San Jose Earthquakes vs Inter Miami: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS San Jose Earthquakes - Inter Miami
Result
3:3
14/05/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Dickerson J. (Usa)
San Jose Earthquakes - Inter Miami - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.292.27
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
16
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
82% (319/388)84% (511/611)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.292.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.632.44
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
16
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2415
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
54
Free Kicks
813
Passes
82% (319/388)84% (511/611)
Long passes
56% (22/39)49% (36/73)
Passes in final third
73% (78/107)72% (116/161)
Crosses
18% (5/28)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.961.80
Throw-ins
1722
Fouls
138
Tackles
48% (10/21)60% (15/25)
Duels won
4857
Clearances
2327
Interceptions
176
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
2.441.63
Goals prevented
-0.56-1.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 2)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Falcon M. , Alba J. (A),
  • 3', 1 - 1, Arango C. , Espinoza C. (A),
  • 31', Arango C. , Pellegrino A. ,
  • 37', 2 - 1, Leroux B. ,
  • 44', 2 - 2, Allende T. , Alba J. (A),
  • 45+4', 3 - 2, Harkes I. , Leroux B. (A), Pellegrino A. (A2)
  • 45+7', Vitor Costa 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Cremaschi B. , Rodriguez B. ,
  • 52', 3 - 3, Allende T. , Rodriguez B. (A), Messi L. (A2)
  • 63', Rodriguez B. , Obando A. ,
  • 66', Bouda O. 🟨,
  • 69', Rodrigues , Floriani M. ,
  • 70', Bouda O. , Martinez J. ,
  • 70', Weigandt M. , Lujan G. ,
  • 74', Romney D. 🟨,
  • 74', Allen N. 🟨,
  • 79', Harkes I. , Kaye M. ,
  • 79', Pellegrino A. , Lopez H. ,
  • 81', Bright Y. , Redondo Solari F. ,
  • 81', Segovia T. , Martinez D. ,

Chances of winning


San Jose Earthquakes
37.5%
Draw
24.8%
Inter Miami
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.2% 25.6% 40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8% 25.3% 40.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • San Jose Earthquakes - Inter Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (2.77)
    3.86
    (3.7)
    2.54
    (2.35)
    4.5%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - Inter Miami?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Inter Miami will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Jose: 41.5%84.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): San Jose Earthquakes will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Recent performances by San Jose have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Inter Miami's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • San Jose may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in San Jose: Wilson Valdez B. R. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Callender D. (Groin Injury) Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Inter Miami: Rodriguez B. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Jose won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    • Including home match between the teams, San Jose won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC29175754:342056
    2Minnesota United29149648:321651
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC26118745:331241
    6Portland Timbers28109936:38-239
    7Austin FC27108929:33-438
    8Colorado Rapids291061338:48-1036
    9San Jose Earthquakes29981253:51235
    10Houston Dynamo28881237:46-932
    11Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    12FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    13Sporting Kansas City28761543:57-1427
    14St. Louis City28561733:50-1721
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union29176649:262357
    2FC Cincinnati29164942:36652
    3Charlotte291621148:40850
    4Nashville SC29155949:331650
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew281210643:39446
    8New York City27135938:32644
    9New York Red Bulls291171142:38440
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution28871336:40-431
    12Atlanta Utd285111232:49-1726
    13Toronto FC285101328:35-725
    14CF Montreal29591529:51-2224
    15DC United29591526:54-2824

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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