San Diego vs Houston Dynamo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS San Diego - Houston Dynamo
Result
3:4
05/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
San Diego - Houston Dynamo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.431.55
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
88% (527/598)85% (358/421)
Yellow Cards
16
Expected Goals (xG)
1.431.55
xG on target (xGOT)
1.722.92
Total shots
147
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
3717
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
158
Passes
88% (527/598)85% (358/421)
Long passes
60% (25/42)43% (17/40)
Passes in final third
79% (125/159)69% (70/101)
Crosses
17% (4/23)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
2.220.74
Throw-ins
2816
Fouls
815
Tackles
71% (17/24)80% (8/10)
Duels won
5037
Clearances
940
Interceptions
512
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
2.921.72
Goals prevented
-1.08-1.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Iloski M. , Valakari O. (A), Bombino L. (A2)
  • 36', 1 - 1, Ennali L. , Bassi A. (A),
  • 45+3', 1 - 2, Escobar F. , Bartlow E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 53', Lingr O. 🟨,
  • 54', 2 - 2, Bombino L. , Tverskov J. (A), Valakari O. (A2)
  • 56', Mighten A. , Lozano H. ,
  • 56', McNair P. , Pilcher I. ,
  • 58', Raines B. 🟨,
  • 62', Bartlow E. 🟨,
  • 63', Ennali L. , Holmes D. ,
  • 67', 3 - 2, Valakari O. ,
  • 76', Lingr O. , Duenas E. ,
  • 84', Valakari O. 🟨,
  • 88', 3 - 3, Ponce E. (Pen),
  • 90', Godoy A. , Angel T. ,
  • 90+1', Bassi A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Holmes D. 🟨,
  • 90+10', 3 - 4, Ponce E. , Bartlow E. (A),
  • 90+14', Duenas E. 🟨,
  • 90+15', Bassi A. , Dorsey G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Diego
58.6%
Draw
22.3%
Houston Dynamo
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 23.6% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 22.6% 19.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Diego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • San Diego - Houston Dynamo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.72)
    4.25
    (4.04)
    4.96
    (4.58)
    5.4%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for San Diego - Houston Dynamo?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 31.2%83%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Diego (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • San Diego is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Houston has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, San Diego has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, San Diego is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A. (Injury) Diop H. (Lower-Body Injury) Ingvartsen M. (Lower-Body Injury) Kumado W. (Lower-Body Injury) McNair P. (Lower-Body Injury) de la Torre L. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Houston: McGlynn J. (International duty) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Houston: Steres D. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • We predict that San Diego will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of San Diego
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC29175754:342056
    2Minnesota United29149648:321651
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC26118745:331241
    6Portland Timbers28109936:38-239
    7Austin FC27108929:33-438
    8Colorado Rapids291061338:48-1036
    9San Jose Earthquakes29981253:51235
    10Houston Dynamo28881237:46-932
    11Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    12FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    13Sporting Kansas City28761543:57-1427
    14St. Louis City28561733:50-1721
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union29176649:262357
    2FC Cincinnati29164942:36652
    3Charlotte291621148:40850
    4Nashville SC29155949:331650
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew281210643:39446
    8New York City27135938:32644
    9New York Red Bulls291171142:38440
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution28871336:40-431
    12Atlanta Utd285111232:49-1726
    13Toronto FC285101328:35-725
    14CF Montreal29591529:51-2224
    15DC United29591526:54-2824

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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