Sporting Kansas City II vs Real Monarchs: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

06/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Rock Chalk Park (Lawrence, KS).

: MLS Next Pro

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.28	0.57
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
11	8
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
9	1
Passes
89% (430/483)	90% (556/618)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28	0.57
xG on target (xGOT)
1.94	0.54
Total shots
11	8
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked Shots
5	2
Shots inside the Box
5	5
Shots outside the Box
6	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
9	1
Touches in opposition box
24	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
6	0
Free Kicks
13	13
Passes
89% (430/483)	90% (556/618)
Long passes
68% (19/28)	59% (24/41)
Passes in final third
81% (139/171)	78% (84/108)
Crosses
12% (2/17)	40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.84	0.45
Throw-ins
14	14
Fouls
14	14
Tackles
74% (14/19)	58% (11/19)
Duels won
39	47
Clearances
12	22
Interceptions
12	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
0.54	1.94
Goals prevented
-0.46	-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', Anderson O. 🟨,
62', Anderson O. ↓, Amparo I. ↑,
62', Sandoval B. ↓, Bell M. ↑,
64', Wantland Z. ↓, Uderitz H. ↑,
64', Quintero G. ↓, Samways A. ↑,
71', Alexandre M. ↓, Arellano B. ↑,
71', Ortiz J. ↓, Derksen C. ↑,
76', Arellano B. 🟨,
79', Rivera L. ↓, Lineker Rodrigues ↑,
80', Tschantret M. ↓, Uderitz B. ↑,
82', 1 - 0, Mabie B. (Pen),
85', 1 - 1, Lineker Rodrigues ⚽, Silva T. (A),
90+1', Kerkvliet M. ↓, Mackay W. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, Samways A. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Sporting Kansas City II
22.8%

Draw
23.7%

Real Monarchs
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

22.6%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

21.9%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Kansas City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Real Monarchs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Kansas City II than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Sporting Kansas City II - Real Monarchs Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↓ (4.4)	3.89 ↓ (4.05)	1.72 ↑ (1.62)	8.6% (9.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting KC II won 2.
Sporting KC II is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Real Monarchs has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Real Monarchs may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Real Monarchs is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Real Monarchs will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sporting KC II won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 1.8:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Sporting KC II won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 2.3:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Kansas City II won against Real Monarchs?

Sporting Kansas City II has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Monarchs won against Sporting Kansas City II?

Real Monarchs has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Kansas City II - Real Monarchs were as follows:

12.06.2024 Real Monarchs - Sporting Kansas City II 5:1

26.05.2023 Sporting Kansas City II - Real Monarchs 0:1

14.04.2023 Real Monarchs - Sporting Kansas City II 0:4

Latest results of Sporting Kansas City II

31.08.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - Colorado Rapids 2 2:3 ✺

24.08.2025 St. Louis City 2 - Sporting Kansas City II 3:0 ✺

17.08.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - Houston Dynamo 2 1:3 ✺

08.08.2025 Minnesota United 2 - Sporting Kansas City II 3:2 ✺

03.08.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - Austin II 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Real Monarchs

31.08.2025 Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance 3:0 ✺

27.08.2025 The Town - Real Monarchs 1:0 ✺

24.08.2025 Real Monarchs - Minnesota United 2 3:2 ✺

17.08.2025 Real Monarchs - Los Angeles II 0:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Houston Dynamo 2 - Real Monarchs 0:4 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	28	17	2	3	6	68:56	58
2	Philadelphia Union II	28	15	5	3	5	64:34	58
3	New England Revolution II	28	14	5	2	7	54:37	54
4	Chicago Fire II	28	12	5	2	9	69:58	48
5	Cincinnati 2	28	9	7	0	12	40:41	41
6	Toronto FC II	28	10	2	4	12	34:42	38
7	New York City II	28	9	2	4	13	53:61	35
8	Columbus Crew 2	28	5	1	5	17	40:64	22

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Chattanooga	28	13	5	4	6	42:36	53
2	Huntsville	28	14	4	2	8	56:32	52
3	Carolina Core	28	8	5	5	10	42:44	39
4	Atlanta United 2	28	9	2	7	10	44:43	38
5	Orlando City B	28	9	4	2	13	38:55	37
6	Crown Legacy	28	7	3	5	13	45:54	32
7	Inter Miami II	28	6	1	5	16	40:72	25

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Town FC	28	14	4	2	8	59:36	52
2	Real Monarchs	28	13	4	4	7	55:42	51
3	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	28	11	4	1	12	61:54	42
4	Ventura County	28	11	2	4	11	48:51	41
5	Portland Timbers 2	28	10	2	4	12	47:54	38
6	Tacoma Defiance	28	10	2	2	14	62:67	36
7	Los Angeles FC II	28	9	2	2	15	47:61	33

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	28	17	5	1	5	60:37	62
2	Colorado Rapids 2	28	15	1	4	8	55:40	51
3	Minnesota 2	28	12	2	4	10	45:42	44
4	North Texas	28	11	4	2	11	46:56	43
5	Austin FC II	28	10	3	5	10	35:36	41
6	Houston Dynamo 2	28	9	4	2	13	40:47	37
7	Sporting Kansas City II	28	3	2	4	19	30:67	17

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	28	17	2	3	6	68:56	58
2	Philadelphia Union II	28	15	5	3	5	64:34	58
3	New England Revolution II	28	14	5	2	7	54:37	54
4	Chattanooga	28	13	5	4	6	42:36	53
5	Huntsville	28	14	4	2	8	56:32	52
6	Chicago Fire II	28	12	5	2	9	69:58	48
7	Cincinnati 2	28	9	7	0	12	40:41	41
8	Carolina Core	28	8	5	5	10	42:44	39
9	Toronto FC II	28	10	2	4	12	34:42	38
10	Atlanta United 2	28	9	2	7	10	44:43	38
11	Orlando City B	28	9	4	2	13	38:55	37
12	New York City II	28	9	2	4	13	53:61	35
13	Crown Legacy	28	7	3	5	13	45:54	32
14	Inter Miami II	28	6	1	5	16	40:72	25
15	Columbus Crew 2	28	5	1	5	17	40:64	22

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	28	17	5	1	5	60:37	62
2	Town FC	28	14	4	2	8	59:36	52
3	Colorado Rapids 2	28	15	1	4	8	55:40	51
4	Real Monarchs	28	13	4	4	7	55:42	51
5	Minnesota 2	28	12	2	4	10	45:42	44
6	North Texas	28	11	4	2	11	46:56	43
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	28	11	4	1	12	61:54	42
8	Ventura County	28	11	2	4	11	48:51	41
9	Austin FC II	28	10	3	5	10	35:36	41
10	Portland Timbers 2	28	10	2	4	12	47:54	38
11	Houston Dynamo 2	28	9	4	2	13	40:47	37
12	Tacoma Defiance	28	10	2	2	14	62:67	36
13	Los Angeles FC II	28	9	2	2	15	47:61	33
14	Sporting Kansas City II	28	3	2	4	19	30:67	17

Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Sporting Kansas City II - Real Monarchs?

It is being streamed on channel


Usa	MLS Next Pro