Celtic vs RB Leipzig: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League Celtic - RB Leipzig
Result
3:1
05/11/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
Celtic - RB Leipzig - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.661.13
Ball Possession
60%40%
Goal Attempts
1710
Shots on Goal
53
Shots off Goal
84
Blocked Shots
43
Free Kicks
137
Corner Kicks
78
Offsides
21
Throw-ins
1210
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Fouls
713
Yellow Cards
01
Total Passes
646411
Completed Passes
590359
Crosses Completed
45
Interceptions
49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 23', 0 - 1, Baumgartner C. , Kampl K. (A),
  • 35', 1 - 1, Kuhn N. , Engels A. (A),
  • 45+1', 2 - 1, Kuhn N. , Taylor G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 62', Sesko B. 🟨,
  • 67', Taylor G. , Valle A. ,
  • 67', Engels A. , Bernardo P. ,
  • 68', Sesko B. , Poulsen Y. ,
  • 68', Nusa A. , Elmas E. ,
  • 72', 3 - 1, Hatate R. ,
  • 73', Kuhn N. , Yang Hyun-Jun ,
  • 73', Carter-Vickers C. , Scales L. ,
  • 76', Baumgartner C. , Ouedraogo A. ,
  • 76', Haidara A. , Seiwald N. ,
  • 81', Furuhashi K. , Idah A. ,
  • 81', Openda L. , Andre Silva ,

Chances of winning


Celtic
35.1%
Draw
26.4%
RB Leipzig
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29% 24.9% 46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1% 24.8% 45.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Celtic's performance.
  • RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and RB Leipzig might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Celtic that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that RB Leipzig could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Celtic - RB Leipzig Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (3.3)
    3.66
    (3.85)
    2.5
    (2.08)
    3.8%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Celtic - RB Leipzig?
  • Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Celtic will win (votes: 11 - 21.2%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 30 - 57.7%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 21.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 44.3%71.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Celtic is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches RB Leipzig is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Lukeba C. (Muscle Injury) Raum D. (Ankle Injury) Schlager X. (Knee Injury) Simons X. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in RB Leipzig: Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Celtic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:8 (average 0.8:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Celtic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Celtic - RB Leipzig were as follows:
    11.10.2022 Celtic - RB Leipzig 0:2
    05.10.2022 RB Leipzig - Celtic 3:1
    Latest results of Celtic
    02.11.2024 Celtic - Aberdeen 6:0
    30.10.2024 Celtic - Dundee 2:0
    27.10.2024 Motherwell - Celtic 0:3
    23.10.2024 Atalanta - Celtic 0:0
    19.10.2024 Celtic - Aberdeen 2:2
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    29.10.2024 RB Leipzig - St. Pauli 4:2
    26.10.2024 RB Leipzig - Freiburg 3:1
    23.10.2024 RB Leipzig - Liverpool 0:1
    19.10.2024 Mainz - RB Leipzig 0:2
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich22008:266
    2Real Madrid22007:166
    3PSG22006:156
    4Inter22005:056
    5Arsenal22004:046
    6Qarabag22005:236
    7Dortmund21108:534
    8Manchester City21104:224
    9Tottenham21103:214
    10Atl. Madrid21017:433
    11Newcastle21015:233
    12Marseille21015:233
    13Club Brugge KV21015:323
    14Sporting CP21015:323
    15Eintracht Frankfurt21016:603
    16Barcelona21013:303
    17Liverpool21013:303
    18Chelsea21012:3-13
    19Napoli21012:3-13
    20Royale Union SG21013:5-23
    21Galatasaray21012:5-33
    22Atalanta21012:5-33
    23Juventus20206:602
    24Bodo/Glimt20204:402
    25Bayer Leverkusen20203:302
    26Villarreal20112:3-11
    27PSV20112:4-21
    28FC Copenhagen20112:4-21
    29Olympiacos Piraeus20110:2-21
    30Monaco20113:6-31
    31Slavia Prague20112:5-31
    32Pafos20111:5-41
    33Benfica20022:4-20
    34Ath Bilbao20021:6-50
    35Ajax20020:6-60
    36Kairat Almaty20021:9-80

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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