Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance
Result
2:1
11/06/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.910.87
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
76
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
84% (417/495)82% (310/380)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.910.87
xG on target (xGOT)
1.700.80
Total shots
76
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
21
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
33
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1615
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
84% (417/495)82% (310/380)
Long passes
33% (16/48)32% (15/47)
Passes in final third
63% (82/130)59% (51/87)
Crosses
27% (3/11)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.340.60
Throw-ins
2718
Fouls
1312
Tackles
63% (5/8)61% (11/18)
Duels won
3642
Clearances
1321
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
0.801.70
Goals prevented
-0.20-0.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 36', Campaz B. 🟨,
  • 40', 0 - 1, Khoury J. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 53', 1 - 1, Barea J. ,
  • 62', Campaz B. , Duke C. ,
  • 62', Rocio D. , Marquez O. ,
  • 63', Pedder R. , Gonzalez L. ,
  • 63', Robles D. , Hassan O. ,
  • 64', 2 - 1, Barea J. ,
  • 72', Kang J. , Sandnes G. ,
  • 75', Diaw B. 🟨,
  • 76', O'Gara L. 🟨,
  • 80', Anderson O. , Touray O. ,
  • 81', Alvarez D. , Katsaros E. ,
  • 82', Diaw B. , Tsukanome Y. ,
  • 84', Kingston P. 🟨,
  • 88', Barea J. , Amparo I. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Real Monarchs
52.3%
Draw
22.6%
Tacoma Defiance
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.7% 23.2% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 22.2% 29.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Monarchs's performance.
  • Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tacoma Defiance might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (2.02)
    4.08
    (3.97)
    3.68
    (2.97)
    8.4%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 2.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Real Monarchs may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Real Monarchs is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:30. (average 1.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Monarchs won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance were as follows:
    13.09.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs 1:2
    11.08.2024 Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance 2:1
    26.06.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs 3:0
    15.09.2023 Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance 0:3
    05.05.2023 Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance 1:2
    Latest results of Real Monarchs
    Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 212811228:2027
    2New York City II15522628:3121
    3Chicago Fire II12511423:2219
    4New England Revolution II11430317:1419
    5Toronto FC II13503514:1718
    6Philadelphia Union II9422119:718
    7Columbus Crew 211212611:2110
    8Cincinnati 21113079:189


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga13821222:1529
    2Huntsville12531324:1322
    3Orlando City B13610619:2420
    4Carolina Core12324318:1617
    5Crown Legacy11322417:1815
    6Inter Miami II14402822:3114
    7Atlanta United 213224519:2314


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County13810426:2126
    2Town FC10511322:1018
    3Vancouver Whitecaps 213430627:2418
    4Tacoma Defiance12510627:2617
    5Real Monarchs10413220:1617
    6Los Angeles FC II12411619:2415
    7Portland Timbers 213411721:3015


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 212710422:1823
    2Colorado Rapids 213702422:1923
    3North Texas13611521:2521
    4Houston Dynamo 213530520:1921
    5Minnesota 210502320:1317
    6Austin FC II12323411:1416
    7Sporting Kansas City II1201389:285


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga13821222:1529
    2New York Red Bulls 212811228:2027
    3Huntsville12531324:1322
    4New York City II15522628:3121
    5Orlando City B13610619:2420
    6Chicago Fire II12511423:2219
    7New England Revolution II11430317:1419
    8Toronto FC II13503514:1718
    9Philadelphia Union II9422119:718
    10Carolina Core12324318:1617
    11Crown Legacy11322417:1815
    12Inter Miami II14402822:3114
    13Atlanta United 213224519:2314
    14Columbus Crew 211212611:2110
    15Cincinnati 21113079:189


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County13810426:2126
    2St. Louis City 212710422:1823
    3Colorado Rapids 213702422:1923
    4North Texas13611521:2521
    5Houston Dynamo 213530520:1921
    6Town FC10511322:1018
    7Vancouver Whitecaps 213430627:2418
    8Minnesota 210502320:1317
    9Tacoma Defiance12510627:2617
    10Real Monarchs10413220:1617
    11Austin FC II12323411:1416
    12Los Angeles FC II12411619:2415
    13Portland Timbers 213411721:3015
    14Sporting Kansas City II1201389:285

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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