Quilmes vs Arsenal Sarandí: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Primera Nacional Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí
Result
3:1
19/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera Nacional - Round 23
Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
93
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Total shots
127
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
34
Corner Kicks
44
Goalkeeper Saves
26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Coronel J. ,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Aranda G. (Own goal),
  • 30', Gonzalez T. 🟨,
  • 45', 2 - 1, Kaprof J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Marghetich T. , Mino M. ,
  • 48', Ramirez I. 🟨,
  • 54', Kaprof J. , Vazquez G. ,
  • 61', Serrano V. 🟨,
  • 62', Martinez R. 🟨,
  • 63', Allende L. , Machado C. ,
  • 64', Duarte L. , Bordagaray F. ,
  • 76', Coronel J. , Belinetz O. ,
  • 76', Martinez R. , Capano J. ,
  • 78', Juarez A. , Klusener G. ,
  • 78', Purita E. , Amaya A. ,
  • 83', Roselli N. 🟥,
  • 90+6', 3 - 1, ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Quilmes
53.6%
Draw
28.6%
Arsenal Sarandí
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.3% 28.7% 22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8% 27.9% 21.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.86)
    3.21
    (3.19)
    5.26
    (4.16)
    7.9%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1.
    • Quilmes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Arsenal Sarandí has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Quilmes has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Quilmes is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Quilmes won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Arsenal Sarandí - Quilmes 0:1
    27.07.2024 Arsenal Sarandí - Quilmes 0:0
    09.03.2024 Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí 0:0
    Latest results of Quilmes
    12.07.2025 All Boys - Quilmes 0:0
    06.07.2025 Quilmes - Alvarado Postponed
    05.07.2025 San Lorenzo - Quilmes 1:0
    21.06.2025 Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú 2:2
    13.06.2025 Gimnasia y Tiro - Quilmes 2:1
    Latest results of Arsenal Sarandí
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Martin T23109422:14839
    2Atletico Atlanta23109421:15639
    3San Miguel2399522:15736
    4Patronato2398627:21635
    5Deportivo Madryn22810425:19634
    6Gimnasia y Tiro2389620:14633
    7Tristan Suarez23712419:15433
    8Deportivo Maipu2388722:21132
    9Racing Cordoba2379729:30-130
    10Los Andes2377922:22028
    11Quilmes2169622:19327
    12Almagro2369817:20-327
    13Colegiales23761013:19-627
    14Ferro2368915:22-726
    15Club A. Guemes23413619:22-325
    16All Boys23411818:21-323
    17Alvarado2249913:22-921
    18Arsenal Sarandi23391118:33-1518


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy231110224:111343
    2Chacarita Juniors23117530:171340
    3Gimnasia Mendoza221010222:111140
    4Deportivo Moron22109325:111439
    5Estudiantes Rio Cuarto23911323:14938
    6Temperley23108522:17538
    7Chaco For Ever23114825:18737
    8CA Estudiantes2396821:18333
    9CA Mitre2387817:16131
    10Agropecuario2387826:27-131
    11Def. de Belgrano2279618:15330
    12Nueva Chicago2378821:21029
    13San Telmo2269720:24-427
    14Colon Santa Fe23831220:25-527
    15Central Norte23741220:29-925
    16Almirante Brown23491016:26-1021
    17Defensores Unidos2318149:38-2911
    18Talleres (R.E)2315177:28-218

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

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