Roma vs Fiorentina: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Italian Serie A Roma - Fiorentina
Result
1:0
04/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A - Round 35
  • Referee: Chiffi D. (Ita)
Roma - Fiorentina - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.660.83
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
87% (366/422)90% (546/604)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.660.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.371.23
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
59
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2019
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
89
Passes
87% (366/422)90% (546/604)
Long passes
59% (29/49)54% (19/35)
Passes in final third
70% (75/107)81% (125/155)
Crosses
23% (3/13)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.850.78
Throw-ins
1615
Fouls
98
Tackles
53% (8/15)50% (10/20)
Duels won
3846
Clearances
2919
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
1.231.37
Goals prevented
1.230.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+5', 1 - 0, Dovbyk A. , Shomurodov E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Pellegrini Lo. , Pisilli N. ,
  • 46', Gosens R. , Fagioli N. ,
  • 61', Zaniolo N. , Gudmundsson A. ,
  • 64', Ndour C. 🟨,
  • 65', Cristante B. , Gourna-Douath L. ,
  • 65', Shomurodov E. , Baldanzi T. ,
  • 71', Pongracic M. , Beltran L. ,
  • 71', Richardson A. , Colpani A. ,
  • 77', Dovbyk A. , El Shaarawy S. ,
  • 77', Celik Z. , Rensch D. ,
  • 85', Kean M. 🟨,
  • 89', Soule M. 🟨,
  • 90', Ndour C. , Adli Y. ,
  • 90+4', Pisilli N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Roma 54.6%Draw 26.3%Fiorentina 19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Roma 53%Draw 26%Fiorentina 21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Roma 53.9%Draw 25.6%Fiorentina 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Roma - Fiorentina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.81)
    3.65
    (3.69)
    4.99
    (4.57)
    4.7%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Roma - Fiorentina?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 8)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roma won 1.
    • Roma is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Fiorentina has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Fiorentina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Roma is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Roma: Dybala P. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Bove E. (Heart Problems) Dodo (Surgery) Ranieri L. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Fiorentina: Cataldi D. (Injury)
    • We predict that Roma will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Roma won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 38:33. (average 1.9:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Roma won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:8. (average 2.2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Roma - Fiorentina were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Fiorentina - Roma 5:1
    10.03.2024 Fiorentina - Roma 2:2
    10.12.2023 Roma - Fiorentina 1:1
    27.05.2023 Fiorentina - Roma 2:1
    15.01.2023 Roma - Fiorentina 2:0
    Latest results of Roma
    27.04.2025 Inter Milan - Roma 0:1
    19.04.2025 Roma - Verona 1:0
    13.04.2025 Lazio - Roma 1:1
    06.04.2025 Roma - Juventus 1:1
    29.03.2025 Lecce - Roma 0:1
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    01.05.2025 Betis - Fiorentina 2:1
    27.04.2025 Fiorentina - Empoli 2:1
    23.04.2025 Cagliari - Fiorentina 1:2
    17.04.2025 Fiorentina - Celje 2:2
    13.04.2025 Fiorentina - Parma 0:0
    Italian Serie A Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Napoli ✔ 35238455:253077
    2Inter ✔ 35228573:334074
    3Atalanta35208771:314068
    4Juventus351615452:322063
    5AS Roma35189850:321863
    6Lazio35189858:451363
    7Bologna351614553:381562
    8Fiorentina351781053:351859
    9AC Milan351691055:391657
    10Como351291445:48-345
    11Torino3510141139:40-144
    12Udinese351281538:49-1144
    13Genoa359121430:43-1339
    14Cagliari35891836:51-1533
    15Verona35952130:63-3332
    16Parma356141540:54-1432
    17Lecce35692024:57-3327
    18Venezia354141728:49-2126
    19Empoli354131827:55-2825
    20Monza ✔ 35292425:63-3815

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Napoli is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Inter is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Monza is Relegated to Serie B
    Which TV channels are streaming of Roma - Fiorentina?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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