Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Houston Dynamo - San Jose Earthquakes
Result
1:2
23/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Boiko S. (Ukr)
Houston Dynamo - San Jose Earthquakes - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.410.65
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
86
Passes
87% (405/464)85% (344/406)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.410.65
xG on target (xGOT)
0.481.23
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
86
Touches in opposition box
2514
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
612
Passes
87% (405/464)85% (344/406)
Long passes
48% (25/52)46% (26/57)
Passes in final third
76% (107/140)56% (38/68)
Crosses
34% (11/32)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.050.45
Throw-ins
2218
Fouls
128
Tackles
73% (8/11)44% (8/18)
Duels won
3339
Clearances
1132
Interceptions
93
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.230.48
Goals prevented
-0.77-0.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', Ortiz P. , Bartlow E. ,
  • 21', McGlynn J. 🟨,
  • 28', 0 - 1, Arango C. , Jones D. (A), Munie D. (A2)
  • 30', Kaye M. 🟨,
  • 35', Ponce E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Kaye M. , Vieira R. ,
  • 55', Espinoza C. 🟨,
  • 58', Kowalczyk S. , Ennali L. ,
  • 58', Junior Urso , Holmes D. ,
  • 64', 0 - 2, Harkes I. , Munie D. (A), Espinoza C. (A2)
  • 65', Judd P. , Bouda O. ,
  • 72', 1 - 2, Antonio Carlos , McGlynn J. (A),
  • 79', Arango C. , Martinez J. ,
  • 79', Espinoza C. , Buck N. ,
  • 82', Lingr O. , Bassi A. ,
  • 82', Dorsey G. , Olusanya T. ,
  • 85', Ricketts J. , Wilson Valdez B. R. ,
  • 90+3', Roberts R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Houston Dynamo
46.2%
Draw
24.6%
San Jose Earthquakes
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 24% 32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 23.7% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Houston Dynamo - San Jose Earthquakes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.15)
    3.82
    (3.9)
    3.24
    (2.88)
    5.8%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo - San Jose Earthquakes?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). San Jose will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Houston: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Houston Dynamo will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 3.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Houston could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Houston: Quinones N. (Knee Injury) Raines B. (Red Card) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in San Jose: Kikanovic B. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Houston: Escobar F. (Lower-Body Injury) Segal G. (Lower-Body Injury) Sviatchenko E. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:27. (average 1.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:11. (average 2.5:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Houston Dynamo - San Jose Earthquakes were as follows:
    24.05.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Houston Dynamo 3:3
    17.07.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - Houston Dynamo 0:1
    30.03.2024 Houston Dynamo - San Jose Earthquakes 2:1
    21.06.2023 Houston Dynamo - San Jose Earthquakes 4:1
    01.04.2023 San Jose Earthquakes - Houston Dynamo 2:1
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC29175754:342056
    2Minnesota United29149648:321651
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC26118745:331241
    6Portland Timbers28109936:38-239
    7Austin FC27108929:33-438
    8Colorado Rapids291061338:48-1036
    9San Jose Earthquakes29981253:51235
    10Houston Dynamo28881237:46-932
    11Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    12FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    13Sporting Kansas City28761543:57-1427
    14St. Louis City28561733:50-1721
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union29176649:262357
    2FC Cincinnati29164942:36652
    3Charlotte291621148:40850
    4Nashville SC29155949:331650
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew281210643:39446
    8New York City27135938:32644
    9New York Red Bulls291171142:38440
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution28871336:40-431
    12Atlanta Utd285111232:49-1726
    13Toronto FC285101328:35-725
    14CF Montreal29591529:51-2224
    15DC United29591526:54-2824

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Houston Dynamo - San Jose Earthquakes?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
    italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
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