Quilmes vs Arsenal Sarandí: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Primera Nacional Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí
Result
3:1
19/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera Nacional - Round 23
Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
93
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Total shots
127
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
34
Corner Kicks
44
Goalkeeper Saves
26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Coronel J. ,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Aranda G. (Own goal),
  • 30', Gonzalez T. 🟨,
  • 45', 2 - 1, Kaprof J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Marghetich T. , Mino M. ,
  • 48', Ramirez I. 🟨,
  • 54', Kaprof J. , Vazquez G. ,
  • 61', Serrano V. 🟨,
  • 62', Martinez R. 🟨,
  • 63', Allende L. , Machado C. ,
  • 64', Duarte L. , Bordagaray F. ,
  • 76', Coronel J. , Belinetz O. ,
  • 76', Martinez R. , Capano J. ,
  • 78', Juarez A. , Klusener G. ,
  • 78', Purita E. , Amaya A. ,
  • 83', Roselli N. 🟥,
  • 90+6', 3 - 1, ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Quilmes
53.6%
Draw
28.6%
Arsenal Sarandí
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.3% 28.7% 22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8% 27.9% 21.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.86)
    3.21
    (3.19)
    5.26
    (4.16)
    7.9%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1.
    • Quilmes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Arsenal Sarandí has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Quilmes has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Quilmes is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Quilmes won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Arsenal Sarandí - Quilmes 0:1
    27.07.2024 Arsenal Sarandí - Quilmes 0:0
    09.03.2024 Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí 0:0
    Latest results of Quilmes
    12.07.2025 All Boys - Quilmes 0:0
    06.07.2025 Quilmes - Alvarado Postponed
    05.07.2025 San Lorenzo - Quilmes 1:0
    21.06.2025 Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú 2:2
    13.06.2025 Gimnasia y Tiro - Quilmes 2:1
    Latest results of Arsenal Sarandí
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Madryn261210436:221446
    2Atletico Atlanta261110525:18743
    3San Miguel261010627:22540
    4Tristan Suarez26912522:17539
    5San Martin T25109623:19439
    6Patronato26108828:24438
    7Gimnasia y Tiro26910722:15737
    8Deportivo Maipu2599724:22236
    9Racing Cordoba2689931:34-333
    10Colegiales26961117:21-433
    11Los Andes26881025:24132
    12Quilmes2579925:26-130
    13All Boys26612820:21-130
    14Almagro26791020:24-430
    15Club A. Guemes26415722:27-527
    16Ferro26691115:27-1227
    17Alvarado255101017:24-725
    18Arsenal Sarandi26591226:38-1224


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Mendoza251310227:111649
    2Gimnasia Jujuy261211329:131647
    3Chacarita Juniors26128632:201244
    4Deportivo Moron251110427:141343
    5Chaco For Ever26134928:21743
    6Temperley261110523:17643
    7CA Estudiantes26126828:181042
    8Estudiantes Rio Cuarto261011526:17941
    9Agropecuario2698929:30-135
    10Nueva Chicago26881024:26-232
    11CA Mitre26881018:20-232
    12San Telmo26711824:29-532
    13Def. de Belgrano26710919:21-231
    14Central Norte26851322:30-829
    15Colon Santa Fe26831520:32-1227
    16Almirante Brown265101120:29-925
    17Defensores Unidos262101414:42-2816
    18Talleres (R.E)26351811:31-2014

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

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