San Jose Earthquakes vs Philadelphia Union: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer MLS San Jose Earthquakes - Philadelphia Union
Result
2:1
10/06/2023 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USA: MLS
  • Referee: Saghafi N. (Usa)
San Jose Earthquakes - Philadelphia Union - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


San Jose Earthquakes
32.9%
Draw
27.6%
Philadelphia Union
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 25.6% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4% 26.3% 26.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Jose Earthquakes's form might have worsened.
  • Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Philadelphia Union's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (+15.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Jose Earthquakes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-13%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Philadelphia Union, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • San Jose Earthquakes - Philadelphia Union Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.84
    (1.99)
    3.39
    (3.67)
    2.39
    (3.46)
    6.6%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - Philadelphia Union?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Philadelphia: 30.1%75.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • San Jose has the most likely position - 4 (11.37%), project points - 47, currently - 23, a good chance of playoffs (81%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (2%).
    • Philadelphia has the most likely position - 2 (25.4%), project points - 59, currently - 30, a very good chance of playoffs (98%), a small chance of supporters shield (12%), a small chance of win league (13%).
    • This event has quality 45, small importance 14, small match rating 30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches San Jose won 0.
    • Recent matches San Jose is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Philadelphia is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recently San Jose have a series of guest games.
    • Recently Philadelphia have a series of home games.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in San Jose: Nathan (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Philadelphia: Bedoya A. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches San Jose won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-14.
    • Including matches at home between the teams San Jose won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.
    Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
    Latest results of Philadelphia Union
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC24134747:321543
    2Vancouver Whitecaps23126539:261342
    3Minnesota United24118540:271341
    4Seattle Sounders23107637:33437
    5Los Angeles FC21106539:271236
    6Portland Timbers2397732:32034
    7Colorado Rapids24861030:36-630
    8Austin FC2286817:24-730
    9San Jose Earthquakes2478946:42429
    10Real Salt Lake23841124:29-528
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas23671032:41-925
    13Sporting Kansas City23661136:42-624
    14St. Louis City23461323:38-1518
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati24153639:31848
    2Nashville SC24145542:251747
    3Philadelphia Union24145540:231747
    4Columbus Crew24128440:33744
    5Inter Miami21125449:341541
    6Orlando City24108643:321138
    7Charlotte241121141:39235
    8New York City23105830:26435
    9New York Red Bulls2496939:35433
    10Chicago Fire2395944:40432
    11New England Revolution23671030:32-225
    12Toronto FC23561225:30-521
    13Atlanta Utd23481127:43-1620
    14DC United24471320:45-2519
    15CF Montreal24361520:45-2515

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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