Result
2:3 penalties
17/07/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.97 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (421/484) | 84% (404/479) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 1.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (421/484) | 84% (404/479) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (20/33) | 50% (18/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (51/81) | 67% (58/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 56% (5/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.99 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 74% (17/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.39 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', Calderon G. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Yamada K. ⚽, Kingston P. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Hassan O. ↓, Carli E. ↑,
- 46', Baker-Whiting R. ↓, Sandnes G. ↑,
- 48', Moisa L. ↓, Dillon G. ↑,
- 62', Alvarez D. ↓, Burney L. ↑,
- 62', Campaz B. ↓, Berrios D. ↑,
- 62', Silva T. ↓, Mesalles R. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 1, Hezarkhani A. ⚽, Duke C. (A), Berrios D. (A2)
- 71', 2 - 1, Carli E. ⚽, Gomez S. (A),
- 74', De Rosario O. ↓, Khoury J. ↑,
- 78', Duke C. ↓, Touray O. ↑,
- 78', Jennings M. ↓, Charpie W. ↑,
- 79', Brunell S. ↓, Gaffney C. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 2, Dillon G. ⚽, Hezarkhani A. (A),
- Penalties (4 - 5)
- 1, Anderson O. (Pen),
- 1, Tsukanome Y. (Pen),
- 2, Hezarkhani A. (Pen),
- 2, Gomez S. (Pen),
- 3, Marquez O. (Pen),
- 3, Carli E. (Pen),
- 4, Mesalles R. (Pen),
- 4, Sousa T. (Pen),
- 5, Dillon G. (Pen),
- 5, Kingston P. (Pen),
- 6, Henry K. (Pen),
- 6, Gaffney C. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Tacoma Defiance
49.7% | Draw
22.4% | Real Monarchs
27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Tacoma Defiance have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.85) |
4.12 ↑
(3.9) |
3.31 ↓
(3.44) |
8.3%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 and 11)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Tacoma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Tacoma is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 30:34. (average 1.5:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 2.3:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Tacoma Defiance won against Real Monarchs?
Tacoma Defiance has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Monarchs won against Tacoma Defiance?
Real Monarchs has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs were as follows:
11.06.2025
Real Monarchs
-
Tacoma Defiance
2:1
13.09.2024
Tacoma Defiance
-
Real Monarchs
1:2
11.08.2024
Real Monarchs
-
Tacoma Defiance
2:1
26.06.2024
Tacoma Defiance
-
Real Monarchs
3:0
15.09.2023
Real Monarchs
-
Tacoma Defiance
0:3
Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
Latest results of Real Monarchs
MLS Next Pro Table
2025Northeast Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | New York Red Bulls 2 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 49:42 | 42 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union II | 19 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 45:17 | 42 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire II | 19 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 49:33 | 36 |
| 4 | New England Revolution II | 18 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 5 | Toronto FC II | 20 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 24:31 | 28 |
| 6 | New York City II | 20 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 37:40 | 28 |
| 7 | Cincinnati 2 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 19:24 | 26 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew 2 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 20:41 | 13 |
Southeast Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Huntsville | 18 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 39:19 | 35 |
| 2 | Chattanooga | 20 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 31:31 | 33 |
| 3 | Carolina Core | 20 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 26:27 | 27 |
| 4 | Orlando City B | 20 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 27:41 | 26 |
| 5 | Crown Legacy | 20 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 30:39 | 26 |
| 6 | Inter Miami II | 20 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 32:45 | 21 |
| 7 | Atlanta United 2 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 24:31 | 19 |
Pacific Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Ventura County | 19 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 40:32 | 35 |
| 2 | Town FC | 17 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 42:24 | 33 |
| 3 | Real Monarchs | 18 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 31:32 | 29 |
| 4 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 41:36 | 28 |
| 5 | Portland Timbers 2 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 30:36 | 24 |
| 6 | Tacoma Defiance | 18 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 45:48 | 23 |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC II | 19 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 31:41 | 23 |
Frontier Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | St. Louis City 2 | 19 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 41:25 | 43 |
| 2 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 38:31 | 35 |
| 3 | Austin FC II | 19 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 25:22 | 31 |
| 4 | North Texas | 19 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 33:39 | 29 |
| 5 | Minnesota 2 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 30:31 | 26 |
| 6 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 29:31 | 26 |
| 7 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 18:46 | 11 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | New York Red Bulls 2 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 49:42 | 42 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union II | 19 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 45:17 | 42 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire II | 19 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 49:33 | 36 |
| 4 | Huntsville | 18 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 39:19 | 35 |
| 5 | New England Revolution II | 18 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Chattanooga | 20 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 31:31 | 33 |
| 7 | Toronto FC II | 20 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 24:31 | 28 |
| 8 | New York City II | 20 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 37:40 | 28 |
| 9 | Carolina Core | 20 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 26:27 | 27 |
| 10 | Orlando City B | 20 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 27:41 | 26 |
| 11 | Crown Legacy | 20 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 30:39 | 26 |
| 12 | Cincinnati 2 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 19:24 | 26 |
| 13 | Inter Miami II | 20 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 32:45 | 21 |
| 14 | Atlanta United 2 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 24:31 | 19 |
| 15 | Columbus Crew 2 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 20:41 | 13 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | St. Louis City 2 | 19 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 41:25 | 43 |
| 2 | Ventura County | 19 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 40:32 | 35 |
| 3 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 38:31 | 35 |
| 4 | Town FC | 17 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 42:24 | 33 |
| 5 | Austin FC II | 19 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 25:22 | 31 |
| 6 | North Texas | 19 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 33:39 | 29 |
| 7 | Real Monarchs | 18 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 31:32 | 29 |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 41:36 | 28 |
| 9 | Minnesota 2 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 30:31 | 26 |
| 10 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 29:31 | 26 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers 2 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 30:36 | 24 |
| 12 | Tacoma Defiance | 18 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 45:48 | 23 |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC II | 19 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 31:41 | 23 |
| 14 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 18:46 | 11 |
Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs?
It is being streamed on channel
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Next Pro |
