Estudiantes La Plata vs River Plate: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Estudiantes La Plata - River Plate
Result
1:2
13/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 8
  • Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)
Estudiantes La Plata - River Plate - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.540.52
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
116
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
76% (349/462)69% (217/315)
Yellow Cards
38
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.540.52
xG on target (xGOT)
0.860.78
Total shots
116
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
53
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
1310
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
811
Passes
76% (349/462)69% (217/315)
Long passes
25% (16/64)38% (26/69)
Passes in final third
67% (105/156)59% (49/83)
Crosses
17% (4/23)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.070.70
Throw-ins
2524
Fouls
129
Tackles
74% (14/19)55% (12/22)
Duels won
5164
Clearances
1935
Interceptions
1811
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.780.86
Goals prevented
-1.22-0.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Giuliano Galoppo , Fernandez N. (A),
  • 13', 0 - 2, Fernandez N. ,
  • 17', Dominguez E. 🟨,
  • 18', Gonzalez Pirez L. , Nunez S. ,
  • 37', Martinez Quarta L. 🟨,
  • 39', Martinez Quarta L. 🟨,
  • 44', Salas M. 🟨,
  • 44', Ascacibar S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Castro A. , Cetre E. ,
  • 46', Amondarain M. , Medina C. ,
  • 46', Palacios T. , Carrillo G. ,
  • 46', Driussi S. , Galarza M. ,
  • 46', Fernandez N. , Castano K. ,
  • 58', Rivero L. 🟨,
  • 67', Medina C. 🟨,
  • 67', Acuna M. 🟨,
  • 70', Giuliano Galoppo , Lencina S. ,
  • 72', Sosa J. , Suarez L. ,
  • 76', Perez E. , Diaz P. ,
  • 81', Salas M. , Colidio F. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Nunez S. , Cetre E. (A),
  • 90+2', Carrillo G. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Armani F. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Castano K. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Colidio F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Estudiantes La Plata
28.1%
Draw
30.2%
River Plate
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.5% 29% 40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1% 28.6% 41.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Estudiantes La Plata - River Plate Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.61
    (3.11)
    3.26
    (3.27)
    2.32
    (2.34)
    1.6%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Estudiantes La Plata - River Plate?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). River Plate will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4%86.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 1.
    • Estudiantes has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • River Plate is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Estudiantes: Burgos J. (Pelvis Injury) Meza E. (Hamstring Injury) Perez Fabricio (Inactive)
    • There will not play in River Plate: Colidio F. (Inactive) Driussi S. (Inactive) Martinez P. (Muscle Injury) Meza M. (Knee Injury) Pezzella G. (Knee Injury) Ruberto A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 1:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes La Plata - River Plate were as follows:
    01.03.2025 River Plate - Estudiantes La Plata 0:2
    29.11.2024 Estudiantes La Plata - River Plate 1:2
    13.03.2024 River Plate - Estudiantes La Plata 2:1
    15.07.2023 River Plate - Estudiantes La Plata 3:1
    05.10.2022 River Plate - Estudiantes La Plata 5:0
    Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
    Latest results of River Plate
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Defensa y Justicia1254313:10319
    2Central Cordoba1246215:10518
    3Estudiantes L.P1253413:13018
    4Boca Juniors1145218:81017
    5Union de Santa Fe1245316:13317
    6Barracas Central1145213:11217
    7Tigre1245311:9217
    8Huracan124446:10-416
    9Argentinos Jrs1243512:9315
    10Belgrano1236311:9215
    11Racing Club1243513:13015
    12Banfield1242610:17-714
    13Ind. Rivadavia1226410:12-212
    14Newells Old Boys1225510:18-811
    15Aldosivi122375:14-99


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1273217:9824
    2Lanus1272313:9423
    3Velez Sarsfield1264217:9822
    4Rosario Central1156013:6721
    5River Plate1253418:12618
    6San Lorenzo124449:9016
    7Atl. Tucuman1243513:13015
    8Sarmiento Junin114349:11-215
    9Instituto123637:11-415
    10San Martin S.J123549:11-214
    11Talleres Cordoba123547:10-314
    12Gimnasia L.P124178:14-613
    13Platense1125411:16-511
    14Godoy Cruz121749:14-510
    15Independiente110656:12-66

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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