Quilmes vs Patronato Parana: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Primera Nacional Quilmes - Patronato Parana
Result
1:1
10/05/2025 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera Nacional - Round 14
  • Referee: Pafundi J. (Arg)
Quilmes - Patronato Parana - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
511
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
61
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
511
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
28
Corner Kicks
61
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 38', Rueda M. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, Marcioni J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Marcioni J. , Pardo M. ,
  • 47', 1 - 1, Herrera E. ,
  • 59', Pereyra V. L. , Picco A. R. ,
  • 71', Coronel J. , Schultz E. ,
  • 77', Roseti M. , Mino M. ,
  • 83', Kalinski E. , Enrique M. ,
  • 83', Torrent F. , Perez F. ,
  • 84', Moreno E. , Villarreal V. ,
  • 90+3', Castro F. , Barolin J. ,

Chances of winning


Quilmes
45.3%
Draw
31%
Patronato Parana
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49% 28.8% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5% 29.1% 22.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Quilmes - Patronato Parana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (1.91)
    2.99
    (3.25)
    3.94
    (4.2)
    7.7%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Quilmes - Patronato Parana?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Patronato will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Patronato (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).
    • In recent matches, Quilmes has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Patronato is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Quilmes will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Quilmes won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Quilmes - Patronato Parana were as follows:
    08.09.2024 Patronato Parana - Quilmes 1:1
    22.04.2024 Quilmes - Patronato Parana 2:2
    Latest results of Quilmes
    26.04.2025 Quilmes - Club Almagro 0:1
    19.04.2025 San Miguel - Quilmes 2:2
    13.04.2025 Quilmes - Los Andes 2:0
    Latest results of Patronato Parana
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atletico Atlanta24119423:15842
    2Deportivo Madryn241010430:201040
    3San Martin T24109522:16639
    4Tristan Suarez25912422:16639
    5San Miguel25109626:21539
    6Gimnasia y Tiro2599722:15736
    7Patronato2498727:23435
    8Deportivo Maipu2489723:22133
    9Almagro2579920:22-230
    10Racing Cordoba2479829:32-330
    11Colegiales25861115:21-630
    12Los Andes24771023:24-128
    13Quilmes2369823:23027
    14All Boys24511819:21-226
    15Club A. Guemes24414620:23-326
    16Ferro24681015:25-1026
    17Alvarado2359916:22-624
    18Arsenal Sarandi25491224:38-1421


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chacarita Juniors24127532:171543
    2Gimnasia Mendoza231110224:111343
    3Gimnasia Jujuy241110324:121243
    4Temperley24118523:17641
    5Chaco For Ever24124827:19840
    6Deportivo Moron23109425:131239
    7Estudiantes Rio Cuarto24911423:15838
    8CA Estudiantes24106823:18536
    9Nueva Chicago2488822:21132
    10CA Mitre2487917:18-131
    11Agropecuario2487928:30-231
    12Def. de Belgrano2479819:19030
    13San Telmo2479822:27-530
    14Central Norte24841222:29-728
    15Colon Santa Fe24831320:27-727
    16Almirante Brown24491117:28-1121
    17Defensores Unidos24281412:40-2814
    18Talleres (R.E)2425179:28-1911

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Quilmes - Patronato Parana?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, TyC Sports Play
    south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
    venezuelaVenezuelaDSports 1
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