San Lorenzo vs Vélez Sársfield: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield
Result
1:0
07/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 4
  • Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.790.24
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
226
Shots on target
60
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
70% (211/303)76% (332/435)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.790.24
xG on target (xGOT)
1.110.00
Total shots
226
Shots on target
60
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
123
Shots outside the Box
103
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
2410
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
188
Passes
70% (211/303)76% (332/435)
Long passes
52% (30/58)40% (25/62)
Passes in final third
58% (71/123)70% (85/122)
Crosses
26% (5/19)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.820.43
Throw-ins
1626
Fouls
818
Tackles
75% (18/24)67% (16/24)
Duels won
7655
Clearances
4928
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.001.11
Goals prevented
0.000.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', Baez E. 🟨,
  • 4', Baeza C. 🟨,
  • 21', Reali M. 🟨,
  • 22', Machuca I. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 0, Cuello A. , Cerutti E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Insaurralde M. , Rattalino J. ,
  • 46', Herrera E. , Lopez F. ,
  • 54', Baeza C. , Godoy D. ,
  • 56', Gomez E. 🟨,
  • 59', Perruzzi I. 🟨,
  • 60', Cerutti E. , Ladstatter A. ,
  • 78', Reali M. , Salinardi Branco ,
  • 80', Braian Romero 🟨,
  • 83', Carrizo M. , Pellegrini M. ,
  • 83', Machuca I. , Veron A. ,
  • 90', Tripichio N. , Perruzzi F. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Lorenzo
37.4%
Draw
35.2%
Vélez Sársfield
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.3% 31.6% 29.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.43)
    2.7
    (3.02)
    3.46
    (3.27)
    5.6%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
  • What is the prediction for San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield?
  • Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 8 - 16.7%). Vélez will win (votes: 28 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 44.4%72.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 2 - 25%). Vélez (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 1.
    • Recent performances by San Lorenzo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Vélez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • San Lorenzo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in San Lorenzo: Arias N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Vélez: Cavanagh T. (Muscle Injury) Fernandez T. (Knee Injury) Garcia J. (Broken ankle) Monzon F. (Knee Injury) Santos M. (Muscle Injury) Valdes D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in San Lorenzo: Dominguez N. (Ankle Injury) Lopez F. (Knock)
    • There are questionable in Vélez: Andrada I. (Injury) Bouzat A. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Vélez Sársfield - San Lorenzo 0:0
    14.09.2024 San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield 0:1
    06.08.2024 San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield 1:3
    08.10.2022 San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield 1:0
    Latest results of San Lorenzo
    Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barracas Central63219:7211
    2Defensa y Justicia62316:429
    3Estudiantes L.P53027:619
    4Huracan53024:5-19
    5Union de Santa Fe52216:248
    6Belgrano52215:238
    7Tigre62226:608
    8Central Cordoba51405:417
    9Banfield52127:8-17
    10Boca Juniors51315:326
    11Newells Old Boys61325:6-16
    12Argentinos Jrs51222:3-15
    13Ind. Rivadavia61236:8-25
    14Racing Club51133:5-24
    15Aldosivi50321:5-43


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate532011:3811
    2San Lorenzo63215:3211
    3Rosario Central62404:2210
    4Atl. Tucuman62318:539
    5Lanus53025:329
    6Velez Sarsfield52214:318
    7San Martin S.J62225:508
    8Dep. Riestra52125:507
    9Gimnasia L.P62134:5-17
    10Sarmiento Junin51315:6-16
    11Platense51314:5-16
    12Talleres Cordoba61233:7-45
    13Instituto61232:10-85
    14Godoy Cruz50324:7-33
    15Independiente50234:7-32

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
    brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
    greeceGreeceAction 24
    italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
    mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
    peruPeruDisney+
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
    spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Lite, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, #Vamos
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaFanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
    worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional
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