Portsmouth vs Derby County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship Portsmouth - Derby County
Result
2:2
12/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Round 42
  • Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)
Portsmouth - Derby County - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.901.43
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
71% (232/329)50% (112/225)
Yellow Cards
54
Expected Goals (xG)
1.901.43
xG on target (xGOT)
2.171.08
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
21
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
1917
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1813
Passes
71% (232/329)50% (112/225)
Long passes
34% (26/77)21% (17/80)
Passes in final third
58% (71/123)43% (33/77)
Crosses
13% (4/31)37% (7/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.341.51
Fouls
1318
Tackles
50% (5/10)56% (5/9)
Duels won
7367
Clearances Total
3246
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.082.17
Goals prevented
0.080.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', Widell Zetterstrom J. 🟨,
  • 6', Bishop C. (Pen),
  • 21', Clarke M. 🟨,
  • 27', Swanson Z. 🟨,
  • 33', Hayden I. 🟨,
  • 34', Mendez-Laing N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 57', Adams E. 🟨,
  • 66', Mendez-Laing N. , Jackson K. ,
  • 68', Saydee C. 🟨,
  • 69', Bishop C. 🟨,
  • 70', 0 - 1, Yates J. , Forsyth C. (A),
  • 71', 1 - 1, Atkinson R. , Murphy J. (A),
  • 75', 1 - 2, Atkinson R. (Own goal),
  • 79', Hayden I. , Dozzell A. ,
  • 79', Saydee C. , Yengi K. ,
  • 79', Swanson Z. , Devlin T. ,
  • 80', Atkinson R. 🟨,
  • 83', Harness M. , Goudmijn K. ,
  • 86', Potts F. , Pack M. ,
  • 86', Ritchie M. , Blair H. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 2, Atkinson R. , Schmid N. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Portsmouth
37.2%
Draw
32.9%
Derby County
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.7% 27.3% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4% 28.3% 25.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portsmouth's form might have worsened.
  • Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portsmouth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • Portsmouth - Derby County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (2.02)
    2.86
    (3.46)
    3.2
    (3.63)
    5.5%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Portsmouth - Derby County?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 17 and 21).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 0.
    • Portsmouth is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Derby is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Derby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Portsmouth: Atkinson R. (Calf Injury) Bowat I. (Tendon Injury) Farrell J. (Leg Injury) Lane P. (Knee Injury) Lang C. (Hamstring Injury) Matthews H. (Ankle Injury) Shaughnessy C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Derby: Blackett-Taylor C. (Hamstring Injury) Nelson C. (Knee Injury) Ozoh D. (Thigh Injury) Roofe K. (Hamstring Injury) Salvesen L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Derby: Brown D. (Hamstring Injury) Langas S. (Injury) Nyambe R. (Injury) Osborn B. (Hamstring Injury) Ward J. (Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:11 (average 1:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Portsmouth won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portsmouth - Derby County were as follows:
    13.12.2024 Derby County - Portsmouth 4:0
    02.04.2024 Portsmouth - Derby County 2:2
    16.09.2023 Derby County - Portsmouth 1:1
    18.11.2022 Portsmouth - Derby County 0:0
    Latest results of Portsmouth
    Latest results of Derby County
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Sheffield Utd (3)Bristol City (6)3 : 0, 3 : 0
    2Sunderland (4)Coventry (5)1 : 1, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Sheffield Utd (3)Sunderland (4)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Portsmouth - Derby County?
    It is being streamed on channel
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