Patronato Parana vs Quilmes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

14/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella (Paraná).

: Primera Nacional - Round 31

Match Stats


Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
4	6
Shots on target
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	4
Yellow Cards
3	4
Red Cards
0	1
Total shots
4	6
Shots on target
2	0
Shots off target
2	6
Corner Kicks
3	4
Goalkeeper Saves
0	1

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Roseti M. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Barinaga J. ⚽,
41', Aranda G. 🟨,
42', Belinetz O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Carabajal G. 🟨,
63', Asis G. 🟨,
66', Asis G. ↓, Navas J. ↑,
66', Pereyra V. L. ↓, Escobar I. ↑,
70', Belinetz O. ↓, Vazquez G. ↑,
70', Coronel J. ↓, Machado C. ↑,
72', Gallucci S. ↓, Picco A. R. ↑,
72', Castro F. ↓, Pardo M. ↑,
73', Martinez R. ↓, Santiago M. ↑,
76', Machado C. 🟥,
83', Picco A. R. 🟨,
89', Roseti M. ↓, Capano J. ↑,
89', Carabajal G. ↓, Mino M. ↑,
89', Diaz G. ↓, Diaz F. N. ↑,
90+3', Navas J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Patronato Parana
49.6%

Draw
32.3%

Quilmes
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

32.5%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

31.2%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Patronato Parana's performance.

Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Quilmes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Patronato Parana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Quilmes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Patronato Parana - Quilmes Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.13)	3.16 ↑ (2.8)	5.85 ↑ (3.67)	-1.1% (9.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Patronato is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Patronato won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home match between the teams, Patronato won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Patronato Parana won against Quilmes?

Patronato Parana has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Quilmes won against Patronato Parana?

Quilmes has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Patronato Parana - Quilmes were as follows:

10.05.2025 Quilmes - Patronato Parana 1:1

08.09.2024 Patronato Parana - Quilmes 1:1

22.04.2024 Quilmes - Patronato Parana 2:2

Latest results of Patronato Parana

07.09.2025 Racing de Córdoba - Patronato Parana 1:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Patronato Parana - Atlanta Buenos Aires 0:0 ✺

24.08.2025 Colegiales - Patronato Parana 0:0 ✺

17.08.2025 Patronato Parana - Arsenal Sarandí 1:0 ✺

11.08.2025 All Boys - Patronato Parana 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Quilmes

08.09.2025 Quilmes - Ferro Carril Oeste 0:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Club Almagro - Quilmes 2:2 ✺

28.08.2025 Quilmes - Alvarado 0:0 ✺

22.08.2025 Quilmes - San Miguel 2:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Los Andes - Quilmes 1:0 ✺

Argentinian Primera Nacional Table

Main

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Deportivo Madryn	34	16	12	6	45:28	17	60
2	Atletico Atlanta	34	14	13	7	31:28	3	55
3	Tristan Suarez	34	12	16	6	33:23	10	52
4	Gimnasia y Tiro	34	13	12	9	34:23	11	51
5	San Miguel	34	12	14	8	32:28	4	50
6	San Martin T	34	12	13	9	32:29	3	49
7	Deportivo Maipu	34	12	12	10	34:30	4	48
8	Patronato	34	12	12	10	31:28	3	48
9	Colegiales	34	13	8	13	26:26	0	47
10	All Boys	34	8	17	9	26:25	1	41
11	Racing Cordoba	34	10	11	13	38:45	-7	41
12	Ferro	34	10	11	13	24:33	-9	41
13	Los Andes	34	10	10	14	28:31	-3	40
14	Club A. Guemes	34	8	16	10	28:32	-4	40
15	Quilmes	34	8	14	12	30:32	-2	38
16	Almagro	34	7	14	13	24:31	-7	35
17	Arsenal Sarandi	34	8	10	16	38:47	-9	34
18	Alvarado	34	6	15	13	18:33	-15	33

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gimnasia Mendoza	34	17	12	5	35:18	17	63
2	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	34	16	12	6	35:22	13	60
3	CA Estudiantes	34	17	8	9	41:22	19	59
4	Deportivo Moron	34	15	13	6	36:19	17	58
5	Gimnasia Jujuy	34	15	12	7	36:20	16	57
6	Temperley	34	14	13	7	30:22	8	55
7	Agropecuario	34	15	9	10	43:34	9	54
8	Chaco For Ever	34	15	8	11	34:26	8	53
9	Chacarita Juniors	34	12	13	9	37:29	8	49
10	Def. de Belgrano	34	12	12	10	30:26	4	48
11	Nueva Chicago	34	10	11	13	27:33	-6	41
12	San Telmo	34	10	11	13	31:42	-11	41
13	CA Mitre	34	10	10	14	28:31	-3	40
14	Almirante Brown	34	8	12	14	28:38	-10	36
15	Central Norte	34	10	6	18	27:41	-14	36
16	Colon Santa Fe	34	9	5	20	22:39	-17	32
17	Talleres (R.E)	34	6	5	23	17:40	-23	23
18	Defensores Unidos	34	3	12	19	17:52	-35	21

      Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
      Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
      Relegation

Which TV channels are streaming of Patronato Parana - Quilmes?

It is being streamed on channel


Argentina	TyC Sports Play