Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German Bundesliga Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig
Result
6:0
22/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 1
  • Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)
Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.620.53
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
101
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
91% (598/655)82% (314/382)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.620.53
xG on target (xGOT)
2.970.13
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
101
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
57
Shots inside the Box
137
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
3528
Accurate through passes
51
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
91% (598/655)82% (314/382)
Long passes
65% (35/54)44% (17/39)
Passes in final third
83% (147/177)66% (50/76)
Crosses
15% (2/13)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.170.93
Throw-ins
149
Fouls
1313
Tackles
50% (7/14)59% (10/17)
Duels won
4444
Clearances
1725
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.132.97
Goals prevented
-0.87-3.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Olise M. ,
  • 32', 2 - 0, Diaz L. , Gnabry S. (A),
  • 34', Orban W. 🟨,
  • 42', 3 - 0, Olise M. , Gnabry S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Diomande Y. , Nusa A. ,
  • 46', Openda L. , Romulo Cardoso ,
  • 50', Tah J. 🟨,
  • 63', Laimer K. 🟨,
  • 64', 4 - 0, Kane H. , Diaz L. (A),
  • 68', Kimmich J. 🟨,
  • 68', Goretzka L. , Pavlovic A. ,
  • 68', Tah J. , Kim Min-Jae ,
  • 68', Gnabry S. , Karl L. ,
  • 68', Laimer K. , Boey S. ,
  • 69', Bakayoko J. , Baumgartner C. ,
  • 69', Schlager X. , Banzuzi E. ,
  • 74', 5 - 0, Kane H. , Diaz L. (A),
  • 78', 6 - 0, Kane H. , Kim Min-Jae (A),
  • 86', Kane H. , Kusi Asare J. ,
  • 87', Olise M. 🟨,
  • 88', Seiwald N. , Ouedraogo A. ,

Chances of winning


Bayern Munich
76.4%
Draw
14.2%
RB Leipzig
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
75.8% 14.2% 9.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.25
    (1.27)
    6.68
    (6.76)
    10.03
    (9.69)
    4.7%
    (4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
  • What is the prediction for Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig?
  • Users Predictions: 61 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 52 - 85.2%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 3 - 4.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 9.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 76.3%94.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Bayern (votes: 8 - 72.7%). RB Leipzig (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 2.
    • Bayern is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, Bayern is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Bayern: Bischof T. (Surgery) Davies A. (Knee Injury) Ito H. (Foot Injury) Musiala J. (Broken calfbone) Pavlovic A. (Face Injury) Wanner P. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Gomis T. (Ankle Injury) Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Klostermann L. (Calf Injury) Maksimovic A. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 40:27. (average 2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bayern won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.9:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig were as follows:
    03.05.2025 RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich 3:3
    20.12.2024 Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig 5:1
    24.02.2024 Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig 2:1
    30.09.2023 RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich 2:2
    12.08.2023 Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig 0:3
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    16.08.2025 Sandhausen - RB Leipzig 2:4
    09.08.2025 Lens - RB Leipzig 2:1
    02.08.2025 RB Leipzig - Atalanta 1:2
    26.07.2025 RB Leipzig - Toulouse 7:0
    28.05.2025 Santos - RB Leipzig 1:3
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich22009:276
    2Eintracht Frankfurt22007:256
    3FC Koln22005:146
    4Dortmund21106:334
    5St. Pauli21105:324
    6Wolfsburg21104:224
    7Augsburg21015:413
    8Stuttgart21012:203
    9Hoffenheim21013:4-13
    10Union Berlin21012:4-23
    11RB Leipzig21012:6-43
    12Bayer Leverkusen20114:5-11
    13Mainz20111:2-11
    14B. Monchengladbach20110:1-11
    15Hamburger SV20110:2-21
    16Werder Bremen20114:7-31
    17Heidenheim20021:5-40
    18Freiburg20022:7-50

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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