Houston Dynamo vs San Diego: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Houston Dynamo - San Diego
Result
2:4
04/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Fischer D. (Can)
Houston Dynamo - San Diego - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.452.25
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
1715
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
78% (222/285)86% (478/557)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.452.25
xG on target (xGOT)
2.263.24
Total shots
1715
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
93
Shots inside the Box
128
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
1922
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1719
Passes
78% (222/285)86% (478/557)
Long passes
43% (19/44)41% (19/46)
Passes in final third
63% (35/56)71% (102/143)
Crosses
17% (2/12)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.411.18
Throw-ins
1617
Fouls
1917
Tackles
90% (9/10)86% (6/7)
Duels won
4038
Clearances
917
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
3.242.26
Goals prevented
-0.760.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Felipe Andrade , Junior Urso (A),
  • 39', Ponce E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 4)
  • 46', Negri F. , Pilcher I. ,
  • 46', Lozano H. , Pellegrino A. ,
  • 53', 1 - 1, Dreyer A. (Pen),
  • 67', Holmes D. , Bassi A. ,
  • 75', Baird C. , Mighten A. ,
  • 77', Godoy A. 🟨,
  • 78', Harangi A. 🟨,
  • 80', Junior Urso , Sergio Santos ,
  • 83', Pilcher I. 🟨,
  • 84', Godoy A. , de la Torre L. ,
  • 84', Harangi A. , Kumado W. ,
  • 85', 1 - 2, de la Torre L. , Pellegrino A. (A), Kumado W. (A2)
  • 87', 2 - 2, Sergio Santos , Ennali L. (A),
  • 87', Lingr O. , Segal G. ,
  • 89', 2 - 3, Dreyer A. , Pellegrino A. (A), de la Torre L. (A2)
  • 90+1', Dreyer A. , McNair P. ,
  • 90+1', Ennali L. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Felipe Andrade , Awodesu F. ,
  • 90+13', 2 - 4, Pellegrino A. , Tverskov J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Houston Dynamo
35.1%
Draw
25.6%
San Diego
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 25.2% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 25.1% 39.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • The chances for San Diego have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Houston Dynamo - San Diego Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.71
    (2.64)
    3.7
    (3.73)
    2.44
    (2.39)
    5.1%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo - San Diego?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 3 - 50%). San Diego will win (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Houston (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • San Diego is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Houston: Escobar F. (Illness) Quinones N. (Lower-Body Injury) Raines B. (International duty) Steres D. (Lower-Body Injury) Sviatchenko E. (Red Card) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A. (Knee Injury) Bombino L. (International duty) Ingvartsen M. (Lower-Body Injury) Saidi A. (Lower-Body Injury) Soma P. (International duty) Verhoeven O. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Houston won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Houston Dynamo - San Diego were as follows:
    05.07.2025 San Diego - Houston Dynamo 3:4
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    Latest results of San Diego
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 33189665:362963
    2San Diego FC ✔ 33186960:411960
    3Los Angeles FC ✔ 33178863:382559
    4Minnesota United ✔ 331610755:371858
    5Seattle Sounders ✔ 331410956:47952
    6Austin FC331381236:43-747
    7Portland Timbers3311111141:44-344
    8FC Dallas3310111250:54-441
    9Real Salt Lake331241736:47-1140
    10Colorado Rapids331171542:54-1240
    11San Jose Earthquakes331081558:62-438
    12Houston Dynamo33991543:56-1336
    13St. Louis City33871842:56-1431
    14Sporting Kansas City33762046:70-2427
    15Los Angeles Galaxy33691844:65-2127


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 33206757:332466
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 33195949:40962
    3Inter Miami ✔ 33188776:532362
    4Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    5New York City ✔ 331751149:42756
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City331411861:471453
    8Chicago Fire331571166:58852
    9Columbus Crew331312852:50251
    10New York Red Bulls331271447:44343
    11New England Revolution33981642:49-735
    12Toronto FC335141433:42-929
    13CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    14Atlanta Utd335121637:62-2527
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Seattle Sounders is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Houston Dynamo - San Diego?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
    chinaChinaQQ Sports
    italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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