San Jose Earthquakes vs Inter Miami: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS San Jose Earthquakes - Inter Miami
Result
3:3
14/05/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Dickerson J. (Usa)
San Jose Earthquakes - Inter Miami - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.292.27
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
16
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
82% (319/388)84% (511/611)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.292.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.632.44
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
16
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2415
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
54
Free Kicks
813
Passes
82% (319/388)84% (511/611)
Long passes
56% (22/39)49% (36/73)
Passes in final third
73% (78/107)72% (116/161)
Crosses
18% (5/28)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.961.80
Throw-ins
1722
Fouls
138
Tackles
48% (10/21)60% (15/25)
Duels won
4857
Clearances
2327
Interceptions
176
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
2.441.63
Goals prevented
-0.56-1.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 2)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Falcon M. , Alba J. (A),
  • 3', 1 - 1, Arango C. , Espinoza C. (A),
  • 31', Arango C. , Pellegrino A. ,
  • 37', 2 - 1, Leroux B. ,
  • 44', 2 - 2, Allende T. , Alba J. (A),
  • 45+4', 3 - 2, Harkes I. , Leroux B. (A), Pellegrino A. (A2)
  • 45+7', Vitor Costa 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Cremaschi B. , Rodriguez B. ,
  • 52', 3 - 3, Allende T. , Rodriguez B. (A), Messi L. (A2)
  • 63', Rodriguez B. , Obando A. ,
  • 66', Bouda O. 🟨,
  • 69', Rodrigues , Floriani M. ,
  • 70', Bouda O. , Martinez J. ,
  • 70', Weigandt M. , Lujan G. ,
  • 74', Romney D. 🟨,
  • 74', Allen N. 🟨,
  • 79', Harkes I. , Kaye M. ,
  • 79', Pellegrino A. , Lopez H. ,
  • 81', Bright Y. , Redondo Solari F. ,
  • 81', Segovia T. , Martinez D. ,

Chances of winning


San Jose Earthquakes
37.5%
Draw
24.8%
Inter Miami
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.2% 25.6% 40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8% 25.3% 40.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • San Jose Earthquakes - Inter Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (2.77)
    3.86
    (3.7)
    2.54
    (2.35)
    4.5%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - Inter Miami?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Inter Miami will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Jose: 41.5%84.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): San Jose Earthquakes will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Recent performances by San Jose have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Inter Miami's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • San Jose may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in San Jose: Wilson Valdez B. R. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Callender D. (Groin Injury) Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Inter Miami: Rodriguez B. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Jose won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    • Including home match between the teams, San Jose won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC21123644:291539
    2Vancouver Whitecaps20115435:221338
    3Minnesota United21107435:241137
    4Portland Timbers2096530:28233
    5Seattle Sounders2086628:26230
    6Los Angeles FC1885533:24929
    7San Jose Earthquakes2177741:33828
    8Houston Dynamo2175929:34-526
    9Austin FC2075815:23-826
    10Colorado Rapids22751024:33-926
    11Sporting Kansas City21651033:38-523
    12Real Salt Lake20641022:28-622
    13FC Dallas2056927:37-1021
    14St. Louis City21361221:34-1315
    15Los Angeles Galaxy21261322:42-2012


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati21133533:27642
    2Nashville SC21125437:231441
    3Philadelphia Union21124535:211440
    4Columbus Crew21108334:27738
    5Inter Miami18105342:291335
    6Orlando City2197539:281134
    7New York City2094727:22531
    8New York Red Bulls2186733:25830
    9Chicago Fire2084839:36328
    10Charlotte21821134:36-226
    11New England Revolution2066826:25124
    12DC United21471017:39-2219
    13Atlanta Utd20461022:37-1518
    14Toronto FC20451123:28-517
    15CF Montreal21351318:40-2214

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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