St. Louis City vs San Diego: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS St. Louis City - San Diego
Result
1:2
10/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Chapman A. (Usa)
St. Louis City - San Diego - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.610.69
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
81% (313/386)86% (511/595)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.610.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.600.83
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
79
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
79
Hit the Woodwork
12
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
2420
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
98
Passes
81% (313/386)86% (511/595)
Long passes
59% (41/70)47% (25/53)
Passes in final third
60% (54/90)75% (135/179)
Crosses
27% (4/15)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.811.07
Throw-ins
1520
Fouls
89
Tackles
55% (6/11)50% (5/10)
Duels won
3943
Clearances
1424
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.830.60
Goals prevented
-1.17-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Valakari O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 59', Ostrak T. 🟨,
  • 67', Valakari O. , Iloski M. ,
  • 73', Horn J. , Reid J. ,
  • 73', Joao Klauss , Becher S. ,
  • 73', Ostrak T. , Silva X. ,
  • 79', 0 - 1, Iloski M. , Godoy A. (A),
  • 80', Kumado W. , Verhoeven O. ,
  • 84', Baumgartl T. , Pompeu C. ,
  • 87', 0 - 2, Dreyer A. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Hiebert K. ,
  • 90+6', Verhoeven O. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Baumgartl T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


St. Louis City
38.1%
Draw
24.9%
San Diego
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 26.7% 34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 27.8% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • San Diego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • St. Louis City - San Diego Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.43)
    3.82
    (3.56)
    2.58
    (2.79)
    4.8%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for St. Louis City - San Diego?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). San Diego will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • St. Louis City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Burki R. (Hand Injury) Durkin C. (Knee Injury) Kessler H. (Hamstring Injury) Totland T. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in San Diego: Ingvartsen M. (Leg Injury) Reyes A. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, St. Louis City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - San Diego were as follows:
    01.03.2025 San Diego - St. Louis City 0:0
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    Latest results of San Diego
    03.05.2025 San Diego - FC Dallas 5:0
    26.04.2025 San Diego - Real Salt Lake 1:3
    19.04.2025 Charlotte - San Diego 3:0
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC21123644:291539
    2Vancouver Whitecaps20115435:221338
    3Minnesota United21107435:241137
    4Portland Timbers2096530:28233
    5Seattle Sounders2086628:26230
    6San Jose Earthquakes2177741:33828
    7Los Angeles FC1775530:24626
    8Houston Dynamo2175929:34-526
    9Colorado Rapids2175924:30-626
    10Austin FC2075815:23-826
    11Sporting Kansas City21651033:38-523
    12Real Salt Lake20641022:28-622
    13FC Dallas2056927:37-1021
    14St. Louis City21361221:34-1315
    15Los Angeles Galaxy21261322:42-2012


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati21133533:27642
    2Nashville SC21125437:231441
    3Philadelphia Union21124535:211440
    4Columbus Crew21108334:27738
    5Orlando City2197539:281134
    6Inter Miami1795340:281232
    7New York City2094727:22531
    8New York Red Bulls2186733:25830
    9Chicago Fire2084839:36328
    10Charlotte21821134:36-226
    11New England Revolution1966725:23224
    12DC United21471017:39-2219
    13Atlanta Utd20461022:37-1518
    14Toronto FC20451123:28-517
    15CF Montreal21351318:40-2214

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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