Atalanta vs Real Madrid: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League Atalanta - Real Madrid
Result
2:3
10/12/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
Atalanta - Real Madrid - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.941.57
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
2010
Shots on Goal
96
Shots off Goal
73
Blocked Shots
41
Big Chances
27
Corner Kicks
52
Shots inside the Box
137
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
37
Free Kicks
1315
Offsides
20
Fouls
1513
Yellow Cards
12
Throw-ins
1612
Touches in the Opposition Box
2813
Passes
89% (508/568)85% (399/470)
Passes in the final third
86% (175/203)71% (69/97)
Crosses
19% (5/27)0% (0/2)
Tackles
25% (3/12)67% (10/15)
Clearances Total
1220
Interceptions
1013

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Mbappe K. , Diaz B. (A),
  • 36', Mbappe K. , Rodrygo ,
  • 45+2', Tchouameni A. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, De Ketelaere C. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 56', 1 - 2, Vinicius Junior ,
  • 58', Pasalic M. , Samardzic L. ,
  • 59', 1 - 3, Bellingham J. , Vinicius Junior (A),
  • 65', 2 - 3, Lookman A. , Samardzic L. (A),
  • 74', Djimsiti B. , Kossounou O. ,
  • 74', De Ketelaere C. , Retegui M. ,
  • 75', Bellanova R. , Zappacosta D. ,
  • 84', Ceballos D. , Modric L. ,
  • 84', Diaz B. , Asencio R. ,
  • 87', Bellingham J. , Guler A. ,
  • 87', Ruggeri M. , Zaniolo N. ,
  • 90+2', Kossounou O. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Lucas 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atalanta
36.6%
Draw
26.7%
Real Madrid
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.3% 26.3% 38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9% 27.4% 40%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Atalanta - Real Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.65
    (2.71)
    3.62
    (3.64)
    2.64
    (2.49)
    3.4%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : UniMás
  • What is the prediction for Atalanta - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 119 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 40 - 33.6%). Real will win (votes: 51 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 28 - 23.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 34%51.8%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Atalanta in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Real is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Real have a series of guest games.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Atalanta: Cuadrado J. (Muscle Injury) Scalvini G. (Shoulder Injury) Scamacca G. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Knee Injury) Camavinga E. (Thigh Injury) Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Mendy F. (Muscle Injury) Militao E. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atalanta: Zappacosta D. (Calf Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Atalanta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.3:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Atalanta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atalanta - Real Madrid were as follows:
    14.08.2024 Real Madrid - Atalanta 2:0
    Latest results of Atalanta
    06.12.2024 Atalanta - Milan 2:1
    02.12.2024 Roma - Atalanta 0:2
    26.11.2024 Young Boys - Atalanta 1:6
    23.11.2024 Parma - Atalanta 1:3
    10.11.2024 Atalanta - Udinese 2:1
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    07.12.2024 Girona - Real Madrid 0:3
    01.12.2024 Real Madrid - Getafe 2:0
    27.11.2024 Liverpool - Real Madrid 2:0
    24.11.2024 Leganés - Real Madrid 0:3
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich22008:266
    2Real Madrid22007:166
    3PSG22006:156
    4Inter22005:056
    5Arsenal22004:046
    6Qarabag22005:236
    7Dortmund21108:534
    8Manchester City21104:224
    9Tottenham21103:214
    10Atl. Madrid21017:433
    11Newcastle21015:233
    12Marseille21015:233
    13Club Brugge KV21015:323
    14Sporting CP21015:323
    15Eintracht Frankfurt21016:603
    16Barcelona21013:303
    17Liverpool21013:303
    18Chelsea21012:3-13
    19Napoli21012:3-13
    20Royale Union SG21013:5-23
    21Galatasaray21012:5-33
    22Atalanta21012:5-33
    23Juventus20206:602
    24Bodo/Glimt20204:402
    25Bayer Leverkusen20203:302
    26Villarreal20112:3-11
    27PSV20112:4-21
    28FC Copenhagen20112:4-21
    29Olympiacos Piraeus20110:2-21
    30Monaco20113:6-31
    31Slavia Prague20112:5-31
    32Pafos20111:5-41
    33Benfica20022:4-20
    34Ath Bilbao20021:6-50
    35Ajax20020:6-60
    36Kairat Almaty20021:9-80

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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