San Lorenzo vs Rosario Central: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional San Lorenzo - Rosario Central
Result
0:1
26/04/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 15
  • Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
San Lorenzo - Rosario Central - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.490.84
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
84% (341/406)82% (287/350)
Yellow Cards
54
Expected Goals (xG)
0.490.84
xG on target (xGOT)
0.331.88
Total shots
109
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2013
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
139
Passes
84% (341/406)82% (287/350)
Long passes
66% (29/44)49% (19/39)
Passes in final third
72% (91/127)72% (78/108)
Crosses
26% (5/19)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.79
Throw-ins
929
Fouls
913
Tackles
76% (13/17)50% (7/14)
Duels won
5335
Clearances
3427
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.880.33
Goals prevented
0.540.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Lopez S. 🟨,
  • 42', Navarro F. 🟨,
  • 43', Malcorra I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Lovera M. , Duarte G. ,
  • 61', Broun J. 🟨,
  • 65', Irala E. 🟨,
  • 66', Gimenez E. , O'Connor T. ,
  • 66', Lopez S. , Giaccone L. ,
  • 70', Braida M. 🟨,
  • 72', Braida M. , Reali M. ,
  • 73', Romana J. 🟨,
  • 74', Cerutti E. 🟨,
  • 76', Reali M. 🟨,
  • 83', Irala E. , Cecchini E. ,
  • 83', Vombergar A. , Cuello A. ,
  • 90+1', 0 - 1, Copetti E. , Giaccone L. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Lorenzo
39.3%
Draw
34.7%
Rosario Central
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 30.2% 23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 29.3% 22.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Lorenzo's form might have worsened.
  • Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Lorenzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • San Lorenzo - Rosario Central Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.04)
    2.71
    (3.13)
    3.65
    (4.06)
    5.8%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
  • What is the prediction for San Lorenzo - Rosario Central?
    The most likely score is 0:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • San Lorenzo is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Rosario is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 2.
    • Now both teams are in good shape.
    • San Lorenzo will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in San Lorenzo: Altamirano F. (Elbow Injury) Dominguez N. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Rosario: Gimenez J. (Inactive) Ibarra F. (Yellow Cards) Lovera M. (Injury) Modica A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rosario: Campaz J. (Injury)
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20:14 (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams San Lorenzo won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Lorenzo - Rosario Central were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Rosario Central - San Lorenzo 0:1
    01.07.2023 San Lorenzo - Rosario Central 1:0
    27.08.2022 San Lorenzo - Rosario Central 1:1
    Latest results of San Lorenzo
    Latest results of Rosario Central
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Argentinos Jrs1696124:91533
    2Boca Juniors16103324:111333
    3Racing Club1691626:161028
    4Huracan1676319:12727
    5Tigre1683518:12627
    6Ind. Rivadavia1676320:17327
    7Barracas Central1675420:18226
    8Estudiantes L.P1656518:19-121
    9Newells Old Boys1654712:15-319
    10Defensa y Justicia1654718:22-419
    11Central Cordoba1653821:22-118
    12Belgrano1638513:23-1017
    13Aldosivi1643918:28-1015
    14Banfield1635814:19-514
    15Union de Santa Fe1635811:17-614


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central16105122:81435
    2River Plate1687121:91231
    3Independiente1685323:121129
    4San Lorenzo1676314:10427
    5Dep. Riestra1659213:7624
    6Platense1665513:11223
    7Lanus1648413:11220
    8Instituto1653816:20-418
    9Godoy Cruz163858:18-1017
    10Atl. Tucuman16511017:21-416
    11Gimnasia L.P164489:18-916
    12Sarmiento Junin1629511:19-815
    13Velez Sarsfield1642107:22-1514
    14Talleres Cordoba1627711:15-413
    15San Martin S.J1623115:18-139

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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