Osasuna vs Real Madrid: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

15/02/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona).

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 24
Referee: Munuera J. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.76	1.53
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Goal Attempts
11	17
Shots on Goal
4	5
Shots off Goal
6	7
Blocked Shots
1	5
Big Chances
2	5
Corner Kicks
6	2
Shots inside the Box
10	11
Shots outside the Box
1	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
Free Kicks
7	16
Offsides
1	2
Fouls
16	7
Yellow Cards
3	1
Red Cards
0	1
Throw-ins
8	16
Touches in the Opposition Box
32	37
Passes
85% (320/376)	88% (419/476)
Passes in the final third
73% (90/124)	81% (115/142)
Crosses
21% (6/29)	20% (2/10)
Tackles
54% (7/13)	50% (5/10)
Clearances Total
16	33
Interceptions
4	4

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Mbappe K. ⚽, Valverde F. (A),
21', Ancelotti C. 🟨,
39', Bellingham J. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Areso J. 🟨,
52', Cruz J. 🟨,
57', Camavinga E. 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Budimir A. (Pen),
59', Areso J. ↓, Pena R. ↑,
59', Cruz J. ↓, Bretones A. ↑,
69', Diaz B. ↓, Rodrygo ↑,
73', Oroz A. 🟨,
79', Zaragoza B. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
79', Moncayola J. ↓, Munoz I. ↑,
87', Budimir A. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,

Chances of winning

Osasuna
14.8%

Draw
19.8%

Real Madrid
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

22.4%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

21.8%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Madrid's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Osasuna - Real Madrid Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.48 ↑ (5.32)	4.85 ↑ (4.26)	1.46 ↓ (1.6)	4.4% (4.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : ESPN Deportes

What is the prediction for Osasuna - Real Madrid?

The most likely score is 1:2. User prediction is Real Madrid will win! (38 of 47 users predict this).

Preview Facts

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Osasuna won 0.
Recent matches Osasuna is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Real is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Real have a series of guest games.
In this match Real is a favorite.
There will not play in Osasuna: Boyomo F. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Real: Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Eder Militao (Knee Injury) Lucas (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Real: Alaba D. (Muscle Injury) Rudiger A. (Muscle Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Osasuna won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 13:50 (average 0.7:2.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Osasuna won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7:20 (average 0.8:2.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Osasuna won against Real Madrid?

Osasuna has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Osasuna?

Real Madrid has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Osasuna - Real Madrid were as follows:

09.11.2024 Real Madrid - Osasuna 4:0

16.03.2024 Osasuna - Real Madrid 2:4

07.10.2023 Real Madrid - Osasuna 4:0

06.05.2023 Real Madrid - Osasuna 2:1

18.02.2023 Osasuna - Real Madrid 0:2

Latest results of Osasuna

10.02.2025 Mallorca - Osasuna 1:1 ✺

06.02.2025 Real Sociedad - Osasuna 2:0 ✺

02.02.2025 Osasuna - Real Sociedad 2:1 ✺

24.01.2025 Las Palmas - Osasuna 1:1 ✺

19.01.2025 Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Real Madrid

11.02.2025 Manchester City - Real Madrid 2:3 ✺

08.02.2025 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 1:1 ✺

05.02.2025 Leganés - Real Madrid 2:3 ✺

01.02.2025 Espanyol - Real Madrid 1:0 ✺

29.01.2025 Brest - Real Madrid 0:3 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona ✔	37	27	4	6	99:39	60	85
2	Real Madrid ✔	37	25	6	6	76:38	38	81
3	Atl. Madrid ✔	37	21	10	6	64:30	34	73
4	Ath Bilbao ✔	37	19	13	5	54:26	28	70
5	Villarreal ✔	37	19	10	8	67:49	18	67
6	Betis ✔	37	16	11	10	56:49	7	59
7	Celta Vigo	37	15	7	15	57:56	1	52
8	Rayo Vallecano	37	13	12	12	41:45	-4	51
9	Osasuna	37	12	15	10	47:51	-4	51
10	Mallorca	37	13	8	16	35:44	-9	47
11	Real Sociedad	37	13	7	17	35:44	-9	46
12	Valencia	37	11	12	14	43:53	-10	45
13	Getafe	37	11	9	17	33:37	-4	42
14	Alaves	37	10	11	16	37:47	-10	41
15	Girona	37	11	8	18	44:56	-12	41
16	Sevilla	37	10	11	16	40:51	-11	41
17	Espanyol	37	10	9	18	38:51	-13	39
18	Leganes	37	8	13	16	36:56	-20	37
19	Las Palmas ✔	37	8	8	21	40:59	-19	32
20	Valladolid ✔	37	4	4	29	26:87	-61	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Clinched Spots for Teams

Barcelona is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
Real Madrid is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Atl. Madrid is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Ath Bilbao is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Villarreal is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Betis is Qualified for Europa League (League phase )
Las Palmas is Relegated to LaLiga2
Valladolid is Relegated to LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Osasuna - Real Madrid?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport 5, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 1
Angola	Z Sport La Liga
Argentina	ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Ireland	Shabake 3
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kosovo	ART Sport 5
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Arena Premium 3
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect, TVWan
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 3, TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Peru	ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, Canal+ Sport Online, CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
Taiwan	DAZN
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Zor TV
Venezuela	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 22, SCTV Online
World	Disney+