San Martín de Tucumán vs Quilmes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Primera Nacional San Martín de Tucumán - Quilmes
28/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
San Martín de Tucumán - Quilmes - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


San Martín de Tucumán
50.4%
Draw
31.2%
Quilmes
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 31.3% 18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 29.8% 19.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Martín de Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • The chances for Quilmes have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • San Martín de Tucumán - Quilmes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.84)
    2.94
    (2.95)
    5.05
    (5.04)
    8.2%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Martin T won 2.
    • Recent form of San Martin T has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Quilmes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, San Martin T is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, San Martin T won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Martin T won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Martín de Tucumán - Quilmes were as follows:
    26.05.2025 Quilmes - San Martín de Tucumán 1:2
    22.07.2024 Quilmes - San Martín de Tucumán 1:2
    04.03.2024 San Martín de Tucumán - Quilmes 0:0
    Latest results of Quilmes
    22.09.2025 Quilmes - Güemes 0:0
    14.09.2025 Patronato Parana - Quilmes 1:0
    31.08.2025 Club Almagro - Quilmes 2:2
    28.08.2025 Quilmes - Alvarado 0:0
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Madryn321512543:261757
    2Atletico Atlanta321412629:23654
    3San Miguel ✔ 321213730:25549
    4Gimnasia y Tiro321211930:201047
    5Patronato321211930:25547
    6San Martin T321211929:26347
    7Tristan Suarez321016628:22646
    8Deportivo Maipu321112930:28245
    9Colegiales321181323:25-241
    10Racing Cordoba3210111136:39-341
    11Los Andes3210101228:27140
    12Quilmes328131129:30-137
    13All Boys32716923:25-237
    14Ferro328111320:32-1235
    15Club A. Guemes326161026:32-634
    16Almagro327131224:30-634
    17Alvarado326141218:28-1032
    18Arsenal Sarandi327101532:45-1331


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Mendoza321611533:171659
    2Estudiantes Rio Cuarto321511632:201256
    3CA Estudiantes32167939:211855
    4Gimnasia Jujuy321412632:171554
    5Deportivo Moron321412632:181454
    6Chaco For Ever321571033:24952
    7Agropecuario32149941:33851
    8Temperley321312727:22551
    9Chacarita Juniors321212836:261048
    10Def. de Belgrano321112928:25345
    11CA Mitre321091327:27039
    12Nueva Chicago329111226:30-438
    13San Telmo329111228:38-1038
    14Central Norte321061626:37-1136
    15Almirante Brown327111425:36-1132
    16Colon Santa Fe32851921:38-1729
    17Talleres (R.E) ✔ 32552215:38-2320
    18Defensores Unidos ✔ 323111817:51-3420

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Miguel is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Talleres (R.E) is Relegated to
    Defensores Unidos is Relegated to
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