Stal Mielec vs Puszcza Niepołomice: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Polish Cup Stal Mielec - Puszcza Niepołomice
23/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Polish Cup - 1/32-finals
Stal Mielec - Puszcza Niepołomice - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Stal Mielec
34.5%
Draw
28.2%
Puszcza Niepołomice
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 28.7% 31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 27.7% 30.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stal Mielec's form might have worsened.
  • Puszcza Niepołomice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Puszcza Niepołomice's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stal Mielec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Puszcza Niepołomice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Stal Mielec - Puszcza Niepołomice Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (2.3)
    3.29
    (3.2)
    2.49
    (2.92)
    7.7%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Puszcza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Puszcza has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:11. (average 1.3:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stal Mielec won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 1.6:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - Puszcza Niepołomice were as follows:
    12.05.2025 Puszcza Niepołomice - Stal Mielec 2:3
    10.11.2024 Stal Mielec - Puszcza Niepołomice 2:0
    09.02.2024 Stal Mielec - Puszcza Niepołomice 2:1
    07.08.2023 Puszcza Niepołomice - Stal Mielec 1:0
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/64-finals
    1Siarka TarnobrzegBye
    2Hutnik KrakowZaglebie Sosnowiec3 : 0
    3LegnicaBye
    4ByePogon Siedlce
    5Avia SwidnikBye
    6ByeRuch Chorzow
    7SwinoujscieBye
    8KKS KaliszGKS Jastrzebie0 : 2
    9Gryf SlupskBye
    10ByePolonia Warszawa
    11S. RzeszowBye
    12ByeKorona Kielce
    13T. MazowieckiBye
    14ByeSlask Wroclaw
    15LKS LomzaBye
    16ByeOdra Opole
    17Legia IIBye
    18ByeGornik Zabrze
    19OzimekBye
    20ByePruszkow
    21LecznaBye
    22ByeCracovia
    23Korona Kielce IIBye
    24ByePiast Gliwice
    25SrodaBye
    26KS Wieczysta KrakowOl. Grudziadz0 : 1
    27Bytom OdrzanskiBye
    28ByeWisla
    29Grodzisk M.Wisla Pulawy3 : 0
    30ByeLechia Gdansk
    31Kotwica KolobrzegBye
    32ByePogon Szczecin
    33Legnica IIBye
    34Swit SzczecinLKS Lodz II2 : 1
    35Arka GdyniaBye
    36ByeMotor Lublin
    37Goczalkowice Zdroj IIBye
    38S. WolaSkra3 : 1
    39WikielecBye
    40PodbeskidzieR. Rzeszow2 : 1
    41Radomiak RadomBye
    42ByeZaglebie
    43ZawiszaBye
    44ByeTychy
    45Termalica B-B.Bye
    46ByeWidzew Lodz
    47AndrychowBye
    48ChojniczankaBielsko-Biala2 : 1
    49Warta PoznanOlimpia Elblag1 : 0
    50Polonia BytomZaglebie II7 : 1
    51GKS KatowiceBye
    52ByeWisla Plock
    53LKS LodzBye
    54ByeChrobry Glogow
    55Stal MielecBye
    56ByePuszcza

    1/32-finals
    1Siarka TarnobrzegHutnik Krakow
    2LegnicaPogon Siedlce
    3Avia SwidnikRuch Chorzow
    4SwinoujscieGKS Jastrzebie
    5Gryf SlupskPolonia Warszawa
    6S. RzeszowKorona Kielce
    7T. MazowieckiSlask Wroclaw
    8LKS LomzaOdra Opole
    9Legia IIGornik Zabrze
    10OzimekPruszkow
    11LecznaCracovia
    12Korona Kielce IIPiast Gliwice
    13SrodaOl. Grudziadz
    14Bytom OdrzanskiWisla
    15Grodzisk M.Lechia Gdansk
    16Kotwica KolobrzegPogon Szczecin0 : 3
    17Legnica IISwit Szczecin
    18Arka GdyniaMotor Lublin
    19Goczalkowice Zdroj IIS. Wola
    20WikielecPodbeskidzie
    21Radomiak RadomZaglebie
    22ZawiszaTychy
    23Termalica B-B.Widzew Lodz
    24AndrychowChojniczanka
    25Warta PoznanPolonia Bytom
    26GKS KatowiceWisla Plock
    27LKS LodzChrobry Glogow
    28Stal MielecPuszcza
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