Toulouse vs Rennes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 1 Toulouse - Rennes
Result
2:1
03/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 32
  • Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
Toulouse - Rennes - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.811.42
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
915
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
82% (248/304)91% (452/498)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.811.42
xG on target (xGOT)
2.321.18
Total shots
915
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2019
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
157
Passes
82% (248/304)91% (452/498)
Long passes
56% (29/52)61% (17/28)
Passes in final third
60% (50/84)85% (110/129)
Crosses
31% (4/13)17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.881.25
Throw-ins
2315
Fouls
715
Tackles
50% (10/20)68% (17/25)
Duels won
5554
Clearances
2521
Interceptions
52
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.182.32
Goals prevented
0.180.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', Cresswell C. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 0, Gboho Y. , Sidibe D. (A),
  • 45+2', Rouault A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', Wooh C. 🟨,
  • 58', Cisse D. , Kone I. ,
  • 58', Wooh C. , Kalimuendo A. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Kalimuendo A. , Truffert A. (A),
  • 67', Olaigbe K. , Tamari M. ,
  • 67', James J. , Matusiwa A. ,
  • 68', Martinez C. 🟨,
  • 73', Magri F. , Messali R. ,
  • 77', Kamanzi W. , Zajc M. ,
  • 82', 2 - 1, Donnum A. , Restes G. (A),
  • 87', Gboho Y. , Akdag U. ,
  • 90+2', Assignon L. , Gomez C. A. ,
  • 90+6', Restes G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Toulouse 44.1%Draw 27.4%Rennes 28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Toulouse 45.2%Draw 27.2%Rennes 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Toulouse 44.9%Draw 27%Rennes 27.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Toulouse - Rennes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.11)
    3.48
    (3.51)
    3.37
    (3.46)
    4.6%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Toulouse - Rennes?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 3.
    • Toulouse has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Rennes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Rennes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Toulouse will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Toulouse: Aboukhlal Z. (Injury) Edjouma N. (Red Card) McKenzie M. (Red Card) Nicolaisen R. (Calf Injury) Schmidt N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Rennes: Alemdar D. (Head Injury) Jacquet J. (Calf Injury) Seidu A. (Knee Injury) Sishuba A. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toulouse: Akdag U. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Rennes: Faye M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:30. (average 1.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Rennes were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Rennes - Toulouse 0:2
    13.04.2024 Rennes - Toulouse 1:2
    17.12.2023 Toulouse - Rennes 0:0
    12.02.2023 Toulouse - Rennes 3:1
    12.11.2022 Rennes - Toulouse 2:1
    Latest results of Toulouse
    27.04.2025 Nantes - Toulouse 0:0
    20.04.2025 Reims - Toulouse 1:0
    12.04.2025 Toulouse - Lille 1:2
    30.03.2025 Toulouse - Brest 2:4
    Latest results of Rennes
    26.04.2025 Lyon - Rennes 4:1
    18.04.2025 Rennes - Nantes 2:1
    13.04.2025 Le Havre - Rennes 1:5
    06.04.2025 Rennes - Auxerre 0:1
    30.03.2025 Angers - Rennes 0:3
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG ✔ 32246285:335278
    2Marseille32185967:442359
    3Monaco32177861:372458
    4Nice32169760:392157
    5Lille32169750:331757
    6Strasbourg32169753:391457
    7Lyon321661063:441954
    8Lens321461237:38-148
    9Brest321451350:53-347
    10Auxerre321181346:47-141
    11Rennes321221847:46138
    12Toulouse321081440:40038
    13Reims32891532:43-1133
    14Angers32961730:50-2033
    15Nantes327111435:51-1632
    16Le Havre32941936:66-3031
    17St Etienne32761935:74-3927
    18Montpellier ✔ 32442422:72-5016

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    PSG is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Montpellier is Relegated to Ligue 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Toulouse - Rennes?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 5
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 3
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandViaplay
    franceFranceDAZN 1, DAZN 2, DAZN France
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
    indiaIndiaGXR World
    israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
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    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandEleven Sports 4
    portugalPortugalSport TV4
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
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