Quilmes vs Arsenal Sarandí: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Primera Nacional Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí
Result
3:1
19/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera Nacional - Round 23
Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
93
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Total shots
127
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
34
Corner Kicks
44
Goalkeeper Saves
26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Coronel J. ,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Aranda G. (Own goal),
  • 30', Gonzalez T. 🟨,
  • 45', 2 - 1, Kaprof J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Marghetich T. , Mino M. ,
  • 48', Ramirez I. 🟨,
  • 54', Kaprof J. , Vazquez G. ,
  • 61', Serrano V. 🟨,
  • 62', Martinez R. 🟨,
  • 63', Allende L. , Machado C. ,
  • 64', Duarte L. , Bordagaray F. ,
  • 76', Coronel J. , Belinetz O. ,
  • 76', Martinez R. , Capano J. ,
  • 78', Juarez A. , Klusener G. ,
  • 78', Purita E. , Amaya A. ,
  • 83', Roselli N. 🟥,
  • 90+6', 3 - 1, ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Quilmes
53.6%
Draw
28.6%
Arsenal Sarandí
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.3% 28.7% 22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8% 27.9% 21.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.86)
    3.21
    (3.19)
    5.26
    (4.16)
    7.9%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1.
    • Quilmes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Arsenal Sarandí has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Quilmes has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Quilmes is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Quilmes won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Arsenal Sarandí - Quilmes 0:1
    27.07.2024 Arsenal Sarandí - Quilmes 0:0
    09.03.2024 Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí 0:0
    Latest results of Quilmes
    12.07.2025 All Boys - Quilmes 0:0
    05.07.2025 San Lorenzo - Quilmes 1:0
    21.06.2025 Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú 2:2
    13.06.2025 Gimnasia y Tiro - Quilmes 2:1
    31.05.2025 Tristán Suárez - Quilmes 0:0
    Latest results of Arsenal Sarandí
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Madryn291311541:261550
    2Atletico Atlanta291212527:19848
    3Tristan Suarez291014526:19744
    4San Miguel291111728:24444
    5San Martin T291111725:23244
    6Gimnasia y Tiro291110826:17943
    7Patronato291110829:24543
    8Deportivo Maipu291010928:27140
    9Los Andes299101027:25237
    10Quilmes298111029:29035
    11Racing Cordoba298111034:38-435
    12All Boys29713922:24-234
    13Colegiales29971317:23-634
    14Almagro297121023:27-433
    15Ferro297101219:31-1231
    16Club A. Guemes29515925:31-630
    17Arsenal Sarandi29791331:40-930
    18Alvarado295131117:27-1028


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy291412332:131954
    2Gimnasia Mendoza291411430:151553
    3Deportivo Moron291311531:171450
    4Estudiantes Rio Cuarto291311530:181250
    5Chacarita Juniors291211635:231247
    6Chaco For Ever291451031:24747
    7CA Estudiantes29137931:201146
    8Temperley291112624:19545
    9Agropecuario29119935:33242
    10Def. de Belgrano29911924:23138
    11CA Mitre29991124:24036
    12San Telmo298111025:34-935
    13Nueva Chicago298101125:28-334
    14Central Norte29961423:31-833
    15Colon Santa Fe29841721:35-1428
    16Almirante Brown295111322:34-1226
    17Defensores Unidos293101617:47-3019
    18Talleres (R.E)29452013:35-2217

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

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