Gimnasia La Plata vs River Plate: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate
Result
0:3
18/04/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 14
  • Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.361.14
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
77% (257/333)77% (340/439)
Yellow Cards
35
Expected Goals (xG)
0.361.14
xG on target (xGOT)
0.222.85
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1417
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1014
Passes
77% (257/333)77% (340/439)
Long passes
42% (21/50)50% (36/72)
Passes in final third
64% (58/90)69% (84/121)
Crosses
24% (5/21)6% (1/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.340.56
Fouls
1410
Tackles
52% (11/21)61% (11/18)
Duels won
5362
Clearances Total
3526
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
2.850.22
Goals prevented
-0.150.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', Castano K. 🟨,
  • 9', Pezzella G. 🟨,
  • 27', Jan Hurtado 🟨,
  • 35', 0 - 1, Driussi S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Castro L. , Mammini I. ,
  • 46', Fernandez M. , De Blasis P. ,
  • 46', Jan Hurtado , Merlini B. ,
  • 48', Di Biasi F. 🟨,
  • 54', 0 - 2, Mastantuono F. , Driussi S. (A),
  • 56', Acuna M. 🟨,
  • 58', Driussi S. , Miguel Borja ,
  • 58', Simon S. , Fernandez N. ,
  • 58', Acuna M. , Casco M. ,
  • 59', Mastantuono F. 🟨,
  • 66', Fernandez N. 🟨,
  • 68', Di Biasi F. , Garayalde N. ,
  • 78', Colidio F. , Aliendro R. ,
  • 82', 0 - 3, Aliendro R. ,
  • 85', Piedrahita A. 🟨,
  • 90', Miguel Borja , Subiabre I. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gimnasia La Plata
21.5%
Draw
27.6%
River Plate
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25% 29.1% 45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8% 28.8% 46.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.43
    (3.78)
    3.41
    (3.26)
    1.87
    (2.06)
    5.5%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). River Plate will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 31.2%83%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. River Plate (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Gimnasia La Plata won 0.
    • Gimnasia La Plata is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches River Plate is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • River Plate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match River Plate is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Gonzalez G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Martinez E. (Knee Injury) Suso G. (Yellow Cards) Torres F. (Knee Injury) Villarreal S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in River Plate: Beltran S. (Injury) Giuliano Galoppo (Thigh Injury) Martinez P. (Inactive) Ruberto A. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Gimnasia La Plata won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4:15 (average 0.6:2.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Gimnasia La Plata won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate were as follows:
    17.08.2024 Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate 1:1
    17.03.2024 River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata 3:1
    29.10.2023 Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate 1:2
    13.04.2023 River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata 3:0
    Latest results of River Plate
    Draw
    Apertura - Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Argentinos JrsInstituto3 : 1
    2San LorenzoTigre2 : 1
    3River PlateBarracas Central3 : 0
    4Racing ClubPlatense0 : 1
    5Boca JuniorsLanus1 : 0
    6IndependienteInd. Rivadavia1 : 0
    7Rosario CentralEstudiantes L.P.2 : 0
    8HuracanDep. Riestra3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Argentinos JrsSan Lorenzo1 : 2
    2River PlatePlatense1 : 2
    3Boca JuniorsIndependiente0 : 1
    4Rosario CentralHuracan0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1San LorenzoPlatense0 : 1
    2IndependienteHuracan0 : 1

    Final
    1PlatenseHuracan1 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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