Sarmiento de Junín vs Gimnasia La Plata: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata
Result
0:1
04/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 11
  • Referee: Echavarria P. (Arg)
Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.741.36
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
83% (354/425)61% (112/184)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.741.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.341.05
Total shots
189
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
2611
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
83% (354/425)61% (112/184)
Long passes
52% (34/66)21% (12/56)
Passes in final third
69% (100/145)44% (26/59)
Crosses
21% (7/33)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.770.10
Throw-ins
2716
Fouls
1412
Tackles
38% (6/16)58% (7/12)
Duels won
5644
Clearances
1446
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.051.34
Goals prevented
0.051.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', Contrera J. 🟨,
  • 42', Villalba C. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 0 - 1, Torres M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Villalba C. , Pratto L. ,
  • 52', Gimenez E. 🟨,
  • 57', Merlini B. , Martinez E. ,
  • 57', Torres M. , Jan Hurtado ,
  • 58', Contrera J. , Rodriguez S. ,
  • 58', Arismendi Y. , Suhr L. ,
  • 63', Morales I. (Pen),
  • 68', Panaro M. , Sosa A. ,
  • 72', Yangali J. , Garayalde N. ,
  • 72', Piedrahita A. , Mamut L. ,
  • 81', Gimenez E. , Frias F. ,
  • 85', Gomez J. , Garcia M. ,
  • 88', Max A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de Junín
44.3%
Draw
31.9%
Gimnasia La Plata
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 29.5% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 28.8% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarmiento de Junín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.2)
    2.91
    (3.18)
    3.94
    (3.35)
    6.5%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Sarmiento (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 1.
    • Recent performances by Sarmiento have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Gimnasia La Plata has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Sarmiento may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Sarmiento could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Castro L. (Muscle Injury) Corbalan F. (Red Card) Mammini I. (Knee Injury) Sosa A. (Inactive) Torres F. (Knee Injury) Villalba J. (International duty) Villarreal S. (Inactive) Zalazar M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sarmiento: Ardaiz J. (Muscle Injury) Gonzalez G. (Injury) Villalba C. (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.6:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.5:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín 0:0
    18.10.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata 1:1
    27.05.2023 Gimnasia La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín 0:0
    28.08.2022 Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata 0:0
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Defensa y Justicia1254313:10319
    2Central Cordoba1246215:10518
    3Estudiantes L.P1253413:13018
    4Boca Juniors1145218:81017
    5Union de Santa Fe1245316:13317
    6Barracas Central1145213:11217
    7Tigre1245311:9217
    8Huracan124446:10-416
    9Argentinos Jrs1243512:9315
    10Belgrano1236311:9215
    11Racing Club1243513:13015
    12Banfield1242610:17-714
    13Ind. Rivadavia1226410:12-212
    14Newells Old Boys1225510:18-811
    15Aldosivi122375:14-99


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1273217:9824
    2Lanus1272313:9423
    3Velez Sarsfield1264217:9822
    4Rosario Central1156013:6721
    5River Plate1253418:12618
    6San Lorenzo124449:9016
    7Atl. Tucuman1243513:13015
    8Sarmiento Junin114349:11-215
    9Instituto123637:11-415
    10San Martin S.J123549:11-214
    11Talleres Cordoba123547:10-314
    12Gimnasia L.P124178:14-613
    13Platense1125411:16-511
    14Godoy Cruz121749:14-510
    15Independiente110656:12-66

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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