Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Real Salt Lake - St. Louis City
Result
3:2
05/07/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
Real Salt Lake - St. Louis City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.531.82
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1518
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
510
Passes
81% (363/447)85% (382/451)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.531.82
xG on target (xGOT)
2.351.51
Total shots
1518
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
28
Blocked Shots
74
Shots inside the Box
1111
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
510
Touches in opposition box
2226
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
810
Passes
81% (363/447)85% (382/451)
Long passes
47% (29/62)38% (15/40)
Passes in final third
66% (78/118)70% (81/115)
Crosses
33% (4/12)44% (8/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.901.49
Throw-ins
2211
Fouls
108
Tackles
65% (11/17)71% (10/14)
Duels won
3842
Clearances
2029
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.512.35
Goals prevented
0.510.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Caliskan N. ,
  • 17', Wallem C. 🟨,
  • 32', Russell J. 🟨,
  • 43', 2 - 0, Goncalves D. , Agada W. (A), Glad J. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 51', 2 - 1, Joao Klauss , Hartel M. (A),
  • 60', Russell J. , Marczuk D. ,
  • 63', Ostrak T. , Pearce T. ,
  • 64', 3 - 1, Yaro J. (Own goal),
  • 72', Teuchert C. , Pompeu C. ,
  • 72', Totland T. , Zalinsky J. ,
  • 80', Becher S. , Joyner M. ,
  • 80', Girdwood-Reich J. , Silva X. ,
  • 81', 3 - 2, Yaro J. , Hartel M. (A),
  • 82', Katranis A. , Vera B. ,
  • 90+5', Agada W. , Piol A. ,
  • 90+5', Ruiz P. , Ojeda B. ,

Chances of winning


Real Salt Lake
57.7%
Draw
22%
St. Louis City
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.9% 22.6% 21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2% 23.1% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Salt Lake has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Real Salt Lake - St. Louis City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.71)
    4.31
    (4.21)
    4.63
    (4.44)
    5.1%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Real Salt Lake - St. Louis City?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Salt Lake will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). St. Louis City will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Salt Lake: 23.4%70.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Salt Lake (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 14).
    • Recent performances by Salt Lake have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • St. Louis City is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • St. Louis City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Salt Lake is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Salt Lake: Brown J. (Knee Injury) Eneli E. (Foot Injury) Luna D. (International duty) MacMath Z. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Baumgartl T. (Knee Injury) Kessler H. (Hamstring Injury) Lowen E. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Salt Lake: Ojeda B. (Inactive) Vera B. (Illness) Wolff T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in St. Louis City: Morales A. (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Salt Lake won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.8:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Salt Lake won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Salt Lake - St. Louis City were as follows:
    30.03.2024 Real Salt Lake - St. Louis City 3:1
    24.02.2024 St. Louis City - Real Salt Lake 1:1
    21.06.2023 St. Louis City - Real Salt Lake 1:3
    25.03.2023 Real Salt Lake - St. Louis City 0:4
    Latest results of Real Salt Lake
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 30175855:371856
    2Minnesota United ✔ 30159651:331854
    3Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 28157654:312352
    4Seattle Sounders29129851:43845
    5Los Angeles FC27128749:351444
    6Portland Timbers29119938:39-142
    7Austin FC291181031:36-541
    8Colorado Rapids301161340:49-939
    9San Jose Earthquakes30981355:55035
    10Real Salt Lake281041430:37-734
    11FC Dallas298101142:48-634
    12Houston Dynamo30891339:49-1033
    13Sporting Kansas City30761745:61-1627
    14St. Louis City30671736:51-1525
    15Los Angeles Galaxy29491635:58-2321


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 30176749:331657
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 30174944:37755
    3Charlotte ✔ 301721151:401153
    4Nashville SC301551050:351550
    5Inter Miami27147657:441349
    6Columbus Crew291310648:43549
    7Orlando City29139755:411448
    8New York City28145941:33847
    9Chicago Fire291261154:53142
    10New York Red Bulls301171243:40340
    11New England Revolution30881439:44-532
    12Toronto FC295111329:36-726
    13Atlanta Utd295111336:54-1826
    14DC United305101527:55-2825
    15CF Montreal30591629:53-2424

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Real Salt Lake - St. Louis City?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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