Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Houston Dynamo - San Jose Earthquakes
Result
1:2
23/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Boiko S. (Ukr)
Houston Dynamo - San Jose Earthquakes - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.410.65
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
86
Passes
87% (405/464)85% (344/406)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.410.65
xG on target (xGOT)
0.481.23
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
86
Touches in opposition box
2514
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
612
Passes
87% (405/464)85% (344/406)
Long passes
48% (25/52)46% (26/57)
Passes in final third
76% (107/140)56% (38/68)
Crosses
34% (11/32)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.050.45
Throw-ins
2218
Fouls
128
Tackles
73% (8/11)44% (8/18)
Duels won
3339
Clearances
1132
Interceptions
93
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.230.48
Goals prevented
-0.77-0.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', Ortiz P. , Bartlow E. ,
  • 21', McGlynn J. 🟨,
  • 28', 0 - 1, Arango C. , Jones D. (A), Munie D. (A2)
  • 30', Kaye M. 🟨,
  • 35', Ponce E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Kaye M. , Vieira R. ,
  • 55', Espinoza C. 🟨,
  • 58', Kowalczyk S. , Ennali L. ,
  • 58', Junior Urso , Holmes D. ,
  • 64', 0 - 2, Harkes I. , Munie D. (A), Espinoza C. (A2)
  • 65', Judd P. , Bouda O. ,
  • 72', 1 - 2, Antonio Carlos , McGlynn J. (A),
  • 79', Arango C. , Martinez J. ,
  • 79', Espinoza C. , Buck N. ,
  • 82', Lingr O. , Bassi A. ,
  • 82', Dorsey G. , Olusanya T. ,
  • 85', Ricketts J. , Wilson Valdez B. R. ,
  • 90+3', Roberts R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Houston Dynamo
46.2%
Draw
24.6%
San Jose Earthquakes
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 24% 32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 23.7% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Houston Dynamo - San Jose Earthquakes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.15)
    3.82
    (3.9)
    3.24
    (2.88)
    5.8%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo - San Jose Earthquakes?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). San Jose will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Houston: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Houston Dynamo will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 3.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Houston could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Houston: Quinones N. (Knee Injury) Raines B. (Red Card) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in San Jose: Kikanovic B. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Houston: Escobar F. (Lower-Body Injury) Segal G. (Lower-Body Injury) Sviatchenko E. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:27. (average 1.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:11. (average 2.5:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Houston Dynamo - San Jose Earthquakes were as follows:
    24.05.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Houston Dynamo 3:3
    17.07.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - Houston Dynamo 0:1
    30.03.2024 Houston Dynamo - San Jose Earthquakes 2:1
    21.06.2023 Houston Dynamo - San Jose Earthquakes 4:1
    01.04.2023 San Jose Earthquakes - Houston Dynamo 2:1
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 31176856:381857
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 30168657:322556
    3Minnesota United ✔ 31159751:361554
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 29148757:372050
    5Seattle Sounders30129952:45745
    6Austin FC301281033:37-444
    7Portland Timbers3111101039:41-243
    8Colorado Rapids311161441:52-1139
    9FC Dallas309101145:49-437
    10Houston Dynamo31991340:49-936
    11San Jose Earthquakes31981456:58-235
    12Real Salt Lake301041632:45-1334
    13St. Louis City31771739:52-1328
    14Sporting Kansas City31761845:63-1827
    15Los Angeles Galaxy30491737:61-2421


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 31186750:331760
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3Inter Miami ✔ 29167664:461855
    4Charlotte ✔ 311721251:42953
    5New York City ✔ 311651046:39753
    6Orlando City30149758:431551
    7Nashville SC311551152:381450
    8Columbus Crew311311751:47450
    9Chicago Fire301361157:53445
    10New York Red Bulls311271245:40543
    11New England Revolution31881539:45-632
    12Toronto FC305121330:37-727
    13Atlanta Utd305121337:55-1827
    14DC United315101629:58-2925
    15CF Montreal31591729:55-2624

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Houston Dynamo - San Jose Earthquakes?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
    italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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