Fiorentina vs Roma: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Italian Serie A Fiorentina - Roma
Result
1:2
05/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A - Round 6
  • Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)
Fiorentina - Roma - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.841.35
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
80% (297/373)83% (388/470)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.841.35
xG on target (xGOT)
0.141.00
Total shots
118
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
45
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1216
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
2119
Passes
80% (297/373)83% (388/470)
Long passes
34% (14/41)39% (20/51)
Passes in final third
59% (49/83)69% (70/101)
Crosses
22% (4/18)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.551.26
Throw-ins
1713
Fouls
1921
Tackles
75% (9/12)47% (8/17)
Duels won
5045
Clearances
1321
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.000.14
Goals prevented
-1.00-0.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 3', Cristante B. 🟨,
  • 14', 1 - 0, Kean M. , Nicolussi Caviglia H. (A),
  • 22', 1 - 1, Soule M. , Dovbyk A. (A),
  • 30', 1 - 2, Cristante B. , Soule M. (A),
  • 43', Gudmundsson A. 🟨,
  • 44', Pioli S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Gudmundsson A. , Piccoli R. ,
  • 59', Dovbyk A. , Dybala P. ,
  • 59', Baldanzi T. , Pellegrini Lo. ,
  • 65', Tsimikas K. 🟨,
  • 67', Fazzini J. , Ndour C. ,
  • 68', Tsimikas K. , Rensch D. ,
  • 68', Wesley Franca 🟨,
  • 70', Mari P. 🟨,
  • 75', Mandragora R. , Dzeko E. ,
  • 75', Mari P. , Comuzzo P. ,
  • 81', Wesley Franca , Ziolkowski J. ,
  • 81', Dodo , Fortini N. ,
  • 81', Soule M. , El Aynaoui N. ,

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
31.2%
Draw
29.9%
Roma
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.1% 27.1% 42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8% 26.8% 43.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • Fiorentina - Roma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.08
    (3.15)
    3.17
    (3.5)
    2.48
    (2.21)
    4.3%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Roma?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 7 - 24.1%). Roma will win (votes: 13 - 44.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 31%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 26.7%62.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Roma (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Roma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Kouame C. (Knee Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Roma: Bailey L. (Thigh Injury) Bove E. (Heart Problems) Dybala P. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 32:37. (average 1.6:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:16. (average 2.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Roma were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Roma - Fiorentina 1:0
    27.10.2024 Fiorentina - Roma 5:1
    10.03.2024 Fiorentina - Roma 2:2
    10.12.2023 Roma - Fiorentina 1:1
    27.05.2023 Fiorentina - Roma 2:1
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    02.10.2025 Fiorentina - Sigma Olomouc 2:0
    28.09.2025 Pisa - Fiorentina 0:0
    21.09.2025 Fiorentina - Como 1:2
    13.09.2025 Fiorentina - Napoli 1:3
    31.08.2025 Torino - Fiorentina 0:0
    Latest results of Roma
    02.10.2025 Roma - Lille 0:1
    28.09.2025 Roma - Verona 2:0
    24.09.2025 Nice - Roma 1:2
    21.09.2025 Lazio - Roma 0:1
    14.09.2025 Roma - Torino 0:1
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Napoli650112:6615
    2AS Roma65017:2515
    3AC Milan64119:3613
    4Inter640217:8912
    5Juventus63309:5412
    6Atalanta624011:5610
    7Bologna63129:5410
    8Como62317:529
    9Sassuolo63038:809
    10Cremonese62317:8-19
    11Cagliari62226:608
    12Udinese62226:9-38
    13Lazio621310:737
    14Parma61233:7-45
    15Lecce61235:10-55
    16Torino61235:13-85
    17Fiorentina60334:8-43
    18Verona60332:9-73
    19Genoa60243:9-62
    20Pisa60243:10-72

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Which TV channels are streaming of Fiorentina - Roma?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaAzam Sports 1, Sporty TV, StarTimes App
    albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
    australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport
    europeEuropeGo3 Sport Open Baltic
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
    franceFranceDAZN France
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
    indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
    israelIsraelSport 3
    italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3, ART Sport 1
    kuwaitKuwaitShasha
    macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
    malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
    mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    norwayNorwayVG+
    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandEleven Sports 2, Polsat Sport 2
    portugalPortugalSport TV4
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
    russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
    saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
    spainSpainDAZN Espana
    swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
    thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
    turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, DAZN, DAZN UK, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
    vietnamVietnamON Football
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