San Lorenzo vs Atlético Tucumán: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional San Lorenzo - Atlético Tucumán
Result
1:0
12/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 13
  • Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)
San Lorenzo - Atlético Tucumán - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.711.15
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
84% (403/479)78% (253/325)
Yellow Cards
45
Expected Goals (xG)
0.711.15
xG on target (xGOT)
1.070.40
Total shots
914
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
1415
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
189
Passes
84% (403/479)78% (253/325)
Long passes
43% (17/40)44% (26/59)
Passes in final third
63% (60/96)63% (52/82)
Crosses
44% (4/9)41% (9/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.381.16
Fouls
918
Tackles
89% (16/18)55% (12/22)
Duels won
6346
Clearances Total
2011
Interceptions
115
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.401.07
Goals prevented
0.400.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Martinez D. 🟨,
  • 41', Ferrari G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Cecchini E. , Tripichio N. ,
  • 52', Brizuela M. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 0, Vombergar A. , Cerutti E. (A),
  • 62', Franco N. , Lamendola N. ,
  • 66', Romana J. 🟨,
  • 68', Auzqui C. , Bajamich M. ,
  • 68', Coronel M. , Diaz L. ,
  • 75', Cerutti E. , Cuello A. ,
  • 80', Martinez D. , Rodriguez L. ,
  • 87', Baez E. , Rodriguez Pagano T. ,
  • 88', Orihuela M. 🟨,
  • 88', Tripichio N. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Muniain I. , Dominguez N. ,
  • 90+2', Herrera E. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Diaz L. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Cuello A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Lorenzo
49.5%
Draw
29.3%
Atlético Tucumán
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.4% 26.1% 16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 25.7% 16.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Lorenzo's form might have worsened.
  • Atlético Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Lorenzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • San Lorenzo - Atlético Tucumán Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.65)
    3.18
    (3.62)
    4.48
    (5.75)
    6.4%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for San Lorenzo - Atlético Tucumán?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 1.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • San Lorenzo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match San Lorenzo is a favorite.
    • There will not play in San Lorenzo: Altamirano F. (Broken Hand) Tripichio N. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M. (Inactive) Infante J. (Injury) Tesuri R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in San Lorenzo: Reali M. (Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.2:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams San Lorenzo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Lorenzo - Atlético Tucumán were as follows:
    10.08.2024 San Lorenzo - Atlético Tucumán 0:1
    08.04.2023 Atlético Tucumán - San Lorenzo 1:3
    10.09.2022 San Lorenzo - Atlético Tucumán 1:1
    Latest results of San Lorenzo
    Latest results of Atlético Tucumán
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Argentinos Jrs1696124:91533
    2Boca Juniors16103324:111333
    3Racing Club1691626:161028
    4Huracan1676319:12727
    5Tigre1683518:12627
    6Ind. Rivadavia1676320:17327
    7Barracas Central1675420:18226
    8Estudiantes L.P1656518:19-121
    9Newells Old Boys1654712:15-319
    10Defensa y Justicia1654718:22-419
    11Central Cordoba1653821:22-118
    12Belgrano1638513:23-1017
    13Aldosivi1643918:28-1015
    14Banfield1635814:19-514
    15Union de Santa Fe1635811:17-614


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central16105122:81435
    2River Plate1687121:91231
    3Independiente1685323:121129
    4San Lorenzo1676314:10427
    5Dep. Riestra1659213:7624
    6Platense1665513:11223
    7Lanus1648413:11220
    8Instituto1653816:20-418
    9Godoy Cruz163858:18-1017
    10Atl. Tucuman16511017:21-416
    11Gimnasia L.P164489:18-916
    12Sarmiento Junin1629511:19-815
    13Velez Sarsfield1642107:22-1514
    14Talleres Cordoba1627711:15-413
    15San Martin S.J1623115:18-139

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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