San Diego vs Houston Dynamo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS San Diego - Houston Dynamo
Result
3:4
05/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
San Diego - Houston Dynamo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.431.55
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
88% (527/598)85% (358/421)
Yellow Cards
16
Expected Goals (xG)
1.431.55
xG on target (xGOT)
1.722.92
Total shots
147
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
3717
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
158
Passes
88% (527/598)85% (358/421)
Long passes
60% (25/42)43% (17/40)
Passes in final third
79% (125/159)69% (70/101)
Crosses
17% (4/23)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
2.220.74
Throw-ins
2816
Fouls
815
Tackles
71% (17/24)80% (8/10)
Duels won
5037
Clearances
940
Interceptions
512
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
2.921.72
Goals prevented
-1.08-1.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Iloski M. , Valakari O. (A), Bombino L. (A2)
  • 36', 1 - 1, Ennali L. , Bassi A. (A),
  • 45+3', 1 - 2, Escobar F. , Bartlow E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 53', Lingr O. 🟨,
  • 54', 2 - 2, Bombino L. , Tverskov J. (A), Valakari O. (A2)
  • 56', Mighten A. , Lozano H. ,
  • 56', McNair P. , Pilcher I. ,
  • 58', Raines B. 🟨,
  • 62', Bartlow E. 🟨,
  • 63', Ennali L. , Holmes D. ,
  • 67', 3 - 2, Valakari O. ,
  • 76', Lingr O. , Duenas E. ,
  • 84', Valakari O. 🟨,
  • 88', 3 - 3, Ponce E. (Pen),
  • 90', Godoy A. , Angel T. ,
  • 90+1', Bassi A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Holmes D. 🟨,
  • 90+10', 3 - 4, Ponce E. , Bartlow E. (A),
  • 90+14', Duenas E. 🟨,
  • 90+15', Bassi A. , Dorsey G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Diego
58.6%
Draw
22.3%
Houston Dynamo
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 23.6% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 22.6% 19.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Diego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • San Diego - Houston Dynamo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.72)
    4.25
    (4.04)
    4.96
    (4.58)
    5.4%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for San Diego - Houston Dynamo?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 31.2%83%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Diego (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • San Diego is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Houston has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, San Diego has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, San Diego is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A. (Injury) Diop H. (Lower-Body Injury) Ingvartsen M. (Lower-Body Injury) Kumado W. (Lower-Body Injury) McNair P. (Lower-Body Injury) de la Torre L. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Houston: McGlynn J. (International duty) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Houston: Steres D. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • We predict that San Diego will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of San Diego
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 31176856:381857
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 29167656:312555
    3Minnesota United ✔ 31159751:361554
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 29148757:372050
    5Seattle Sounders30129952:45745
    6Austin FC301281033:37-444
    7Portland Timbers301191038:40-242
    8Colorado Rapids311161441:52-1139
    9FC Dallas309101145:49-437
    10Houston Dynamo31991340:49-936
    11San Jose Earthquakes31981456:58-235
    12Real Salt Lake301041632:45-1334
    13St. Louis City31771739:52-1328
    14Sporting Kansas City31761845:63-1827
    15Los Angeles Galaxy30491737:61-2421


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 31186750:331760
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3Charlotte ✔ 311721251:42953
    4New York City ✔ 30165946:351153
    5Inter Miami28157660:461452
    6Orlando City30149758:431551
    7Nashville SC311551152:381450
    8Columbus Crew311311751:47450
    9Chicago Fire301361157:53445
    10New York Red Bulls311271245:40543
    11New England Revolution31881539:45-632
    12Toronto FC305121330:37-727
    13Atlanta Utd305121337:55-1827
    14DC United315101629:58-2925
    15CF Montreal31591729:55-2624

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of San Diego - Houston Dynamo?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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