St. Louis City vs San Diego: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS St. Louis City - San Diego
Result
1:2
10/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Chapman A. (Usa)
St. Louis City - San Diego - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.610.69
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
81% (313/386)86% (511/595)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.610.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.600.83
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
79
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
79
Hit the Woodwork
12
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
2420
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
98
Passes
81% (313/386)86% (511/595)
Long passes
59% (41/70)47% (25/53)
Passes in final third
60% (54/90)75% (135/179)
Crosses
27% (4/15)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.811.07
Throw-ins
1520
Fouls
89
Tackles
55% (6/11)50% (5/10)
Duels won
3943
Clearances
1424
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.830.60
Goals prevented
-1.17-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Valakari O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 59', Ostrak T. 🟨,
  • 67', Valakari O. , Iloski M. ,
  • 73', Horn J. , Reid J. ,
  • 73', Joao Klauss , Becher S. ,
  • 73', Ostrak T. , Silva X. ,
  • 79', 0 - 1, Iloski M. , Godoy A. (A),
  • 80', Kumado W. , Verhoeven O. ,
  • 84', Baumgartl T. , Pompeu C. ,
  • 87', 0 - 2, Dreyer A. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Hiebert K. ,
  • 90+6', Verhoeven O. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Baumgartl T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


St. Louis City
38.1%
Draw
24.9%
San Diego
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 26.7% 34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 27.8% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • San Diego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • St. Louis City - San Diego Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.43)
    3.82
    (3.56)
    2.58
    (2.79)
    4.8%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for St. Louis City - San Diego?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). San Diego will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • St. Louis City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Burki R. (Hand Injury) Durkin C. (Knee Injury) Kessler H. (Hamstring Injury) Totland T. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in San Diego: Ingvartsen M. (Leg Injury) Reyes A. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, St. Louis City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - San Diego were as follows:
    01.03.2025 San Diego - St. Louis City 0:0
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    Latest results of San Diego
    03.05.2025 San Diego - FC Dallas 5:0
    26.04.2025 San Diego - Real Salt Lake 1:3
    19.04.2025 Charlotte - San Diego 3:0
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps16105130:121835
    2San Diego FC1793529:181130
    3Minnesota United1786326:161030
    4Portland Timbers1785427:23429
    5Los Angeles FC1675430:23726
    6Seattle Sounders1875625:25026
    7Austin FC1865713:20-723
    8San Jose Earthquakes1764734:28622
    9Colorado Rapids1764718:24-622
    10Houston Dynamo1755722:25-320
    11FC Dallas1646618:26-818
    12Sporting Kansas City1744926:31-516
    13Real Salt Lake17431016:25-915
    14St. Louis City1735914:23-914
    15Los Angeles Galaxy17141215:36-217


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union17104332:181434
    2FC Cincinnati1793525:24130
    3Inter Miami1685336:27929
    4Nashville SC1785430:21929
    5Columbus Crew1777327:24328
    6New York Red Bulls1783628:19927
    7Orlando City1776431:22927
    8Charlotte1781828:27125
    9Chicago Fire1674535:29625
    10New York City1774620:20025
    11New England Revolution1565419:14523
    12DC United1846817:36-1918
    13Atlanta Utd1745821:30-917
    14Toronto FC17341018:24-613
    15CF Montreal17151112:32-208

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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