RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

03/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Red Bull Arena (Leipzig).

: Bundesliga - Round 32
Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.90	1.56
Ball Possession
38%	62%
Total shots
8	20
Shots on target
6	6
Big Chances
5	4
Corner Kicks
2	7
Passes
76% (275/363)	86% (515/601)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90	1.56
xG on target (xGOT)
2.33	2.52
Total shots
8	20
Shots on target
6	6
Shots off target
1	7
Blocked Shots
1	7
Shots inside the Box
4	14
Shots outside the Box
4	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
5	4
Corner Kicks
2	7
Touches in opposition box
14	36
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
6	9
Passes
76% (275/363)	86% (515/601)
Long passes
42% (23/55)	64% (38/59)
Passes in final third
60% (55/91)	76% (135/178)
Crosses
0% (0/7)	40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.62	1.99
Throw-ins
20	17
Fouls
9	6
Tackles
76% (13/17)	53% (8/15)
Duels won
40	47
Clearances
27	27
Interceptions
3	4
Errors leading to shot
2	1
Errors leading to goal
1	2
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
2.52	2.33
Goals prevented
-0.48	-0.67

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Sesko B. ⚽, Simons X. (A),
39', 2 - 0, Klostermann L. ⚽, Raum D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
50', Raum D. 🟨,
61', Muller T. ↓, Coman K. ↑,
61', Boey S. ↓, Goretzka L. ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Dier E. ⚽, Olise M. (A),
63', 2 - 2, Olise M. ⚽, Gnabry S. (A),
69', Sesko B. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
70', Haidara A. ↓, Vermeeren A. ↑,
74', Dier E. 🟨,
78', Kampl K. 🟨,
78', Kampl K. ↓, Baku R. ↑,
83', 2 - 3, Sane L. ⚽, Kimmich J. (A),
86', Nedeljkovic K. ↓, Geertruida L. ↑,
86', Openda L. ↓, Nusa A. ↑,
88', Gnabry S. ↓, Palhinha J. ↑,
90', Vermeeren A. 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 3, Poulsen Y. ⚽, Simons X. (A),

Chances of winning

RB Leipzig
21.3%

Draw
20.8%

Bayern Munich
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

20.7%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

20.3%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.48 ↓ (4.81)	4.63 ↓ (4.65)	1.67 ↑ (1.62)	3.8% (3.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich?

The most likely score is 1:2.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
Bayern is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, Bayern is a strong favorite.
There will not play in RB Leipzig: Bitshiabu E. (Red Card) Gulacsi P. (Concussion) Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Orban W. (Muscle Injury) Schlager X. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Bayern: Buchmann T. (Shoulder Injury) Davies A. (Knee Injury) Guerreiro R. (Groin Injury) Ito H. (Foot Injury) Kane H. (Yellow Cards) Musiala J. (Muscle Injury) Upamecano D. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Bayern: Kim Min-Jae (Achilles Tendon Injury) Neuer M. (Calf Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 28:42. (average 1.4:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, RB Leipzig won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:25. (average 1.4:2.3).

How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against Bayern Munich?

RB Leipzig has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bayern Munich won against RB Leipzig?

Bayern Munich has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich were as follows:

20.12.2024 Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig 5:1

24.02.2024 Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig 2:1

30.09.2023 RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich 2:2

12.08.2023 Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig 0:3

20.05.2023 Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig 1:3

Latest results of RB Leipzig

26.04.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - RB Leipzig 4:0 ✺

19.04.2025 RB Leipzig - Holstein Kiel 1:1 ✺

11.04.2025 Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig 2:3 ✺

05.04.2025 RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim 3:1 ✺

02.04.2025 Stuttgart - RB Leipzig 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Bayern Munich

26.04.2025 Bayern Munich - Mainz 3:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Heidenheim - Bayern Munich 0:4 ✺

16.04.2025 Inter Milan - Bayern Munich 2:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund 2:2 ✺

08.04.2025 Bayern Munich - Inter Milan 1:2 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich ✔	33	24	7	2	95:32	63	79
2	Bayer Leverkusen ✔	33	19	11	3	70:41	29	68
3	Eintracht Frankfurt	33	16	9	8	65:45	20	57
4	Freiburg	33	16	7	10	48:50	-2	55
5	Dortmund	33	16	6	11	68:51	17	54
6	Mainz	33	14	9	10	53:41	12	51
7	RB Leipzig	33	13	12	8	51:45	6	51
8	Werder Bremen	33	13	9	11	50:56	-6	48
9	Stuttgart	33	13	8	12	61:51	10	47
10	B. Monchengladbach	33	13	6	14	55:56	-1	45
11	Augsburg	33	11	10	12	34:49	-15	43
12	Wolfsburg	33	10	10	13	55:54	1	40
13	Union Berlin	33	9	10	14	33:50	-17	37
14	St. Pauli	33	8	8	17	28:39	-11	32
15	Hoffenheim	33	7	11	15	46:64	-18	32
16	Heidenheim	33	8	5	20	36:60	-24	29
17	Holstein Kiel ✔	33	6	7	20	49:77	-28	25
18	Bochum ✔	33	5	7	21	31:67	-36	22

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

Clinched Spots for Teams

Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
Bayer Leverkusen is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Holstein Kiel is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga
Bochum is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga

Which TV channels are streaming of RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 3
Angola	Z Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Brazil	SporTV
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+, ESPN Premium
China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Sport Open Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	iNews, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mongolia	Premier Sports 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, SportKlub 4
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, PPTV Sports
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Onefootball