St. Louis City vs San Diego: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS St. Louis City - San Diego
Result
1:2
10/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Chapman A. (Usa)
St. Louis City - San Diego - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.610.69
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
81% (313/386)86% (511/595)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.610.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.600.83
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
79
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
79
Hit the Woodwork
12
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
2420
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
98
Passes
81% (313/386)86% (511/595)
Long passes
59% (41/70)47% (25/53)
Passes in final third
60% (54/90)75% (135/179)
Crosses
27% (4/15)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.811.07
Throw-ins
1520
Fouls
89
Tackles
55% (6/11)50% (5/10)
Duels won
3943
Clearances
1424
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.830.60
Goals prevented
-1.17-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Valakari O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 59', Ostrak T. 🟨,
  • 67', Valakari O. , Iloski M. ,
  • 73', Horn J. , Reid J. ,
  • 73', Joao Klauss , Becher S. ,
  • 73', Ostrak T. , Silva X. ,
  • 79', 0 - 1, Iloski M. , Godoy A. (A),
  • 80', Kumado W. , Verhoeven O. ,
  • 84', Baumgartl T. , Pompeu C. ,
  • 87', 0 - 2, Dreyer A. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Hiebert K. ,
  • 90+6', Verhoeven O. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Baumgartl T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


St. Louis City
38.1%
Draw
24.9%
San Diego
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 26.7% 34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 27.8% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • San Diego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • St. Louis City - San Diego Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.43)
    3.82
    (3.56)
    2.58
    (2.79)
    4.8%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for St. Louis City - San Diego?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • St. Louis City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Burki R. (Hand Injury) Durkin C. (Knee Injury) Kessler H. (Hamstring Injury) Totland T. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in San Diego: Ingvartsen M. (Leg Injury) Reyes A. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, St. Louis City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - San Diego were as follows:
    01.03.2025 San Diego - St. Louis City 0:0
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    Latest results of San Diego
    03.05.2025 San Diego - FC Dallas 5:0
    26.04.2025 San Diego - Real Salt Lake 1:3
    19.04.2025 Charlotte - San Diego 3:0
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps1384124:101428
    2Minnesota United1474322:13925
    3San Diego FC1473425:16924
    4Portland Timbers1465323:20323
    5Los Angeles FC1464425:20522
    6Seattle Sounders1455421:19220
    7Colorado Rapids1454516:20-419
    8San Jose Earthquakes1453629:23618
    9Austin FC145369:16-718
    10Houston Dynamo1444615:19-416
    11FC Dallas1344515:22-716
    12Real Salt Lake1442813:19-614
    13Sporting Kansas City1433819:24-512
    14St. Louis City1425711:19-811
    15Los Angeles Galaxy14041012:33-214


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union1492327:141329
    2FC Cincinnati1492319:15429
    3Columbus Crew1476122:14827
    4Nashville SC1473424:16824
    5Orlando City1466227:161124
    6Inter Miami1364324:21322
    7New York City1463515:14121
    8Charlotte1461721:21019
    9Chicago Fire1354424:24019
    10New York Red Bulls1453620:17318
    11New England Revolution1253412:10218
    12DC United1435613:25-1214
    13Toronto FC1434716:18-213
    14Atlanta Utd1425714:24-1011
    15CF Montreal141498:23-157

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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