New York Red Bulls vs Real Salt Lake: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS New York Red Bulls - Real Salt Lake
Result
2:1
10/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Fierro R. (Usa)
New York Red Bulls - Real Salt Lake - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.481.08
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
247
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
62
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
85% (419/493)80% (323/402)
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
3.481.08
xG on target (xGOT)
2.800.61
Total shots
247
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
111
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
62
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
4912
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
85% (419/493)80% (323/402)
Long passes
45% (20/44)42% (20/48)
Passes in final third
76% (114/150)68% (50/74)
Crosses
44% (4/9)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.630.63
Throw-ins
2119
Fouls
1611
Tackles
33% (4/12)55% (12/22)
Duels won
5057
Clearances
2034
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.612.80
Goals prevented
-0.390.80

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Gozo Z. , Agada W. (A), Luna D. (A2)
  • 14', Hack A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Carmona W. , Hall J. ,
  • 46', Hack A. , Parker T. ,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Choupo-Moting E. M. , Forsberg E. (A), Edwards R. (A2)
  • 59', Donkor R. 🟨,
  • 64', Ojeda B. , Ruiz P. ,
  • 64', Agada W. , Rwan Cruz ,
  • 64', Donkor R. , Stroud P. ,
  • 71', Sofo M. , Ngoma S. ,
  • 77', Nealis S. 🟨,
  • 77', Gozo Z. 🟨,
  • 83', Luna D. 🟨,
  • 83', Choupo-Moting E. M. (Pen),
  • 86', Luna D. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Duncan K. 🟥,
  • 90+1', Forsberg E. , Nealis D. ,
  • 90+9', 2 - 1, Choupo-Moting E. M. (Pen),
  • 90+11', Eneli E. , Russell J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York Red Bulls
44.3%
Draw
25.9%
Real Salt Lake
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 25.5% 25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 27.4% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New York Red Bulls's form might have worsened.
  • Real Salt Lake has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New York Red Bulls, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Salt Lake, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • New York Red Bulls - Real Salt Lake Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (1.92)
    3.66
    (3.73)
    3.19
    (3.79)
    5.7%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - Real Salt Lake?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Salt Lake will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 51.5%92.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): New York Red Bulls will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Salt Lake may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Salt Lake has had a series of home games.
    • NY Red Bulls could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Harper C. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Salt Lake: Bell M. (Hamstring Injury) Bonilla J. (Knee Injury) Brown J. (Knee Injury) Olatunji V. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Salt Lake: Caliskan N. (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - Real Salt Lake were as follows:
    15.07.2023 Real Salt Lake - New York Red Bulls 3:1
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    Latest results of Real Salt Lake
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 31176856:381857
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 30168657:322556
    3Minnesota United ✔ 31159751:361554
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 29148757:372050
    5Seattle Sounders30129952:45745
    6Austin FC301281033:37-444
    7Portland Timbers3111101039:41-243
    8Colorado Rapids311161441:52-1139
    9FC Dallas309101145:49-437
    10Houston Dynamo31991340:49-936
    11San Jose Earthquakes31981456:58-235
    12Real Salt Lake301041632:45-1334
    13St. Louis City31771739:52-1328
    14Sporting Kansas City31761845:63-1827
    15Los Angeles Galaxy30491737:61-2421


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 31186750:331760
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3Inter Miami ✔ 29167664:461855
    4Charlotte ✔ 311721251:42953
    5New York City ✔ 311651046:39753
    6Orlando City30149758:431551
    7Nashville SC311551152:381450
    8Columbus Crew311311751:47450
    9Chicago Fire301361157:53445
    10New York Red Bulls311271245:40543
    11New England Revolution31881539:45-632
    12Toronto FC305121330:37-727
    13Atlanta Utd305121337:55-1827
    14DC United315101629:58-2925
    15CF Montreal31591729:55-2624

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of New York Red Bulls - Real Salt Lake?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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