San Martín de Tucumán vs Patronato Parana: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

28/06/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio La Ciudadela (Tucuman).

: Primera Nacional - Round 20
Referee: Cavallero L. (Arg)

Match Stats


Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
5	10
Shots on target
2	5
Corner Kicks
5	3
Yellow Cards
2	2
Red Cards
1	0
Total shots
5	10
Shots on target
2	5
Shots off target
3	5
Corner Kicks
5	3
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Moreyra F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, Bonansea A. ⚽, Moreno E. (A),
59', Moreno E. ↓, Escobar I. ↑,
67', Castro F. ↓, Sanchez G. ↑,
67', Garcia F. ↓, Cainelli N. ↑,
68', Hachen G. ↓, Cisnero A. ↑,
75', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
78', Zuliani H. ↓, Spetale A. ↑,
86', Cuevas J. ↓, Soraire J. ↑,
86', Marcioni J. ↓, Asis G. ↑,
86', Gallucci S. ↓, Picco A. R. ↑,
88', Sand D. 🟨,
90+1', Soraire J. 🟥,
90+8', Rueda M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

San Martín de Tucumán
55.1%

Draw
27.8%

Patronato Parana
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

29.6%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

28.6%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Martín de Tucumán's performance.

Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Patronato Parana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Martín de Tucumán that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Patronato Parana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

San Martín de Tucumán - Patronato Parana Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2)	3.33 ↑ (3.1)	5.4 ↑ (3.75)	8% (8.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for San Martín de Tucumán - Patronato Parana?

Users Predictions: San Martín de Tucumán will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Martin T won 5.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Recently, Patronato has had a series of home games.
In this match, San Martin T is the team to beat.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, San Martin T won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 2:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, San Martin T won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

How many head-to-head matches has San Martín de Tucumán won against Patronato Parana?

San Martín de Tucumán has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Patronato Parana won against San Martín de Tucumán?

Patronato Parana has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between San Martín de Tucumán - Patronato Parana were as follows:

23.02.2025 Patronato Parana - San Martín de Tucumán 0:1

06.10.2024 Patronato Parana - San Martín de Tucumán 0:1

20.05.2024 San Martín de Tucumán - Patronato Parana 2:0

17.09.2023 Patronato Parana - San Martín de Tucumán 1:3

07.05.2023 San Martín de Tucumán - Patronato Parana 2:0

Latest results of San Martín de Tucumán

22.06.2025 Ferro Carril Oeste - San Martín de Tucumán 0:2 ✺

14.06.2025 San Martín de Tucumán - Club Almagro 1:1 ✺

31.05.2025 San Martín de Tucumán - San Miguel 0:1 ✺

26.05.2025 Quilmes - San Martín de Tucumán 1:2 ✺

17.05.2025 San Martín de Tucumán - Racing de Córdoba 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Patronato Parana

22.06.2025 Patronato Parana - Güemes 1:1 ✺

15.06.2025 Patronato Parana - Los Andes 0:0 ✺

01.06.2025 Patronato Parana - Ferro Carril Oeste 3:0 ✺

25.05.2025 Club Almagro - Patronato Parana 2:1 ✺

19.05.2025 Patronato Parana - San Miguel 2:1 ✺

Argentinian Primera Nacional Table

2025

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Deportivo Madryn	27	12	11	4	38:24	14	47
2	Atletico Atlanta	28	12	11	5	27:19	8	47
3	San Martin T	27	11	10	6	25:20	5	43
4	San Miguel	28	11	10	7	28:24	4	43
5	Patronato	28	11	9	8	29:24	5	42
6	Tristan Suarez	28	9	14	5	24:19	5	41
7	Gimnasia y Tiro	27	10	10	7	23:15	8	40
8	Deportivo Maipu	27	9	9	9	25:25	0	36
9	Los Andes	27	9	8	10	26:24	2	35
10	Colegiales	28	9	7	12	17:22	-5	34
11	Quilmes	27	8	9	10	27:27	0	33
12	All Boys	27	7	12	8	22:22	0	33
13	Racing Cordoba	27	8	9	10	31:35	-4	33
14	Almagro	27	7	10	10	20:24	-4	31
15	Ferro	28	7	9	12	17:29	-12	30
16	Club A. Guemes	28	4	15	9	24:31	-7	27
17	Alvarado	27	5	12	10	17:24	-7	27
18	Arsenal Sarandi	28	6	9	13	28:40	-12	27

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gimnasia Mendoza	27	14	10	3	29:13	16	52
2	Gimnasia Jujuy	27	13	11	3	31:13	18	50
3	Deportivo Moron	27	12	10	5	29:16	13	46
4	Chacarita Juniors	28	12	10	6	33:21	12	46
5	CA Estudiantes	28	13	6	9	30:19	11	45
6	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	27	11	11	5	27:17	10	44
7	Temperley	27	11	11	5	23:17	6	44
8	Chaco For Ever	27	13	4	10	28:23	5	43
9	Agropecuario	27	10	8	9	31:31	0	38
10	San Telmo	27	8	11	8	25:29	-4	35
11	Def. de Belgrano	27	8	10	9	22:22	0	34
12	Nueva Chicago	28	8	9	11	24:27	-3	33
13	Central Norte	28	9	6	13	23:30	-7	33
14	CA Mitre	27	8	8	11	19:22	-3	32
15	Colon Santa Fe	28	8	4	16	21:34	-13	28
16	Almirante Brown	27	5	10	12	21:31	-10	25
17	Talleres (R.E)	28	4	5	19	13:34	-21	17
18	Defensores Unidos	27	2	10	15	15:45	-30	16

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Which TV channels are streaming of San Martín de Tucumán - Patronato Parana?

It is being streamed on channel


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