Red Bull Salzburg vs Porto: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

25/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Red Bull Arena (Salzburg).

: Europa League - League phase - Round 1
Referee: Fotias V. (Gre)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.34	1.38
Ball Possession
43%	57%
Total shots
15	15
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
2	8
Passes
80% (292/364)	86% (411/480)
Yellow Cards
4	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34	1.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.33	0.76
Total shots
15	15
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
5	8
Blocked Shots
6	4
Shots inside the Box
8	9
Shots outside the Box
7	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
2	8
Touches in opposition box
18	26
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
8	14
Passes
80% (292/364)	86% (411/480)
Long passes
62% (33/53)	55% (21/38)
Passes in final third
62% (60/97)	70% (73/105)
Crosses
9% (1/11)	24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.96	1.10
Throw-ins
11	20
Fouls
14	8
Tackles
43% (9/21)	57% (8/14)
Duels won
49	46
Clearances
23	19
Interceptions
7	10
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.76	0.33
Goals prevented
-0.24	-0.67

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Yeo M. K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Pepê ↓, William Gomes ↑,
53', Zaidu ↓, Fernandes M. ↑,
53', Veiga G. ↓, Moura F. ↑,
65', Ratkov P. ↓, Vertessen Y. ↑,
65', Baidoo E. ↓, Kitano S. ↑,
65', Yeo M. K. ↓, Onisiwo K. ↑,
65', Alajbegovic K. ↓, Kjaergaard M. ↑,
66', Varela A. ↓, Mora R. ↑,
77', Samu ↓, Gul D. ↑,
80', Rasmussen J. 🟨,
83', Kjaergaard M. 🟨,
86', Vertessen Y. 🟨,
90+2', Bidstrup M. ↓, Gourna-Douath L. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 1, William Gomes ⚽, Fernandes M. (A),
90+4', William Gomes 🟨,

Chances of winning

Red Bull Salzburg
21.2%

Draw
24.8%

Porto
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

26.5%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

26.7%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Red Bull Salzburg's form might have worsened.

Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Porto's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Red Bull Salzburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Porto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Red Bull Salzburg - Porto Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.52 ↑ (3.13)	3.88 ↑ (3.62)	1.78 ↓ (2.23)	4.2% (4.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Red Bull Salzburg - Porto?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +0.5 - Porto (votes: 4 - 100%).

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%).

O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).

AH +0.25 - Porto (votes: 4 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Porto will win (98 of 106 users predict this - 92.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.42% – 97.48%. The data is statistically significant.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Porto will win (24 of 26 users predict this - 92.31%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

In recent matches, Salzburg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Porto is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Porto could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Salzburg: Bischoff C. (Red Card) Chase A. (Inactive) Kawamura T. (Knee Injury) Konate K. (Knee Injury) Mellberg J. (Knee Injury) Omoregie J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Schuster J. (Illness) Sulzbacher V. (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Porto: Perez N. (Injury) de Jong L. (Inactive)
Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Salzburg won against Porto?

Red Bull Salzburg has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Red Bull Salzburg?

Porto has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Salzburg - Porto were as follows:

Latest results of Red Bull Salzburg

20.09.2025 Red Bull Salzburg - Sturm Graz 0:2 ✺

13.09.2025 Wolfsberger - Red Bull Salzburg 3:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Red Bull Salzburg - Blau-Weiss Linz 2:2 ✺

27.08.2025 Dornbirn - Red Bull Salzburg 1:3 ✺

23.08.2025 Red Bull Salzburg - LASK Linz 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Porto

19.09.2025 Rio Ave - Porto 0:3 ✺

13.09.2025 Porto - Nacional 1:0 ✺

30.08.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Porto 1:2 ✺

24.08.2025 Porto - Casa Pia 4:0 ✺

18.08.2025 Gil Vicente - Porto 0:2 ✺

UEFA Europa League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	D. Zagreb	2	2	0	0	6:2	4	6
2	Midtjylland	2	2	0	0	5:2	3	6
3	Aston Villa	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
4	Braga	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
5	Lyon	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
6	Lille	2	2	0	0	3:1	2	6
7	FC Porto	2	2	0	0	3:1	2	6
8	Plzen	2	1	1	0	4:1	3	4
9	Betis	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
10	Freiburg	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
11	Ferencvaros	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
12	Panathinaikos	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
13	Celta Vigo	2	1	0	1	4:3	1	3
14	Basel	2	1	0	1	3:2	1	3
15	AS Roma	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
16	G.A. Eagles	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
17	Brann	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
18	Genk	2	1	0	1	1:1	0	3
19	Young Boys	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3
20	Fenerbahce	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3
21	Ludogorets	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
22	Sturm Graz	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
23	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
24	FCSB	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
25	Nottingham	2	0	1	1	4:5	-1	1
26	Crvena zvezda	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
27	Bologna	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
28	PAOK	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
29	Celtic	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
30	Maccabi Tel Aviv	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
31	Nice	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0
32	Rangers	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0
33	Utrecht	2	0	0	2	0:2	-2	0
34	Salzburg	2	0	0	2	0:3	-3	0
35	Feyenoord	2	0	0	2	0:3	-3	0
36	Malmo FF	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0

Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Red Bull Salzburg - Porto?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Canal+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	Sport 3
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 3
Germany	RTL+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, TV8
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	TSN Malta 5
Mongolia	Premier Sports 3
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	Flow Sports 2 Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV5
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-africa	SuperSport Football, Supersport Maximo 1
South-america	ESPN 5 South
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 4
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6, TNT Sports Extra
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Sport 24 Extra