Celtic vs RB Leipzig: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League Celtic - RB Leipzig
Result
3:1
05/11/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
Celtic - RB Leipzig - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.661.13
Ball Possession
60%40%
Goal Attempts
1710
Shots on Goal
53
Shots off Goal
84
Blocked Shots
43
Free Kicks
137
Corner Kicks
78
Offsides
21
Throw-ins
1210
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Fouls
713
Yellow Cards
01
Total Passes
646411
Completed Passes
590359
Crosses Completed
45
Interceptions
49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 23', 0 - 1, Baumgartner C. , Kampl K. (A),
  • 35', 1 - 1, Kuhn N. , Engels A. (A),
  • 45+1', 2 - 1, Kuhn N. , Taylor G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 62', Sesko B. 🟨,
  • 67', Taylor G. , Valle A. ,
  • 67', Engels A. , Bernardo P. ,
  • 68', Sesko B. , Poulsen Y. ,
  • 68', Nusa A. , Elmas E. ,
  • 72', 3 - 1, Hatate R. ,
  • 73', Kuhn N. , Yang Hyun-Jun ,
  • 73', Carter-Vickers C. , Scales L. ,
  • 76', Baumgartner C. , Ouedraogo A. ,
  • 76', Haidara A. , Seiwald N. ,
  • 81', Furuhashi K. , Idah A. ,
  • 81', Openda L. , Andre Silva ,

Chances of winning


Celtic
35.1%
Draw
26.4%
RB Leipzig
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29% 24.9% 46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1% 24.8% 45.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Celtic's performance.
  • RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and RB Leipzig might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Celtic that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that RB Leipzig could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Celtic - RB Leipzig Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (3.3)
    3.66
    (3.85)
    2.5
    (2.08)
    3.8%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Celtic - RB Leipzig?
  • Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Celtic will win (votes: 11 - 21.2%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 30 - 57.7%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 21.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 44.3%71.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Celtic is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches RB Leipzig is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Lukeba C. (Muscle Injury) Raum D. (Ankle Injury) Schlager X. (Knee Injury) Simons X. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in RB Leipzig: Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Celtic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:8 (average 0.8:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Celtic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Celtic - RB Leipzig were as follows:
    11.10.2022 Celtic - RB Leipzig 0:2
    05.10.2022 RB Leipzig - Celtic 3:1
    Latest results of Celtic
    02.11.2024 Celtic - Aberdeen 6:0
    30.10.2024 Celtic - Dundee 2:0
    27.10.2024 Motherwell - Celtic 0:3
    23.10.2024 Atalanta - Celtic 0:0
    19.10.2024 Celtic - Aberdeen 2:2
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    29.10.2024 RB Leipzig - St. Pauli 4:2
    26.10.2024 RB Leipzig - Freiburg 3:1
    23.10.2024 RB Leipzig - Liverpool 0:1
    19.10.2024 Mainz - RB Leipzig 0:2
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF
    3ZalgirisHamrun
    4ByeDyn. Kyiv
    5PafosBye
    6ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9NoahBuducnost
    10ByeFerencvaros
    11Lech PoznanBye
    12EgnatiaBreidablik
    13FC CopenhagenBye
    14DritaDifferdange
    15RijekaBye
    16LudogoretsDin. Minsk
    17TNSShkendija
    18FCSBInter Escaldes
    19Slovan BratislavaBye
    20VirtusZrinjski
    21ShelbourneLinfield
    22ByeQarabag
    23KuPSMilsami
    24O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    27PlzenBye
    28ByeServette
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3Dyn. Kyiv
    3PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv
    4TBD #7Crvena zvezda
    5TBD #9Ferencvaros
    6Lech PoznanTBD #12
    7FC CopenhagenTBD #14
    8RijekaTBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10Slovan BratislavaTBD #20
    11TBD #21Qarabag
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13BrannSalzburg
    14PlzenServette
    15RangersPanathinaikos
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