Racing vs Newells Old Boys: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Racing - Newells Old Boys
Result
1:0
02/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 16
  • Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
Racing - Newells Old Boys - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.151.61
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
76% (249/327)69% (156/227)
Yellow Cards
35
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.151.61
xG on target (xGOT)
0.220.38
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
411
Shots outside the Box
105
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1920
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1511
Passes
76% (249/327)69% (156/227)
Long passes
39% (20/51)46% (23/50)
Passes in final third
66% (84/128)56% (38/68)
Crosses
19% (3/16)44% (7/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.970.56
Throw-ins
2216
Fouls
1115
Tackles
88% (7/8)46% (11/24)
Duels won
4857
Clearances
2428
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
0.380.22
Goals prevented
0.380.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 8', Fernandez A. 🟨,
  • 35', Sosa S. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Sosa S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Mendez J. , Garcia J. ,
  • 46', Victor Cuesta 🟨,
  • 52', Montero A. 🟨,
  • 61', Fernandez A. , Salas M. ,
  • 64', Sanchez R. , Almendra A. E. ,
  • 65', Montero A. , Acuna V. ,
  • 65', Maroni G. , Chiaverano G. ,
  • 67', Herrera L. 🟨,
  • 67', Martino A. 🟨,
  • 80', Herrera L. , Sotelo D. ,
  • 81', Martirena Torres G. N. , Mura F. ,
  • 81', Nardoni J. , Barrios M. ,
  • 82', Solari S. , Degregorio R. M. ,
  • 84', Jacob T. , Gigena T. ,
  • 86', Chiaverano G. 🟨,
  • 87', Fabbiani C. 🟨,
  • 87', 1 - 0, Banega E. (Own goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Racing
49.6%
Draw
26.6%
Newells Old Boys
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.8% 22.9% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8% 24.4% 15.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing's form might have worsened.
  • Newells Old Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newells Old Boys's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+15.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newells Old Boys, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Racing - Newells Old Boys Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.54)
    3.56
    (4.1)
    3.95
    (5.75)
    5.4%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Racing - Newells Old Boys?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 20 - 87%). Newells Old Boys will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 73.3%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Racing (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Racing will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).
    • Racing is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 3.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Racing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Racing could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Racing: Quiros S. (Knock) Zuculini B. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Newells Old Boys: Hoyos L. (Knee Injury) Luciano M. (Inactive) Regiardo L. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Newells Old Boys: Silvetti M. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Racing won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Racing - Newells Old Boys were as follows:
    16.08.2024 Newells Old Boys - Racing 0:1
    12.02.2024 Newells Old Boys - Racing 0:4
    20.09.2023 Racing - Newells Old Boys 2:1
    12.04.2023 Racing - Newells Old Boys 0:1
    Latest results of Racing
    22.04.2025 Colo-Colo - Racing 1:1
    18.04.2025 Racing - Central Córdoba 1:0
    14.04.2025 Aldosivi - Racing 0:2
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P32013:216
    2Barracas Central32014:406
    3Central Cordoba31203:215
    4Union de Santa Fe31202:115
    5Ind. Rivadavia31114:224
    6Belgrano31113:124
    7Defensa y Justicia31113:214
    8Newells Old Boys31113:304
    9Tigre31113:304
    10Banfield31113:4-14
    11Racing Club31021:2-13
    12Huracan31022:5-33
    13Argentinos Jrs30211:2-12
    14Boca Juniors30211:2-12
    15Aldosivi30210:2-22


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate32107:167
    2Dep. Riestra32014:316
    3Rosario Central31202:115
    4Velez Sarsfield31202:115
    5San Lorenzo31202:115
    6San Martin S.J31114:404
    7Talleres Cordoba31113:304
    8Atl. Tucuman31113:304
    9Gimnasia L.P31111:104
    10Instituto31111:4-34
    11Lanus31022:203
    12Godoy Cruz30301:103
    13Sarmiento Junin30212:4-22
    14Platense30211:3-22
    15Independiente30123:5-21

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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