Sarmiento de Junín vs River Plate: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional
Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Sarmiento de Junín - River Plate
Result
1:1
05/04/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 12
  • Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)
Sarmiento de Junín - River Plate - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.891.01
Ball Possession
29%71%
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
78
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
64% (137/215)83% (437/524)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.891.01
xG on target (xGOT)
1.281.63
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
78
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
67
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1615
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
169
Passes
64% (137/215)83% (437/524)
Long passes
47% (37/79)58% (26/45)
Passes in final third
51% (37/73)75% (120/160)
Crosses
0% (0/9)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.711.61
Fouls
916
Tackles
76% (13/17)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4335
Clearances Total
2134
Interceptions
162
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
76
xGOT faced
1.631.28
Goals prevented
0.630.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', Gonzalez Pirez L. 🟨,
  • 17', Villalba C. 🟨,
  • 30', 0 - 1, Miguel Borja ⚽, Mastantuono F. (A),
  • 45', 1 - 1, Insaurralde J. ⚽, Gho J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Fernandez N. ↓, Meza M. ↑,
  • 46', Mastantuono F. ↓, Rojas M. ↑,
  • 46', Subiabre I. ↓, Colidio F. ↑,
  • 59', Carabajal G. ↓, Magnin P. ↑,
  • 59', Gho J. ↓, Burgoa V. ↑,
  • 67', Miguel Borja ↓, Driussi S. ↑,
  • 69', Castano K. 🟨,
  • 72', Orihuela R. 🟨,
  • 79', Colidio F. 🟨,
  • 79', Castano K. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
  • 82', Suhr L. ↓, Vigo A. ↑,
  • 89', Morales I. ↓, Frias F. ↑,
  • 89', Gimenez E. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de Junín
18.5%		Draw
26.8%		River Plate
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.2% 30.9% 46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6% 30.1% 48.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting River Plate's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for River Plate, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Sarmiento de Junín - River Plate Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.15 ↑
    (4.24)    		 3.53 ↑
    (3.05)    		 1.73 ↓
    (2.01)    		 5.6%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : TyC Sports
    •
    What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - River Plate?
    The most likely score is 0:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Recent matches Sarmiento is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • River Plate is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Sarmiento could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match River Plate is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Diaz G. (Inactive) Rosales M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in River Plate: Beltran S. (Injury) Kranevitter M. (Inactive) Martinez P. (Inactive) Montiel G. (Inactive) Ruberto A. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sarmiento won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:13 (average 0.6:2.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sarmiento won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:11 (average 0.3:3.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - River Plate were as follows:
    28.07.2024 River Plate - Sarmiento de Junín 1:0
    19.03.2023 Sarmiento de Junín - River Plate 0:2
    Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
    30.03.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín 0:0 ✺
    15.03.2025 Sarmiento de Junín - Talleres de Córdoba 0:0 ✺
    08.03.2025 Sarmiento de Junín - Barracas Central 1:1 ✺
    01.03.2025 Aldosivi - Sarmiento de Junín 2:2 ✺
    22.02.2025 Rosario Central - Sarmiento de Junín 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of River Plate
    02.04.2025 Universitario de Deportes - River Plate 0:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 River Plate - Rosario Central 2:2 ✺
    19.03.2025 River Plate - Ciudad de Bolívar 2:0
    15.03.2025 Deportivo Riestra - River Plate 0:0 ✺
    09.03.2025 River Plate - Atlético Tucumán 1:0 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Argentinos Jrs1696124:91533
    2Boca Juniors16103324:111333
    3Racing Club1691626:161028
    4Huracan1676319:12727
    5Tigre1683518:12627
    6Ind. Rivadavia1676320:17327
    7Barracas Central1675420:18226
    8Estudiantes L.P1656518:19-121
    9Newells Old Boys1654712:15-319
    10Defensa y Justicia1654718:22-419
    11Central Cordoba1653821:22-118
    12Belgrano1638513:23-1017
    13Aldosivi1643918:28-1015
    14Banfield1635814:19-514
    15Union de Santa Fe1635811:17-614


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central16105122:81435
    2River Plate1687121:91231
    3Independiente1685323:121129
    4San Lorenzo1676314:10427
    5Dep. Riestra1659213:7624
    6Platense1665513:11223
    7Lanus1648413:11220
    8Instituto1653816:20-418
    9Godoy Cruz163858:18-1017
    10Atl. Tucuman16511017:21-416
    11Gimnasia L.P164489:18-916
    12Sarmiento Junin1629511:19-815
    13Velez Sarsfield1642107:22-1514
    14Talleres Cordoba1627711:15-413
    15San Martin S.J1623115:18-139

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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