San Jose Earthquakes vs Philadelphia Union: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer MLS San Jose Earthquakes - Philadelphia Union
Result
2:1
10/06/2023 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USA: MLS
  • Referee: Saghafi N. (Usa)
San Jose Earthquakes - Philadelphia Union - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


San Jose Earthquakes
32.9%
Draw
27.6%
Philadelphia Union
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 25.6% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4% 26.3% 26.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Jose Earthquakes's form might have worsened.
  • Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Philadelphia Union's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (+15.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Jose Earthquakes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-13%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Philadelphia Union, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • San Jose Earthquakes - Philadelphia Union Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.84
    (1.99)
    3.39
    (3.67)
    2.39
    (3.46)
    6.6%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - Philadelphia Union?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Philadelphia: 30.1%75.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • San Jose has the most likely position - 4 (11.37%), project points - 47, currently - 23, a good chance of playoffs (81%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (2%).
    • Philadelphia has the most likely position - 2 (25.4%), project points - 59, currently - 30, a very good chance of playoffs (98%), a small chance of supporters shield (12%), a small chance of win league (13%).
    • This event has quality 45, small importance 14, small match rating 30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches San Jose won 0.
    • Recent matches San Jose is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Philadelphia is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recently San Jose have a series of guest games.
    • Recently Philadelphia have a series of home games.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in San Jose: Nathan (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Philadelphia: Bedoya A. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches San Jose won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-14.
    • Including matches at home between the teams San Jose won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.
    Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
    Latest results of Philadelphia Union
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC20123541:251639
    2Vancouver Whitecaps19115335:191638
    3Minnesota United2097433:231034
    4Portland Timbers1986528:27130
    5Seattle Sounders1985627:25229
    6San Jose Earthquakes2076740:32827
    7Los Angeles FC1775530:24626
    8Colorado Rapids2075823:28-526
    9Austin FC2075815:23-826
    10Houston Dynamo2065925:31-623
    11FC Dallas1956826:35-921
    12Sporting Kansas City20551031:37-620
    13Real Salt Lake19541019:26-719
    14St. Louis City20361119:31-1215
    15Los Angeles Galaxy20161319:42-239


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union20124435:201540
    2FC Cincinnati20123531:26539
    3Nashville SC20115436:231338
    4Columbus Crew20107333:26737
    5Orlando City2096537:261133
    6New York City2094727:22531
    7Inter Miami1685336:27929
    8New York Red Bulls2085732:24829
    9Chicago Fire1984738:34428
    10Charlotte20811132:34-225
    11New England Revolution1866624:21324
    12DC United20461017:39-2218
    13Toronto FC20451123:28-517
    14Atlanta Utd19451022:37-1517
    15CF Montreal20351217:36-1914

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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