St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS St. Louis City - Portland Timbers
Result
2:1
13/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Montero R. (Cos)
St. Louis City - Portland Timbers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.081.15
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
94
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
88% (476/539)89% (426/480)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
2.081.15
xG on target (xGOT)
2.441.90
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
95
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
4321
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
910
Passes
88% (476/539)89% (426/480)
Long passes
52% (13/25)57% (28/49)
Passes in final third
81% (134/166)82% (116/142)
Crosses
35% (6/17)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.670.55
Throw-ins
136
Fouls
109
Tackles
61% (11/18)73% (8/11)
Duels won
4638
Clearances
1727
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
37
xGOT faced
1.902.44
Goals prevented
0.600.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Pereira da Costa D. , Moreno S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Fory J. , Smith I. ,
  • 54', 1 - 1, Hartel M. , Joao Klauss (A),
  • 59', Ortiz J. 🟨,
  • 64', Kelsy K. 🟨,
  • 65', Moreno S. , Fernandez O. ,
  • 65', Ortiz J. , Chara D. ,
  • 66', Ostrak T. , Lowen E. ,
  • 67', Pompeu C. , Becher S. ,
  • 67', 2 - 1, Hartel M. , Wallem C. (A),
  • 75', Ayala D. , Paredes C. ,
  • 75', Zuparic D. , Guerra G. ,
  • 77', Mosquera J. 🟨,
  • 79', Miller K. 🟨,
  • 82', Teuchert C. , Watts A. ,
  • 90+2', Joao Klauss 🟨,
  • 90+3', Orozco J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Orozco J. , Hiebert K. ,

Chances of winning


St. Louis City
43.7%
Draw
24.7%
Portland Timbers
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 25.2% 34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 27.5% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • St. Louis City - Portland Timbers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.33)
    3.85
    (3.78)
    2.99
    (2.79)
    5.5%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for St. Louis City - Portland Timbers?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Portland will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for St. Louis City: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. St. Louis City (votes: 1 - 50%). Portland (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 1.
    • St. Louis City is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Portland is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Portland has had a series of home games.
    • St. Louis City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Baumgartl T. (Knee Injury) Durkin C. (Knee Injury) Kessler H. (Hamstring Injury) Lowen E. (Hamstring Injury) Nilsson J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Portland: Antony (Hamstring Injury) Lassiter A. (Hand Injury) Rodriguez J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in St. Louis City: Morales A. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - Portland Timbers were as follows:
    08.06.2025 Portland Timbers - St. Louis City 2:1
    24.08.2024 Portland Timbers - St. Louis City 4:4
    09.08.2024 St. Louis City - Portland Timbers 3:1
    08.06.2024 St. Louis City - Portland Timbers 0:0
    11.03.2023 Portland Timbers - St. Louis City 1:2
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    Latest results of Portland Timbers
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 31176856:381857
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 30168657:322556
    3Minnesota United ✔ 31159751:361554
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 29148757:372050
    5Seattle Sounders30129952:45745
    6Austin FC301281033:37-444
    7Portland Timbers3111101039:41-243
    8Colorado Rapids311161441:52-1139
    9FC Dallas309101145:49-437
    10Houston Dynamo31991340:49-936
    11San Jose Earthquakes31981456:58-235
    12Real Salt Lake301041632:45-1334
    13St. Louis City31771739:52-1328
    14Sporting Kansas City31761845:63-1827
    15Los Angeles Galaxy30491737:61-2421


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 31186750:331760
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3Inter Miami ✔ 29167664:461855
    4Charlotte ✔ 311721251:42953
    5New York City ✔ 311651046:39753
    6Orlando City30149758:431551
    7Nashville SC311551152:381450
    8Columbus Crew311311751:47450
    9Chicago Fire301361157:53445
    10New York Red Bulls311271245:40543
    11New England Revolution31881539:45-632
    12Toronto FC305121330:37-727
    13Atlanta Utd305121337:55-1827
    14DC United315101629:58-2925
    15CF Montreal31591729:55-2624

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of St. Louis City - Portland Timbers?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaMax, TNT, TNT Sports
    asiaAsiaSPOTV Asia
    australiaAustraliaSBS On Demand, SBS Viceland
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
    germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2
    indiaIndiaEurosport, JioTV app, Vision+
    indonesiaIndonesiaSPOTV, Vidio
    israelIsraelSport 2
    malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go
    mexicoMexicoMAX
    mongoliaMongoliaSPOTV
    philippinesPhilippinesSPOTV
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV
    spainSpain3Cat, Esport3
    thailandThailandSPOTV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
    vietnamVietnamSPOTV
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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