Defensores de Belgrano vs San Martín de Tucumán: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Primera Nacional Defensores de Belgrano - San Martín de Tucumán
Result
2:1
16/10/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 38
Defensores de Belgrano - San Martín de Tucumán - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Defensores de Belgrano
38.1%
Draw
31.3%
San Martín de Tucumán
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 28.1% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 28.7% 35.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • San Martín de Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Martín de Tucumán might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Defensores de Belgrano - San Martín de Tucumán Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (2.52)
    2.95
    (3.22)
    3.08
    (2.52)
    7.5%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Defensores de Belgrano - San Martín de Tucumán?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Defensores will win (votes: 4 - 20%). San Martin T will win (votes: 7 - 35%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 45%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.2%66.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • San Martín de Tucumán is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    • Defensores de Belgrano is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • San Martín de Tucumán is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Defensores de Belgrano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensores de Belgrano won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Defensores de Belgrano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensores de Belgrano - San Martín de Tucumán were as follows:
    04.06.2023 San Martín de Tucumán - Defensores de Belgrano 3:1
    22.10.2022 San Martín de Tucumán - Defensores de Belgrano 0:3
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Madryn261210436:221446
    2Atletico Atlanta261110525:18743
    3Gimnasia y Tiro271010723:15840
    4San Miguel261010627:22540
    5Tristan Suarez26912522:17539
    6San Martin T25109623:19439
    7Patronato26108828:24438
    8Deportivo Maipu2699824:23136
    9Racing Cordoba2689931:34-333
    10Colegiales27961217:22-533
    11Los Andes26881025:24132
    12Quilmes2579925:26-130
    13All Boys26612820:21-130
    14Almagro26791020:24-430
    15Ferro27791116:27-1130
    16Club A. Guemes26415722:27-527
    17Alvarado255101017:24-725
    18Arsenal Sarandi26591226:38-1224


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Mendoza251310227:111649
    2Gimnasia Jujuy261211329:131647
    3Chacarita Juniors27129632:201245
    4Temperley271111523:17644
    5Deportivo Moron251110427:141343
    6Chaco For Ever26134928:21743
    7CA Estudiantes26126828:181042
    8Estudiantes Rio Cuarto261011526:17941
    9Agropecuario2698929:30-135
    10San Telmo27811825:29-435
    11Nueva Chicago26881024:26-232
    12CA Mitre26881018:20-232
    13Def. de Belgrano26710919:21-231
    14Central Norte26851322:30-829
    15Colon Santa Fe27831620:33-1327
    16Almirante Brown265101120:29-925
    17Defensores Unidos262101414:42-2816
    18Talleres (R.E)26351811:31-2014

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

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