨,
  • 27', Cabral L. 🟨,
  • 31', Avalos G. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Ardaiz J. , Gimenez E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', 1 - 1, Avalos G. , Godoy L. (A),
  • 55', 2 - 1, Gimenez E. , Ardaiz J. (A),
  • 56', Vera F. , Tarzia D. ,
  • 65', Ardaiz J. , Frias F. ,
  • 65', Contrera J. , Suhr L. ,
  • 65', Rodriguez S. , Morales I. ,
  • 65', Morales I. 🟨,
  • 72', Marcone I. , Galdames P. ,
  • 77', Lomonaco K. 🟨,
  • 80', Mazzantti W. , Hidalgo S. ,
  • 80', Godoy L. , Mancuello F. ,
  • 83', 2 - 2, Loyola F. , Mancuello F. (A),
  • 84', Roncaglia F. , Seyral A. ,
  • 87', Villalba C. , Gomez J. ,
  • 90+2', Gomez J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de Junín
22%
Draw
30.5%
Independiente
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.6% 31.4% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente's recent form is better than expected.
  • Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.2
    (3.57)
    3.11
    (3.02)
    2.01
    (2.25)
    5.8%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 5%). Independiente will win (votes: 15 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 56%94%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 0.
    • Independiente is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Independiente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Independiente is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Independiente: Tarzia D. (Yellow Cards) Vera F. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Sarmiento: Borasi B. (Inactive)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente were as follows:
    24.01.2025 Independiente - Sarmiento de Junín 2:1
    31.10.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente 0:0
    09.06.2023 Independiente - Sarmiento de Junín 2:0
    12.09.2022 Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente 1:2
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union de Santa Fe944115:8716
    2Barracas Central943211:9215
    3Estudiantes L.P950410:10015
    4Boca Juniors935112:6614
    5Central Cordoba935112:8414
    6Banfield94149:13-413
    7Belgrano93339:7212
    8Defensa y Justicia93339:8112
    9Tigre93338:7112
    10Huracan93335:8-312
    11Argentinos Jrs932410:8211
    12Racing Club931510:12-210
    13Ind. Rivadavia923410:12-29
    14Newells Old Boys92348:11-39
    15Aldosivi90361:12-113


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra961212:5719
    2River Plate953116:7918
    3Velez Sarsfield953111:4718
    4Lanus95139:8116
    5San Lorenzo93426:6013
    6Atl. Tucuman933310:8212
    7Rosario Central82606:4212
    8Sarmiento Junin83328:9-112
    9Gimnasia L.P93156:9-310
    10Instituto92435:11-610
    11Platense82338:11-39
    12San Martin S.J92346:9-39
    13Godoy Cruz91538:11-38
    14Talleres Cordoba91444:9-57
    15Independiente80445:9-44

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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