Tacoma Defiance vs Real Monarchs: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs
Result
2:3 penalties
17/07/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.100.97
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
87% (421/484)84% (404/479)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.100.97
xG on target (xGOT)
1.771.61
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
2014
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1016
Passes
87% (421/484)84% (404/479)
Long passes
61% (20/33)50% (18/36)
Passes in final third
63% (51/81)67% (58/86)
Crosses
26% (5/19)56% (5/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.060.99
Throw-ins
1929
Fouls
1610
Tackles
76% (13/17)74% (17/23)
Duels won
4748
Clearances
1820
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
40
xGOT faced
1.611.77
Goals prevented
-0.39-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 30', Calderon G. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Yamada K. , Kingston P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Hassan O. , Carli E. ,
  • 46', Baker-Whiting R. , Sandnes G. ,
  • 48', Moisa L. , Dillon G. ,
  • 62', Alvarez D. , Burney L. ,
  • 62', Campaz B. , Berrios D. ,
  • 62', Silva T. , Mesalles R. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Hezarkhani A. , Duke C. (A), Berrios D. (A2)
  • 71', 2 - 1, Carli E. , Gomez S. (A),
  • 74', De Rosario O. , Khoury J. ,
  • 78', Duke C. , Touray O. ,
  • 78', Jennings M. , Charpie W. ,
  • 79', Brunell S. , Gaffney C. ,
  • 80', 2 - 2, Dillon G. , Hezarkhani A. (A),
  • Penalties (4 - 5)
  • 1, Anderson O. (Pen),
  • 1, Tsukanome Y. (Pen),
  • 2, Hezarkhani A. (Pen),
  • 2, Gomez S. (Pen),
  • 3, Marquez O. (Pen),
  • 3, Carli E. (Pen),
  • 4, Mesalles R. (Pen),
  • 4, Sousa T. (Pen),
  • 5, Dillon G. (Pen),
  • 5, Kingston P. (Pen),
  • 6, Henry K. (Pen),
  • 6, Gaffney C. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tacoma Defiance
49.7%
Draw
22.4%
Real Monarchs
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.7% 23.6% 26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 23.2% 26.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Tacoma Defiance have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.85)
    4.12
    (3.9)
    3.31
    (3.44)
    8.3%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 and 11)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Tacoma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Tacoma is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 30:34. (average 1.5:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 2.3:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs were as follows:
    11.06.2025 Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance 2:1
    13.09.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs 1:2
    11.08.2024 Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance 2:1
    26.06.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs 3:0
    15.09.2023 Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance 0:3
    Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
    Latest results of Real Monarchs
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2221322553:4645
    2Philadelphia Union II221053447:2343
    3Chicago Fire II211132554:3641
    4New England Revolution II20951537:2638
    5Toronto FC II23914928:3633
    6New York City II23824944:4632
    7Cincinnati 221570923:2829
    8Columbus Crew 2224131425:4717


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Huntsville221142546:2543
    2Chattanooga231043635:3341
    3Orlando City B238221132:4630
    4Crown Legacy23635939:4429
    5Carolina Core22544928:3127
    6Atlanta United 221526829:3425
    7Inter Miami II226041234:5322


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Town FC201222449:2642
    2Ventura County221023744:4037
    3Real Monarchs20743635:3332
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 2228311047:4331
    5Tacoma Defiance20722950:5127
    6Los Angeles FC II227211235:4826
    7Portland Timbers 2216231032:3925


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2221530450:3051
    2Colorado Rapids 2231214645:3442
    3Austin FC II22835629:2835
    4Minnesota 221823834:3431
    5North Texas21831935:4331
    6Houston Dynamo 2237321132:3729
    7Sporting Kansas City II212131521:5211


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2221322553:4645
    2Huntsville221142546:2543
    3Philadelphia Union II221053447:2343
    4Chicago Fire II211132554:3641
    5Chattanooga231043635:3341
    6New England Revolution II20951537:2638
    7Toronto FC II23914928:3633
    8New York City II23824944:4632
    9Orlando City B238221132:4630
    10Crown Legacy23635939:4429
    11Cincinnati 221570923:2829
    12Carolina Core22544928:3127
    13Atlanta United 221526829:3425
    14Inter Miami II226041234:5322
    15Columbus Crew 2224131425:4717


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2221530450:3051
    2Town FC201222449:2642
    3Colorado Rapids 2231214645:3442
    4Ventura County221023744:4037
    5Austin FC II22835629:2835
    6Real Monarchs20743635:3332
    7Vancouver Whitecaps 2228311047:4331
    8Minnesota 221823834:3431
    9North Texas21831935:4331
    10Houston Dynamo 2237321132:3729
    11Tacoma Defiance20722950:5127
    12Los Angeles FC II227211235:4826
    13Portland Timbers 2216231032:3925
    14Sporting Kansas City II212131521:5211

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