Real Salt Lake vs Cincinnati: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Real Salt Lake - Cincinnati
Result
0:1
19/07/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Hernandez L. (Usa)
Real Salt Lake - Cincinnati - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.890.55
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
90% (480/536)84% (346/414)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.890.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.970.66
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
98
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2224
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
90% (480/536)84% (346/414)
Long passes
57% (25/44)57% (23/40)
Passes in final third
80% (105/132)67% (58/86)
Crosses
12% (2/17)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.520.42
Throw-ins
1717
Fouls
1114
Tackles
50% (8/16)65% (11/17)
Duels won
4143
Clearances
2321
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
37
xGOT faced
0.660.97
Goals prevented
-0.340.97

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Baird C. 🟨,
  • 27', Hadebe T. 🟨,
  • 31', Katranis A. 🟨,
  • 39', Vera B. 🟨,
  • 42', Flores G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Katranis A. , Junqua S. ,
  • 62', Piol A. , Agada W. ,
  • 62', Ruiz P. , Eneli E. ,
  • 63', Valenzuela G. , Orellano L. ,
  • 63', Baird C. , Kamara K. ,
  • 63', Powell A. , Yedlin D. ,
  • 71', Gozo Z. , Russell J. ,
  • 73', Yedlin D. 🟨,
  • 74', Hadebe T. , Sergio Santos ,
  • 85', Engel L. , Miazga M. ,
  • 87', 0 - 1, Orellano L. , Anunga T. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Real Salt Lake
44.1%
Draw
27.9%
Cincinnati
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.3% 28.4% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 28.6% 34.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Salt Lake has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Salt Lake's performance.
  • Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cincinnati might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Salt Lake that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cincinnati could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Real Salt Lake - Cincinnati Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.54)
    3.43
    (3.34)
    3.37
    (2.76)
    4.3%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Real Salt Lake - Cincinnati?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Salt Lake will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Salt Lake: 30.4%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Salt Lake (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Salt Lake has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Cincinnati is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Salt Lake might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Salt Lake: Bell M. (Hamstring Injury) Brown J. (Knee Injury) MacMath Z. (Back Injury) Wolff T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Denkey K. (Leg Injury) Kubo Y. (Ankle Injury) Nwobodo O. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Yedlin D. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Salt Lake won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Salt Lake won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Salt Lake - Cincinnati were as follows:
    17.09.2022 Real Salt Lake - Cincinnati 1:2
    Latest results of Real Salt Lake
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    16.07.2025 Cincinnati - Inter Miami 3:0
    12.07.2025 Cincinnati - Columbus Crew 2:4
    05.07.2025 Cincinnati - Chicago Fire 2:1
    28.06.2025 Orlando City - Cincinnati 1:2
    25.06.2025 CF Montréal - Cincinnati 1:3
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 31176856:381857
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 30168657:322556
    3Minnesota United ✔ 31159751:361554
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 29148757:372050
    5Seattle Sounders30129952:45745
    6Austin FC301281033:37-444
    7Portland Timbers3111101039:41-243
    8Colorado Rapids311161441:52-1139
    9FC Dallas309101145:49-437
    10Houston Dynamo31991340:49-936
    11San Jose Earthquakes31981456:58-235
    12Real Salt Lake301041632:45-1334
    13St. Louis City31771739:52-1328
    14Sporting Kansas City31761845:63-1827
    15Los Angeles Galaxy30491737:61-2421


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 31186750:331760
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3Inter Miami ✔ 29167664:461855
    4Charlotte ✔ 311721251:42953
    5New York City ✔ 311651046:39753
    6Orlando City30149758:431551
    7Nashville SC311551152:381450
    8Columbus Crew311311751:47450
    9Chicago Fire301361157:53445
    10New York Red Bulls311271245:40543
    11New England Revolution31881539:45-632
    12Toronto FC305121330:37-727
    13Atlanta Utd305121337:55-1827
    14DC United315101629:58-2925
    15CF Montreal31591729:55-2624

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Real Salt Lake - Cincinnati?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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