Liverpool vs Real Madrid: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Liverpool - Real Madrid
Result
1:0
04/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Champions League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)
Liverpool - Real Madrid - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.580.45
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
77% (257/332)87% (460/531)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
2.580.45
xG on target (xGOT)
2.050.22
Total shots
178
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
93
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2726
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1116
Passes
77% (257/332)87% (460/531)
Long passes
31% (14/45)41% (16/39)
Passes in final third
68% (83/122)80% (137/172)
Crosses
42% (5/12)0% (0/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.140.40
Throw-ins
2211
Fouls
1611
Tackles
64% (9/14)67% (12/18)
Duels won
4756
Clearances
929
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
28
xGOT faced
0.222.05
Goals prevented
0.221.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', Vinicius Junior 🟨,
  • 45+1', Huijsen D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', Mac Allister A. 🟨,
  • 60', Bellingham J. 🟨,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Mac Allister A. , Szoboszlai D. (A),
  • 69', Camavinga E. , Rodrygo ,
  • 79', Mac Allister A. , Jones C. ,
  • 79', Ekitike H. , Gakpo C. ,
  • 81', Guler A. , Alexander-Arnold T. ,
  • 88', Robertson A. , Kerkez M. ,
  • 88', Wirtz F. , Chiesa F. ,
  • 90', Valverde F. , Diaz B. ,
  • 90+5', Carreras A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Alonso X. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Liverpool
40.6%
Draw
24.5%
Real Madrid
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 24.8% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 27% 31.1%

Liverpool - Real Madrid Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.38
(2.3)
3.97
(3.83)
2.79
(2.81)
3.1%
(5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Liverpool - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 78 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 21 - 26.9%). Real will win (votes: 49 - 62.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 10.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 52.1%73.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 20 high ROI users predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 6 - 30%). Real (votes: 11 - 55%). Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 14 - 100%).
    • AH 0 - Real (2.05) (votes: 8 - 80%).
    • AH -0.25 - Liverpool (2.06) (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 1.
    • Liverpool has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Real is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Real may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Real has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Liverpool: Alisson (Groin Injury) Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Chambers L. (Back Injury) Frimpong J. (Hamstring Injury) Isak A. (Groin Injury) Leoni G. (Knee Injury) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury) Williams R. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Foot Injury) Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Mastantuono F. (Groin Injury) Rudiger A. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Liverpool: Jones C. (Knock)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:17. (average 0.7:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Liverpool - Real Madrid were as follows:
    27.11.2024 Liverpool - Real Madrid 2:0
    15.03.2023 Real Madrid - Liverpool 1:0
    21.02.2023 Liverpool - Real Madrid 2:5
    Latest results of Liverpool
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    01.11.2025 Real Madrid - Valencia 4:0
    26.10.2025 Real Madrid - Barcelona 2:1
    22.10.2025 Real Madrid - Juventus 1:0
    19.10.2025 Getafe - Real Madrid 0:1
    04.10.2025 Real Madrid - Villarreal 3:1
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich440014:31112
    2Arsenal440011:01112
    3Inter440011:11012
    4Manchester City431010:3710
    5PSG430114:599
    6Newcastle430110:289
    7Real Madrid43018:269
    8Liverpool43019:459
    9Galatasaray43018:629
    10Tottenham42207:258
    11Barcelona421112:757
    12Chelsea42119:637
    13Sporting CP42118:537
    14Dortmund421113:1127
    15Qarabag42118:717
    16Atalanta42113:5-27
    17Atl. Madrid420210:916
    18PSV41219:725
    19Monaco41214:6-25
    20Pafos41212:5-35
    21Bayer Leverkusen41216:10-45
    22Club Brugge KV41128:10-24
    23Eintracht Frankfurt41127:11-44
    24Napoli41124:9-54
    25Marseille41036:513
    26Juventus40317:8-13
    27Ath Bilbao41034:9-53
    28Royale Union SG41034:12-83
    29Bodo/Glimt40225:8-32
    30Slavia Prague40222:8-62
    31Olympiacos Piraeus40222:9-72
    32Villarreal40132:6-41
    33FC Copenhagen40134:12-81
    34Kairat Almaty40132:11-91
    35Benfica40042:8-60
    36Ajax40041:14-130

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Liverpool - Real Madrid?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    afghanistanAfghanistanMeraj TV
    africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
    albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
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    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
    belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, SBT, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
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    chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
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    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
    denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, V Sport Premium
    franceFranceCanal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, Free
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
    haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
    hungaryHungaryRTL+
    icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
    indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
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    irelandIrelandPremier Sports 1 ROI
    israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
    italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Arena
    japanJapanWowow Prime
    kazakhstanKazakhstanKazakhstan TV
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
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    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
    new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
    nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play
    pakistanPakistanTapmad
    papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
    polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1, CANAL+ Sport 5
    portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
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    slovakiaSlovakiaKanal A, Voyo
    south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
    spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 1
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
    turkeyTurkeyTabii
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, BBC Radio 5 Live
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaParamount+, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
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