St. Louis City vs San Diego: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS St. Louis City - San Diego
Result
1:2
10/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Chapman A. (Usa)
St. Louis City - San Diego - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.610.69
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
81% (313/386)86% (511/595)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.610.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.600.83
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
79
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
79
Hit the Woodwork
12
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
2420
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
98
Passes
81% (313/386)86% (511/595)
Long passes
59% (41/70)47% (25/53)
Passes in final third
60% (54/90)75% (135/179)
Crosses
27% (4/15)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.811.07
Throw-ins
1520
Fouls
89
Tackles
55% (6/11)50% (5/10)
Duels won
3943
Clearances
1424
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.830.60
Goals prevented
-1.17-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Valakari O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 59', Ostrak T. 🟨,
  • 67', Valakari O. , Iloski M. ,
  • 73', Horn J. , Reid J. ,
  • 73', Joao Klauss , Becher S. ,
  • 73', Ostrak T. , Silva X. ,
  • 79', 0 - 1, Iloski M. , Godoy A. (A),
  • 80', Kumado W. , Verhoeven O. ,
  • 84', Baumgartl T. , Pompeu C. ,
  • 87', 0 - 2, Dreyer A. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Hiebert K. ,
  • 90+6', Verhoeven O. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Baumgartl T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


St. Louis City
38.1%
Draw
24.9%
San Diego
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 26.7% 34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 27.8% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • San Diego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • St. Louis City - San Diego Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.43)
    3.82
    (3.56)
    2.58
    (2.79)
    4.8%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for St. Louis City - San Diego?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). San Diego will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • St. Louis City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Burki R. (Hand Injury) Durkin C. (Knee Injury) Kessler H. (Hamstring Injury) Totland T. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in San Diego: Ingvartsen M. (Leg Injury) Reyes A. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, St. Louis City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - San Diego were as follows:
    01.03.2025 San Diego - St. Louis City 0:0
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    Latest results of San Diego
    03.05.2025 San Diego - FC Dallas 5:0
    26.04.2025 San Diego - Real Salt Lake 1:3
    19.04.2025 Charlotte - San Diego 3:0
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC25144748:321646
    2Vancouver Whitecaps24136542:261645
    3Minnesota United25128542:281444
    4Seattle Sounders24108639:35438
    5Portland Timbers24107733:32137
    6Los Angeles FC22106639:281136
    7Austin FC2396821:26-533
    8Real Salt Lake24941126:30-431
    9Colorado Rapids25861131:39-830
    10San Jose Earthquakes25781047:44329
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas24671135:45-1025
    13Sporting Kansas City24661236:45-924
    14St. Louis City24461424:40-1618
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union25155543:241950
    2FC Cincinnati25154639:31849
    3Nashville SC25145642:261647
    4Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    5Inter Miami22126449:341542
    6Orlando City25118646:331341
    7Charlotte251221143:39438
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire24105945:40535
    10New York Red Bulls25961039:36333
    11New England Revolution24671131:35-425
    12Toronto FC24561325:32-721
    13Atlanta Utd24491129:45-1621
    14DC United25471422:49-2719
    15CF Montreal25461523:46-2318

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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