San Lorenzo vs San Martín de San Juan: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional San Lorenzo - San Martín de San Juan
Result
0:1
10/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 12
  • Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)
San Lorenzo - San Martín de San Juan - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.110.93
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
196
Shots on target
71
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
115
Passes
69% (225/326)55% (113/206)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
2.110.93
xG on target (xGOT)
1.330.94
Total shots
196
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
124
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
115
Touches in opposition box
259
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
139
Passes
69% (225/326)55% (113/206)
Long passes
32% (21/65)18% (8/44)
Passes in final third
59% (69/116)41% (28/68)
Crosses
17% (5/29)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.32
Throw-ins
2332
Fouls
913
Tackles
81% (21/26)63% (12/19)
Duels won
7760
Clearances
2045
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
0.941.33
Goals prevented
-0.061.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Diarte L. 🟨,
  • 45', Lecanda T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 61', Fernandez T. , Salle S. ,
  • 61', Gonzalez S. , Cavallaro J. ,
  • 64', Reali M. , Ladstatter A. ,
  • 72', Diarte L. , Orihuela M. ,
  • 72', Maestro I. , Barrera S. ,
  • 73', Cerutti E. , Herazo D. ,
  • 73', Lopez F. , Herrera E. ,
  • 78', 0 - 1, Gonzalez D. , Jaurena S. (A),
  • 84', Tripichio N. , Hernandez M. ,
  • 86', Borgogno M. 🟨,
  • 88', Gonzalez D. , Caseres R. ,
  • 90', Perruzzi I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Lorenzo
57%
Draw
27.6%
San Martín de San Juan
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.6% 22.6% 14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8% 22.2% 14.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Lorenzo's form might have worsened.
  • San Martín de San Juan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Lorenzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • San Lorenzo - San Martín de San Juan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.5)
    3.51
    (4.16)
    6.24
    (6.36)
    5%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for San Lorenzo - San Martín de San Juan?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). San Martín will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Lorenzo: 38.8%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 4.
    • Recent performances by San Lorenzo have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • San Martín is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, San Lorenzo is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in San Lorenzo: Arias N. (Knee Injury) Cordoba A. (Inactive) Insaurralde M. (Elbow Injury) Rodriguez Pagano T. (International duty)
    • There will not play in San Martín: Pelaitay N. (Injury) Toloza F. (Inactive) Watson N. (Red Card)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 1.6:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Lorenzo - San Martín de San Juan were as follows:
    04.04.2025 San Martín de San Juan - San Lorenzo 0:1
    10.10.2023 San Lorenzo - San Martín de San Juan 1:0
    Latest results of San Lorenzo
    04.10.2025 Lanús - San Lorenzo 2:1
    27.09.2025 San Lorenzo - Godoy Cruz 2:0
    12.09.2025 Racing - San Lorenzo 2:0
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Defensa y Justicia1254313:10319
    2Central Cordoba1246215:10518
    3Estudiantes L.P1253413:13018
    4Boca Juniors1145218:81017
    5Union de Santa Fe1245316:13317
    6Barracas Central1145213:11217
    7Tigre1245311:9217
    8Huracan124446:10-416
    9Argentinos Jrs1243512:9315
    10Belgrano1236311:9215
    11Racing Club1243513:13015
    12Banfield1242610:17-714
    13Ind. Rivadavia1226410:12-212
    14Newells Old Boys1225510:18-811
    15Aldosivi122375:14-99


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1273217:9824
    2Lanus1272313:9423
    3Velez Sarsfield1264217:9822
    4Rosario Central1156013:6721
    5River Plate1253418:12618
    6San Lorenzo124449:9016
    7Atl. Tucuman1243513:13015
    8Sarmiento Junin114349:11-215
    9Instituto123637:11-415
    10San Martin S.J123549:11-214
    11Talleres Cordoba123547:10-314
    12Gimnasia L.P124178:14-613
    13Platense1125411:16-511
    14Godoy Cruz121749:14-510
    15Independiente110656:12-66

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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