San Telmo vs Deportivo Morón: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

19/07/2025 at 13:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Osvaldo Baletto (Dock Sud).

: Primera Nacional - Round 23

Match Stats


Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
10	17
Shots on target
6	8
Corner Kicks
2	3
Yellow Cards
2	3
Total shots
10	17
Shots on target
6	8
Shots off target
4	9
Corner Kicks
2	3
Goalkeeper Saves
6	5

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Porto J. ⚽,
25', Cocimano S. ↓, Zurbriggen J. ↑,
31', Tello F. 🟨,
40', Cesar L. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Costantino I. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Kubiszyn S. 🟨,
52', Livera J. 🟨,
63', Sosa R. ↓, Ojeda L. ↑,
68', Sanguinetti F. ↓, Baez F. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Cabrera J. M. ⚽,
90+1', Vazquez F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

San Telmo
32%

Draw
33.8%

Deportivo Morón
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

31.6%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

31.2%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Telmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Telmo's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Morón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Telmo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

San Telmo - Deportivo Morón Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.43)	2.73 ↓ (2.9)	2.72 ↓ (3)	8% (9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for San Telmo - Deportivo Morón?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. San Telmo will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Deportivo Morón will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Telmo won 3.
San Telmo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Deportivo Morón is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, San Telmo has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, San Telmo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, San Telmo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has San Telmo won against Deportivo Morón?

San Telmo has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Morón won against San Telmo?

Deportivo Morón has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between San Telmo - Deportivo Morón were as follows:

15.03.2025 Deportivo Morón - San Telmo 1:1

21.07.2024 San Telmo - Deportivo Morón 1:1

03.03.2024 Deportivo Morón - San Telmo 1:2

16.10.2023 Deportivo Morón - San Telmo 1:2

04.06.2023 San Telmo - Deportivo Morón 2:1

Latest results of San Telmo

12.07.2025 Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - San Telmo 0:0 ✺

05.07.2025 San Telmo - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 0:1 ✺

22.06.2025 San Telmo - Chacarita Juniors 0:1 ✺

15.06.2025 San Telmo - Nueva Chicago 2:2 ✺

08.06.2025 San Telmo - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Deportivo Morón

12.07.2025 Deportivo Morón - Agropecuario Argentino 1:1 ✺

06.07.2025 Gimnasia Jujuy - Deportivo Morón 0:0 ✺

22.06.2025 Central Norte - Deportivo Morón 0:0 ✺

14.06.2025 Deportivo Morón - Almirante Brown 2:0 ✺

07.06.2025 Deportivo Morón - Colón 1:0 ✺

Argentinian Primera Nacional Table

Main

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Deportivo Madryn	34	16	12	6	45:28	17	60
2	Atletico Atlanta	34	14	13	7	31:28	3	55
3	Tristan Suarez	34	12	16	6	33:23	10	52
4	Gimnasia y Tiro	34	13	12	9	34:23	11	51
5	San Miguel	34	12	14	8	32:28	4	50
6	San Martin T	34	12	13	9	32:29	3	49
7	Deportivo Maipu	34	12	12	10	34:30	4	48
8	Patronato	34	12	12	10	31:28	3	48
9	Colegiales	34	13	8	13	26:26	0	47
10	All Boys	34	8	17	9	26:25	1	41
11	Racing Cordoba	34	10	11	13	38:45	-7	41
12	Ferro	34	10	11	13	24:33	-9	41
13	Los Andes	34	10	10	14	28:31	-3	40
14	Club A. Guemes	34	8	16	10	28:32	-4	40
15	Quilmes	34	8	14	12	30:32	-2	38
16	Almagro	34	7	14	13	24:31	-7	35
17	Arsenal Sarandi	34	8	10	16	38:47	-9	34
18	Alvarado	34	6	15	13	18:33	-15	33

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gimnasia Mendoza	34	17	12	5	35:18	17	63
2	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	34	16	12	6	35:22	13	60
3	CA Estudiantes	34	17	8	9	41:22	19	59
4	Deportivo Moron	34	15	13	6	36:19	17	58
5	Gimnasia Jujuy	34	15	12	7	36:20	16	57
6	Temperley	34	14	13	7	30:22	8	55
7	Agropecuario	34	15	9	10	43:34	9	54
8	Chaco For Ever	34	15	8	11	34:26	8	53
9	Chacarita Juniors	34	12	13	9	37:29	8	49
10	Def. de Belgrano	34	12	12	10	30:26	4	48
11	Nueva Chicago	34	10	11	13	27:33	-6	41
12	San Telmo	34	10	11	13	31:42	-11	41
13	CA Mitre	34	10	10	14	28:31	-3	40
14	Almirante Brown	34	8	12	14	28:38	-10	36
15	Central Norte	34	10	6	18	27:41	-14	36
16	Colon Santa Fe	34	9	5	20	22:39	-17	32
17	Talleres (R.E)	34	6	5	23	17:40	-23	23
18	Defensores Unidos	34	3	12	19	17:52	-35	21

      Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
      Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
      Relegation

Which TV channels are streaming of San Telmo - Deportivo Morón?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play