Result
1:2
17/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : MLS
- Referee: Dickerson J. (Usa)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (294/378) | 79% (386/488) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (294/378) | 79% (386/488) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/56) | 51% (31/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (83/118) | 65% (81/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 73% (19/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.58 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Harangi A. ↓, Negri F. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 48', Angel T. ↓, de la Torre L. ↑,
- 64', Godoy A. ↓, Ingvartsen M. ↑,
- 71', Kaye M. ↓, Harkes I. ↑,
- 71', Leroux B. ↓, Buck N. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 0, Martinez J. ⚽,
- 75', Vazquez D. ↓, Boateng E. ↑,
- 75', Valakari O. ↓, Soma P. ↑,
- 79', Daniel 🟨,
- 81', 1 - 1, Ingvartsen M. ⚽, Negri F. (A),
- 83', Duah M. 🟨,
- 83', Arango C. ↓, Bouda O. ↑,
- 83', Martinez J. ↓, Judd P. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 2, Dreyer A. ⚽, Ingvartsen M. (A),
- 85', Dreyer A. 🟨,
- 86', Boateng E. 🟨,
- 87', Vitor Costa ↓, Ricketts J. ↑,
- 88', Judd P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
San Jose Earthquakes
40.7% | Draw
24.5% | San Diego
34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)San Diego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
San Jose Earthquakes - San Diego Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↓
(2.55) |
3.86
(3.86) |
2.74 ↑
(2.5) |
5.4%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - San Diego?
Users Predictions:
San Jose Earthquakes will win
(24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.75% – 98.67%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): San Jose Earthquakes will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Recent form of San Jose has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- San Diego has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- San Diego may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, San Diego has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in San Jose: Kikanovic B.
(Upper-Body Injury)
- There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A.
(Knee Injury)
Ingvartsen M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Kumado W.
(Lower-Body Injury)
McNair P.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Reyes A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Verhoeven O.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has San Jose Earthquakes won against San Diego?
San Jose Earthquakes has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Diego won against San Jose Earthquakes?
San Diego has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Jose Earthquakes - San Diego were as follows:
Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
Latest results of San Diego
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 54:34 | 20 | 56 |
| 2 | Minnesota United | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 51 |
| 3 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 49 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 48:38 | 10 | 44 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45:33 | 12 | 41 |
| 6 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 36:38 | -2 | 39 |
| 7 | Austin FC | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29:33 | -4 | 38 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 36 |
| 9 | San Jose Earthquakes | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 53:51 | 2 | 35 |
| 10 | Houston Dynamo | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 32 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 28:36 | -8 | 31 |
| 12 | FC Dallas | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 39:47 | -8 | 30 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 43:57 | -14 | 27 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 33:50 | -17 | 21 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 32:55 | -23 | 19 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 49:26 | 23 | 57 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 42:36 | 6 | 52 |
| 3 | Charlotte | 29 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 48:40 | 8 | 50 |
| 4 | Nashville SC | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 49:33 | 16 | 50 |
| 5 | Orlando City | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 54:40 | 14 | 47 |
| 6 | Inter Miami | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 54:40 | 14 | 46 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:39 | 4 | 46 |
| 8 | New York City | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 38:32 | 6 | 44 |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 42:38 | 4 | 40 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50:48 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 36:40 | -4 | 31 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 32:49 | -17 | 26 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 28:35 | -7 | 25 |
| 14 | CF Montreal | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 29:51 | -22 | 24 |
| 15 | DC United | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 26:54 | -28 | 24 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of San Jose Earthquakes - San Diego?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT, TNT Sports |
 Australia | SBS On Demand, SBS Viceland |
 Brazil | HBO Max |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Chile | TNT Sports |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 India | Eurosport, JioTV app |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Mexico | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
 Spain | 3Cat, Esport3 |
 Turkey | Tabii, TRT Spor |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC |
 World | EA Sports FC |
